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Texans vs Patriots TD-Scorer Picks for Divisional Round

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL News

Published:


Rhamondre Stevenson TD celebration
Jan 4, 2026; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson (38) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images
  • The Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots in NFL Divisional Round action Sunday
  • I’m targeting New England RB Rhamondre Stevenson to find the endzone
  • Keep reading for my favorite Texans vs Patriots anytime TD picks

There’s just one ticket left to the AFC Championship, and the Houston Texans and New England Patriots will battle on Sunday to determine who takes on the Denver Broncos.

Scoring may be at a premium in Texans/Patriots, which carried the lowest total into the Divisional Round. The Texans have ripped off nine wins in a row, powered by a defense that ranks first in scoring.

Can Drake Maye, currently in a two-horse race with Matthew Stafford in the NFL MVP odds, solve that riddle? Check out my Texans vs Patriots TD scorer props below.

Texans vs Patriots Touchdown Scorer Odds

PlayerAnytime TDFirst TD
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE)+165+700
Woody Marks (HOU)+170+750
Hunter Henry (NE)+190+850
Stefon Diggs (NE)+200+900
TreVeyon Henderson (NE)+230+1200
Dalton Schultz (HOU)+230+1100
Christian Kirk (HOU)+280+1300
Drake Maye (NE)+340+1500
Jayden Higgins (HOU)+350+1500
Kayshon Boutte (NE)+390+1700
Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)+400+1700
Demario Douglas (NE)+550+2200
Austin Hooper (NE)+700+2500
Cade Stover (HOU)+700+3000
Texans D/ST+800+3000
C.J. Stroud (HOU)+800+3300
Kyle Williams (NE)+850+3300
Patriots D/ST+9500+4000
Jaylin Noel (HOU)+1000+4000
Jawhar Jordan (HOU)+1000+5000
Efton Chism III (NE)+1200+6500
Nick Chubb (HOU)+1200+5500

The lead running backs on both teams lead the way with the best odds to score an anytime TD. New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson sits at +165 odds, while Woody Marks is right behind him at +170.

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Odds as of 10am ET on Jan 18. Be sure to check SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Divisional Round game.

Check out SBD’s additional Houston/New England coverage:

Texans vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Bet #1: Rhamondre Stevenson

  • Dawson Knox Anytime TD (+165) at FanDuel

Perhaps the only surprise here is that Rhamondre Stevenson has plus odds to find the endzone against the Texans.

The fifth-year man has been a TD machine for the Patriots of late, and even though he was held out of the endzone in the Wild Card round in a 16-3 win over the Chargers, he was still mighty productive, with 53 yards rushing and 75 yards receiving.

Prior to that game, Stevenson had tallied six touchdowns in his previous three contests.

Rhamondre Stevenson Last Four Games

Week OpponentTouchdowns
Wild CardChargers0
18Dolphins3 (2 rush, 1 rec)
17Jets2 (1 rush, 1 rec)
16Ravens1 (rush)

Stevenson operates as the lead back for the rushing attack, but he’s also Maye’s security blanket on the checkdown, which means he should be heavily involved in the offensive package.

Houston ranked fourth against the rush this season, one of five teams to hold opponents less than 100 yards per game, but they did allow 13 rushing scores on the year. Stevenson will have every chance to make it 14 on Sunday.

Texans vs Patriots Anytime Touchdown Bet #2: Nick Chubb

  • Nick Chubb Anytime TD (+1200) at FanDuel

I know Woody Marks is the lead back for the Texans, and if Houston intends to advance on the AFC side of the NFL playoff bracket, he’ll likely need to have a productive day.

That doesn’t mean backup veteran Nick Chubb can’t contribute, and he’s got a great +1200 line to do that. He’s only had three touchdowns on the season, and just one since the Texans came off their Week 6 bye, a total of nine games.

Chubb isn’t just getting garbage-tine work. In the Wild Card round against the Steelers, Chubb got 10 carries, good for 48 yards.

In a game with stakes this high, there’s a chance the Texans lean into the veteran, who’s currently backing up rookie 4th-rounder Woody Marks, who has just one TD catch in his final seven games of the year.

While Chubb won’t supplant Marks’ carries, we’re banking on him to steal some red zone touches and perhaps turn one of those into a TD.

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Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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