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Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Moneyline Best Bet for Super Bowl 60

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams and linebacker Derick Hall celebrate a sack
Jan 17, 2026; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams (99) and linebacker Derick Hall (58) reacts after the sack of San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) during the second half in an NFC Divisional Round game at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Super Bowl 60 descends upon Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on February 8, 2026, pitting the Seattle Seahawks against the New England Patriots at 6:45 pm ET on NBC and Peacock. While Seattle enters as the clear favorite, looking to cap a dominant campaign behind a resurgent Sam Darnold, New England aims to defy the odds in its first title appearance under head coach Mike Vrabel.

The betting landscape is currently shaped by significant injury questions under center, specifically concerning the shoulder of Patriots quarterback Drake Maye. With the Seahawks looking to exorcise past Super Bowl demons – against New England, specifically – and the Patriots seeking to validate their young core, the market has tilted heavily toward the NFC champions.

Bettors must now weigh Seattle’s explosive scoring metrics against the volatility of the injury report in this neutral-site finale.

Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

MatchupSpreadMoneylinePickPredicted Score
Seahawks vs PatriotsSEA -4.5 (-115)SEA -225 at BetMGMSeahawks MLSEA 27, NE 17

The betting market at BetMGM positions the Seahawks as 4.5-point favorites (-115) and a market-best -225 on the moneyline for this championship clash. With a moneyline price of -225, the implied win probability sits at roughly 69.23% for Seattle, leaving the Patriots as +190 underdogs to pull off the upset.

The total is set at 45.5 points (-110 both ways). Given the disparity in offensive production and the cloud over New England’s passing attack, the game script likely hinges on Seattle’s ability to dictate the tempo. While Seattle possesses the firepower to drive the score up, a compromised Patriots offense could struggle to contribute enough points to clear the over.

Odds as of 4:15 pm ET, February 3rd. Bookmark SBD’s NFL odds page to see up-to-the-minute lines for Super Bowl 60.

Moneyline Best Bet for Seahawks vs Patriots: SEA -225 at BetMGM

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With the injury uncertainty clouding New England’s quarterback situation and the sheer statistical gap between these offenses, the smartest play on the board is backing the favorite to win outright.

The Seahawks have been nearly automatic when holding the market advantage, boasting a remarkable 15-1 straight-up record as a favorite this season. Seattle’s offense is averaging exactly double the output of their New England in the postseason (36.0 points per game compared to New England’s 18.0) while also dominating inside the 20-yard line with a 72.7% red zone efficiency rate versus the Patriots’ 33.3%. Yes, New England has had to contend with challenging weather throughout the postseason, but Seattle also finished the regular season with a 21-point edge on New England in point differential.

Seattle ranked eight spots better than New England in DVOA (1st vs 9th) and two spots better at PFF (2nd vs 4th). They’re the better, more-balanced team by almost any metric, and they also appear to be healthier heading into the final game of the season.

Despite the distraction of offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak heading to the Raiders, Seattle’s system has remained efficient. Given they have won their last 13 consecutive games as a favorite, there is little statistical evidence to suggest fading them in this spot.

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Check out SBD’s comprehensive Super Bowl 60 coverage:

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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