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Titans Super Bowl 54 Odds Keep Getting Worse, Offered at 64-1 Entering April

Derrick Henry, running back for the Tennessee Titans looks for a hole.
Can Derrick Henry and the Titans actually emerge as a threat next season? Photo by Mario957 (Wikimedia Commons)
  • The Tennessee Titans opened at +5000 but their Super Bowl 54 odds have gotten worse since then
  • It’s not like the Titans haven’t made improvements this NFL offseason either
  • Is there any value in jumping on them with average odds around +6400?

This offseason, the Tenessee Titans have not dramatically changed from the team that went 9-7 in 2018 and missed the playoffs by a game. Yet somehow, their Super Bowl odds have greatly shifted since odds for the 2019 season were first posted.

Once an average of +5000, the Titans are now getting around +6400 odds to win Super Bowl 54.

Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team Odds at Book 1 Odds at Book 2
Kansas City Chiefs +750 +700
New England Patriots +800 +700
New Orleans Saints +800 +900
Los Angeles Rams +1000 +1000
Cleveland Browns +1400 +1200
Chicago Bears +1400 +1400
Philadelphia Eagles +1600 +1400
Indianapolis Colts +1600 +1600
Los Angeles Chargers +1600 +1600
Green Bay Packers +2200 +1800
Tennessee Titans +6600 +6000

*Odds taken 04/02/19

Is there any reason to jump on this team now?

Are the Titans Done Being “A Team to Watch?”

No franchise has appeared on more”NFL Teams that could make the leap” lists over the past three years than the Tennessee Titans. Yet despite the once enticing promise of a young Marcus Mariota and a loaded backfield, all the Titans have done over the past three years is churn out identically forgettable 9-7 years.

Titans Last 3 Seasons

Year Points For (League Rank) Points Against (League Rank) Record
2016 23.8 (14th) 23.6 (16th) 9-7
2017 20.9 (19th) 22.3 (17th) 9-7
2018 19.4 (27th) 18.9 (3rd) 9-7

They also had one of the luckiest playoff upsets ever, beating the Kansas City Chiefs in the Wild Card Round in 2017. But their Divisional Round loss to the New England Patriots showed how far this team still was from Super Bowl contention.

Heading into this offseason, the Titans seem even farther away. The strength of last year’s team was a defense that allowed the third fewest points per game in the league. But looking back, it’s unclear why this defense was effective. Tennessee ranked 18th in Defensive DVOA, they only generated 17 takeaways, and they didn’t have much of a pass rush.

Right now, the Titans edge rushers for next year are led by unproven second year Harold Landry and 37-year-old Cameron Wake, so expecting a marked improvement in this area would be… not bright.

Can the Offense Pick Up the Slack?

Preparing for his fifth season under his fourth different offensive coordinator, Mariota has yet to take the next step. There will be extra pressure on the former second overall pick to perform this season, considering he’s playing for a new contract. Also, he’ll definitely get hurt at some point. Luckily…

With Tannehill and Mariota, the Titans have the perfect combination of quarterbacks to continue their 9-7 streak. But given the lack of playmakers in Tennessee’s wide receiver corps, a mediocre season figures to be their ceiling.

Why Their Odds are Tanking

It’s s much easier to get excited about the rest of the AFC South, as these teams look poised to take bigger strides forward. The Colts are among the Super Bowl favorites, the Texans have a roster loaded with talent, and the Jaguars have enlisted a Lululemon model to fix their longstanding quarterback issues.

The Titans appear to be the worst team in this division and it’s far from one of the league’s best to begin with. It makes sense that they have odds on par with teams like Detroit and Tampa Bay.

Falcons a Better Long Shot

Their odds are only about half as good as Tennessee’s but you can actually envision this team in a Super Bowl, because they were just in one three years ago. There is a lot of value in the Atlanta Falcons at +3300.

Their defense will be much improved with Keanu Neal, Ricardo Allen and of Deion Jones all back for a full season (they’ll likely spend the 14th overall pick on that side of the ball as well). Steve Sarkisian is also gone, so Atlanta’s red zone offense may stand a chance this year as well.

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