Super Bowl Anytime TD Scorer Betting Guide: Touchdown Odds, Stats & Trends

Sportsbooks have had nearly two full weeks to set and adjust their anytime touchdown odds for the Super Bowl. But we have also had nearly two full weeks to study the data and trends pertinent to projecting touchdown scorers for the Super Bowl. And thanks to all of the data I have at my disposal, I have gone very deep into the relevant TD data. But it wouldn’t be fair for me to keep it all to myself. So, I’m here to share it with you!

I have rounded up and carefully organized data pertaining to, but not limited to, player touchdowns, red zone and goal line looks, team offensive touchdowns, defensive touchdowns allowed, and anytime touchdown odds. I have also included my own touchdown predictions for Super Bowl 60 that were made after analyzing all the data below. Let me know if you landed on the same players after reading all the data yourself!

Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds & TD Stats

*I have yet to see any sportsbook open odds on Marcus Jones to score a touchdown, but most offer a Patriots D/ST anytime TD scorer option. I used these odds for Marcus Jones above.

The player with the best odds to score a touchdown in Super Bowl 60 is Kenneth Walker III. The Seahawks RB is given -190 odds to score a TD on Sunday. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the only other player with shorter-than-even odds to score a TD. The Patriots player with the best odds to score a touchdown in Rhamondre Stevenson at +145.

The data table above is first sorted by team and then by total touchdowns scored this season. It combines regular season and playoff stats. The Patriot who has scored the most touchdowns this season is TreVeyon Henderson with 10. However, he is given long +500 odds to score in the Super Bowl because he has not found the endzone in the playoffs yet, as he has taken a clear backseat to Stevenson in the Pats backfield. The Patriot who has scored a touchdown in the highest percentage of games this season is Kayshon Boutte, who has a TD in 35.3% of his games.

The Seahawk who has scored the most touchdowns this season (and is also suiting up for the Super Bowl) is Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has scored 12 touchdowns. He is also the Seahawk with the highest percentage of games with a TD, again, among players who are going to play on Sunday.

I left Zach Charbonnet and Tory Horton in the data table for the Seahawks to help give an idea of where their touchdowns are spread out. But I also provide more on that a little later. Neither Charbonnet or Horton will suit up for the Super Bowl.

The odds in the table above are from bet365, outside of Marcus Jones’ odds. They do not offer a D/ST anytime TD scorer, but they do have the best odds for many of the players above. If you’re not already betting with this sportsbook, check out our bet365 bonus code for the latest and best welcome offer.

Playoff TD Leaders

If we just focus on the playoffs, here are the leaders in touchdowns from the Seahawks and Patriots:

1) Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks): 4 total TDs in 2 games
2) Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks): 2 total TDs in 2 games
T3) Cooper Kupp (Seahawks): 1 TD in 2 games
T3) DeMario Douglas (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games
T3) Drake Maye (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games
T3) Hunter Henry (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games
T3) Jake Bobo (Seahawks): 1 TD in 2 games
T3) Kayshon Boutte (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games
T3) Marcus Jones (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games
T3) Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks): 1 TD in 2 games
T3) Stefon Diggs (Patriots): 1 TD in 3 games

To be clear, no player from these two teams has scored a touchdown in the postseason other than the 11 listed above. As you can see, there are only two players suiting up for the Super Bowl who have scored multiple touchdowns in these playoffs, and both are Seahawks – in spite of them having played one fewer game than the Patriots.

But to be fair, about five of the 12 quarters New England has played so far have been in awful weather, and they have also seen three very good defenses – it will be four after the Super Bowl.

Red Zone & Goal Line Looks

Red zone looks (and goal line looks) is a stat that combines rushing attempts and receiving targets on plays run from inside the opponent’s 20-yard-line (or 5-yard-line when talking about goal line looks). This is a great stat for projecting touchdowns, as it shows you which players are leaned on as a team is going in to score. Here’s a quick look at the leaders in red zone and goal line looks for each team:

Seahawks

I left Charbonnet in this table just to showcase how heavily the Seahawks lean on their running backs in the red zone.

Among their active players, Kenneth Walker III averages the most red zone looks and goal line looks per game. But his 2.4 red zone looks per game don’t give you the full picture. KW3 only averaged 2.0 red zone looks per game in the regular season, while playing alongside a healthy Charbonnet. However, Walker has averaged 6.0 red zone looks per game in the two playoff games so far, following Charbonnet getting injured early in the Divisional Round.

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba sports a healthy 1.2 red zone looks per game this season, his regular season average was just 1.0 looks per game, but he has seen 2.5 red zone looks per game in the playoffs.

Patriots

Though TreVeyon Henderson leads the Patriots in total red zone looks, his per game average has dropped to just 0.33 when isolating New England’s three playoff games. Rhamondre Stevenson has been the player the Patriots have leaned on in the red zone during the playoffs.

Hunter Henry has also seen a massive dip in the postseason. His red zone looks average for the entire year is 1.2 per game, but he was averaging 1.29 per game during the regular season, which has come down to just 0.33 per game during the playoffs.

Seahawks & Patriots Offensive TD Stats

The brackets next to each data point discloses their league rank in that statistic. In providing the rank, I used all games played by each team. So, there is a discrepancy in games played between playoff teams and non-playoff teams.

Both teams are pretty balanced in how they score their touchdowns, as New England ranks in the top 10 in both rushing and passing TDs per game, while the Seahawks are in the top 13 for both stats. Neither of these teams have been overly efficient in the red zone, though.

It’s worth noting that while the Patriots have scored a lot of points this season, that has not been the case for them in the playoffs so far. As mentioned, they have had to deal with some bad weather conditions, but it has still been a significant decline. Their offensive TDs per game has gone from 3.12 during the regular season to just 1.67 in the playoffs, and their red zone TD% has dipped from 59% to 33.3%.

Then here’s the breakdown of touchdowns scored (rushing and receiving) by position for each team:

Seahawks:

• QB: 0
• RB: 22
• WR: 22
• TE: 8

Seattle has seen their running backs and wide receivers score the exact same number of touchdowns this season (22). If that’s not unique enough, it’s also worth noting that no running back has caught a touchdown, and no wide receiver has rushed for a touchdown on their roster. Meanwhile, AJ Barner has a rushing touchdown.

And before you start thinking about betting Sam Darnold to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl, know that he has not scored a single TD all season.

Patriots:

• QB: 5
• RB: 21
• WR: 22
• TE: 10

Wide receivers are the position that have accounted for the most Patriot touchdowns this season with 22. Not far behind is running backs with 21.

Seahawks & Patriots Defensive TD Stats

To be clear, the data above only factors in touchdowns their defenses have surrendered – it does not include special teams or defensive touchdowns that were scored against the team. Each team has given up one punt return TD and one touchdown from an offensive turnover.

When you look at how these two teams rank defensively, it’s easy to understand why the game’s total has stayed put at 45.5, in spite of what each offense is capable of. Seattle has allowed the fewest points in the league this season (17.1), while New England is a close second (17.3). Scoring on the ground against either of these teams has been very difficult, as they also rank #1 and #2 in this category.

The only real weakness there is to point out here is that New England has struggled a bit when their opponent enters the red zone. The Patriots are allowing their opponents to score a TD on 60.4% of their red zone drives this season. Meanwhile, Seattle has been pretty stingy when their backs are against the wall, allowing a TD on just over half (50.9%) of their opponents’ red zone drives.

Here’s a quick look at how many touchdowns the Seahawks and Patriots have allowed to each position this season:

Seahawks:

• QB: 3
• RB: 8
• WR: 15
• TE: 6

Wide receivers have scored the most touchdowns against the Seahawks this season, tallying 15 trips to the endzone. Running backs have not had the same luck, as they have only scored 8 touchdowns vs the Seahawks, and three of those were receiving touchdowns as well.

Patriots:

• QB: 2
• RB: 10
• WR: 20
• TE: 6

Similar to above, wide receivers have been the position who has scored the most TDs against the Patriots this season, scoring 20 times in as many games.

Anytime Touchdown Betting Strategy for Super Bowl 2026

After considering all of the data above, here is how I am betting the anytime TD market for Super Bowl 60:

• Kenneth Walker III: while the Patriots haven’t given up many touchdowns on the ground this season, I can’t look away from how reliant the Seahawks are on Walker in the red zone. Pair that with New England’s tendency to give up touchdowns when their opponent enters the red zone, and I like Walker to make it three straight games with a touchdown. You can find his odds as long as -175 at theScore Bet.
• Kayshon Boutte: even though Boutte wasn’t that efficient with his opportunities in the AFC Championship game, he is averaging five targets per game in the playoffs, which is good for second to only Stefon Diggs’ 5.7, and he leads the team with 147 receiving yards in the postseason. The next-best is just 86 yards by Rhamondre Stevenson. I believe the Patriots offense will have to remain aggressive all game, and I believe that means Boutte will get a healthy dose of targets. You can find his odds as long as +325 at BetMGM. If you’re not already signed up with them, check out the best BetMGM promo code for your region.