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Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Odds & Prediction Monday Night Football Week 14

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Dec 11, 2023 · 9:41 AM PST

Miami Dolphins defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah (91) celebrates after recording a sack a
Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah (91) celebrates after recording a sack against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • In one of two Monday Night Football games, Miami hosts Tennessee at 8:15 pm EST on December 11
  • Miami is a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record
  • Get the Titans vs Dolphins odds, picks, and predictions for MNF here

AFC East-leading Miami (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) plays host to Tennessee, fourth in the AFC South (4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS) in one of two Monday Night Football showdowns in Week 14. Winners of three straight, Miami is favored by 13.5 points in the Titans vs Dolphins odds, but are they the best bet?

Read on for the full MNF odds and our top Titans vs Dolphins prediction.

Titans vs Dolphins Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tennessee +13.5 (-105) +700 O 48.5 (-110)
Miami -13.5 (-115) -1000 U 48.5 (-110)

Monday’s Titans vs Dolphins odds make Miami 13-point favorites while being huge -1000 favorites on the moneyline giving them an implied probability of 90.91% to win. The total for this game is 48.5 points with -110 odds on both the Over and Under.

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How to Watch Tennessee vs Miami

Viewers in the United States can watch the Titans vs Dolphins game on Monday Night Football by tuning into ESPN. Canadian viewers can watch by streaming on DAZN.

Titans vs Dolphins Head-to-Head History

Miami leads the all-time series between these teams 21-18 but it was Tennessee who won 34-3 at home in the last meeting in 2022.

In NFL public betting, the public likes the NFL odds on offer for for the Dolphins. They’re heavily backing Miami to both win outright and cover the spread. Both the money and bet counts are also on the Over.

Henry Clears Concussion Protocol, Simmons Out for Titans

It’s now four losses in five games for the Titans and that one win came against the 1-11 Carolina Panthers. Last week they faced the division rival Indianapolis Colts in a game that erupted into a shootout between backup quarterbacks Gardner Minshew and Will Levis.

Tennessee led 17-13 at the half, but the Colts entered the fourth quarter up 22-19. A Matt Gay field goal by the Colts and DeAndre Hopkins touchdown followed by a missed extra point by the Titans, saw the teams enter overtime tied 25-25. The Colts blocked two punts in the game, returning one for a touchdown and another set them up for a field goal.

The Titans took the lead with a field goal in overtime, but Minshew marched the Colts down the field and found Michael Pittman for a four-yard touchdown pass to give the Colts a 31-28 win.

Minshew finished 26-42 for 312 yards and 2 TDs, while each of Pittman and Alec Pierce topped 100 yards receiving and found the endzone.

Levis was 16-33, 224 yards and one TD himself with Derrick Henry running all over the Colts for 102 yards and two rushing touchdowns. In fact, the Titans gashed the Colts on the ground for 177 yards with Tyjae Spears also gaining 75 yards.

But Tennessee may have some troubles stopping the run themselves this week as their best run stopper Jeffery Simmons has been ruled out with a knee injury. Punter Ryan Stonehouse is done for the year undergoing knee surgery himself after being injured last week, plus CB Kristian Fulton is out for the game with a hamstring.

The good news on the injury front is that Henry, who suffered a concussion last week, has been cleared to play.

Dolphins Keep On Beating Losing Teams & Hill Keeps Scoring TDs

Miami went on the road to Washington last week and put a thumping on Sam Howell and the Commanders to the tune of 45-15. Tua Tagovailoa had 280 yards and two touchdowns through the air, both to Tyreek Hill who had 157 yards receiving on the day.

That gives Hill 12 touchdowns on the season and means he’s found the endzone in each of his last three games and also in 7/8. He’s only not scored a touchdown twice this season, always making him a good touchdown bet in the Titans vs Dolphins props. Especially considering his yardage numbers have been 157, 102 and 146 in his last three games. He’s topped the 100-yard mark 4/5 games and also eight times this season.

Miami’s run game was also churning out yards and scores last week with De’Von Achane scoring twice and Raheem Mostert once.

The Dolphins’ defense held Howell, the league’s second-leading passer to just 127 yards and no touchdowns, while picking him off once.

It was the second-straight big win for Miami after they beat the Jets 34-13 the week prior.

Miami has won three straight and four of five but their last two losses have come against the Chiefs and Eagles—winning teams.

Miami doesn’t beat winning teams. In fact all nine of their wins have come against team with a losing or .500 record. If you’re backing Miami this week in your Titans vs Dolphins picks, that’s good news, since the Titans most definitely don’t have a winning record.

Titans vs Dolphins Head-to-Head Stats

Titans
VS
Dolphins
4-8 / 5-7 Record / ATS 9-3 / 8-4
25th PPG Scored 2nd
27th YPG Offense 1st
27th Passing YPG 1st
17th Rushing YPG 2nd
16th PPG Allowed 21st
17th YPG Allowed 6th
22nd Passing YPG Allowed 9th
13th Rushing YPG Allowed 8th

*Stats heading into Week 13

 

Titans vs Dolphins Prediction

Miami is a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record. If you count the Patriots twice and include the Broncos who are 6-6, they’re 9-0.

Those last two big wins are certainly not Miami’s only lopsided results this season. Their other wins have come by 7, 14, 21, 15, 50, 7 and 2 points going back to Week 1.

Minshew just threw all over this Titans defense last week and Tennessee has road losses in recent weeks of 14 points to Tampa and 20 points this Jacksonville. This is a spot where Miami flourishes. Back the Fins to cover the 13.5 points in the Titans vs Dolphins odds.

Titans vs Dolphins Picks: Dolphins (-13)

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