- 84% of Sharp money is on Baltimore to cover -4.5 spread vs Texans
- The Ravens have covered the spread in its last three games, including in victories against NE and SEA
- Get the odds, our pick, and all the info you need to bet the game below
There’s been little to no movement in point spread odds for Sunday’s matchup between AFC division leaders Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans.
Online sportsbooks released their odds, which list the red-hot Ravens as the 4.5-point favorites going into the highly anticipated Week 11 game.
Can the Ravens extend their winning streak to six games while also covering the spread on Sunday? Here’s a closer look at the odds and stats for the game.
Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Odds
|Houston Texans||+4.5 (-111)||+184||O 51 (-110)|
|Baltimore Ravens||-4.5 (-109)||-220||UU 51 (-110)|
Odds taken on Nov. 16.
One prominent sportsbook has reported figures that shows bettors heavily backing Baltimore heading into Sunday’s game. The stats reveal that 58% of wagers by handle are on the Ravens while the bet count shows 73% of the wagers swinging in favor of Baltimore.
How do the sharps see this game? Well, 84% of the sharp money is also going on the Ravens.
Get to know the guy who’s got more than 100 snaps on both offense and defense this year. pic.twitter.com/rl8vsiout4
— GMFB (@gmfb) November 13, 2019
Line History: Ravens Hold Firm at -4.5
The spread opened at 4.5 points in favor of the Ravens and the odds hovered around the same price with some lines reaching as high at 5.5. However, the spread has seemed to settle on 4.5 and should stay around that mark leading up to kickoff on Sunday (1 p.m., CBS).
How have both of these teams performed against the spread this season? Let’s start with the Ravens, who have won five straight and lead the AFC North Division at 7-2.
— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2019
Don’t let Baltimore’s 4-5 ATS record deceive you. The Ravens went five games without covering the spread, but Baltimore has covered its last three going into action on Sunday.
Houston is 5-4 ATS but the club’s inconsistency in that category all season makes it tough for bettors to get a read on the Texans, who lead the AFC South Division standings at 6-3. Houston has been more successful ATS on the road, boasting a 4-1 record away from NRG Stadium.
Spotlight on Lamar Jackson vs Deshaun Watson
The Over/Under is at a high 51 and for good reason.
With quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson in the spotlight, this game has the makings to be a high-scoring affair.
Watson currently ranks 12th overall in passing yards (2,432) but his 70.2 completion percentage has made the Texans QB one of the most accurate pivots in the NFL.
At the other end of the field, Jackson has proven to be more than just a rushing QB for the Ravens. The second-year pivot has already set career-highs in many stat categories, including passing yards (2,036).
Jackson has been the backbone of Baltimore’s success, leading the Ravens to major wins over the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks.
However, it won’t get any easier against the Texans.
What is the Best Bet?
If you’re basing your betting decision on head-to-head history between these two teams, it’ll be hard to ignore the fact that the Ravens have won eight of the last 10 against the Texans dating back to 2002.
For a more recent assessment, Baltimore has won two of their last three against the Texans, including a 23-16 victory in 2017 — the last time these two teams played each other.
The Ravens are 3-1 at home and are 5-2 against AFC Conference opponents.
The Texans are 5-1 against AFC Conference opponents and have split their last two games on the road heading into Week 11.
This game will likely finish within a field-goal going either way, so take the Texans to cover the spread.
Pick: Houston Texans (+4.5, -111)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.