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Ravens vs Dolphins Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 10 TNF

John Hyslop

by John Hyslop in NFL Football

Updated Nov 11, 2021 · 12:31 PM PST

Ravens vs Dolphins
Miami Dolphins running back Salvon Ahmed (26) walks to the sideline before an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021 in Orchard Park, NY. (AP Photo/Matt Durisko)
  • The Baltimore Ravens will pay a visit to the Miami Dolphins to open up Week 10 of the 2021 NFL Season in Miami Gardens, FL, at 8:20 pm ET on Thursday, November 11, 2021
  • The Dolphins may be without starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, as he missed last week’s win over the Houston Texans
  • See the available statistical player props as well as touchdown scorer props by scrolling below

Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens (6-2) will invade Hard Rock Stadium Thursday night to take on the Miami Dolphins (2-7). The kickoff is set for 8:20 pm ET and the game can be seen on FOX.

The Ravens got back into the winning column in Week 9 with a 34-31 come-from-behind overtime win over the Minnesota Vikings. They were down 24-10 before touching the ball in the second half but were able to get things together and come back. It took a Justin Tucker overtime field goal but a win is a win.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins did something in Week 9 they don’t do often which is win a football game. It was a 17-9 win over the hapless Houston Texans but it still counts. Jacoby Brissett led the way with 244 passing yards in the winning effort.

(Due to the Tua Tagovailoa’s questionable status, some Dolphins’ props won’t be released until after publishing.)

Ravens vs Dolphins Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 18.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) 229.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105)
Rusher Longest Rush Rushing Yards Rush + Rec Yards
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 19.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 63.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) OFF
Myles Gaskin (Dolphins) 12.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) 41.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 67.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Salvon Ahmed (Dolphins) OFF 13.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) 5.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) 60.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Mark Andrews (Ravens) 3.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) 49.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)
Marquise Brown (Ravens) 4.5 (Ov +120 / Un -155) 56.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)
Mike Gesicki (Dolphins) 4.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 54.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110)
Myles Gaskin (Dolphins) 3.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) 22.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) 10.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)
Salvon Ahmed (Dolphins) 1.5 (Ov +100 / Un -135) 8.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) OFF

Odds taken Nov. 10 from DraftKings

The current odds are showing the Dolphins as 7.5-point underdogs which will likely stay that way until kickoff. The total is sitting in no-man’s land at 46.5 after being as high as 48.5 at some shops early in the week. Just like every other NFL game, there are plenty of player props to consider.

Don’t Forget About Salvon Ahmed

Miles Gaskin has stolen the show in Miami in terms of running backs. He’s been on the field for at least 58% of the snaps over the last three games which doesn’t leave much room for the other backs to produce. Still, there is one back that doesn’t need a ton of touches to produce the minimum prop lines.

That back is Salvon Ahmed and while he’s impressive running the ball, he’s most impressive catching it.

In terms of game script, I would expect the Ravens to score on the Dolphins a bit in this one. That will leave us with a negative game script which is where we want to be with Ahmed. Especially in the receiving prop market. While his receptions look good at 1.5, I’m more interested in his receiving yards.

In the last six weeks, Ahmed has gone over 12 receiving yards four times. In fact, the only times Ahmed has not reached at least 12 receiving yards came last week against the Houston Texans and twice against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are very good at limiting running backs in the pass game and Miami had a lead against the Texans. Neither circumstance is likely Thursday night.

Of all the teams that have only played eight games, only two have given up more receiving yards to the running back position (Jets & Seahawks). One reason is because the Ravens lockdown wide receivers (except Ja’Marr Chase) so teams are forced to find other attack surfaces. While I do think Miami’s tight ends will be in play, I also think Ahmed’s receiving yard total is a good move. Even if Miami doesn’t get waxed, I still think Ahmed will be involved in the passing game.

  • The Pick: Salvon Ahmed Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-120) – Wager 1.2 units to win 1 unit
  • SBD 2021 NFL Player Props Record: 15-16, -0.38 Units

Ravens vs Dolphins Scoring Props

Player First Touchdown Scorer Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Lamar Jackson (Ravens) +750 +110
Marquise Brown (Ravens) +750 +110
Mark Andrews (Ravens)
+900 +150
Devonta Freeman (Ravens) +1000 +170
Latavius Murray (Ravens) +1000 +170
Myles Gaskin (Dolphins) +1200 +190
Le’Veon Bell (Ravens) +1400 +230
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) +1400 +225
Mike Gesicki (Dolphins) +1400 +225
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) +1600 +275
Sammy Watkins (Ravens) +1800 +350
Salvon Ahmed (Dolphins) +2500 +450

Gesicki Can Get Into the End Zone

I am expecting the Ravens to pace the scoring in this game but that’s not to say the Dolphins won’t score. Over the last two weeks, Baltimore has given up 31 points to the Vikings and 41 to the Bengals. It’s kind of crazy to think the Dolphins won’t score in this game. We just have to figure out who it will be.

After going through everyone, I want a big target in the red zone who can catch the ball with one hand if possible.

Mike Gesicki seems like a steal at this price. Sure he has only scored twice this season but one of those games came with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. That doesn’t mean much but knowing that only one team in the NFL has given up more receiving touchdowns to tight ends than the Ravens makes me feel better. Gesicki is the obvious choice from the Dolphins side to score a touchdown Thursday night.

  • Pick: Mike Gesicki Anytime TD Scorer (+225) – Wager 0.10 units to win 0.225 units
  • SBD 2021 Touchdown Scorer prop record: 14-18, +0.455 units
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