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Updated NFL Win Totals for All 32 Teams Ahead of Week 2 – Broncos, Saints on the Rise, Giants and Falcons Fading

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Sep 16, 2021 · 4:53 PM PDT

New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston getting ready to hand the ball off to Alvin Kamara
New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers, Sunday, Sep. 12, 2021, in Jacksonville. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
  • The New Orleans Saints (9.5-10.5) and Denver Broncos (8.5-10.5) were both on the move in the NFL win total list following solid Week 1 victories
  • Meanwhile, the New York Giants (7.0-5.5) and Atlanta Falcons (7.5-5.5) both sunk further following dismal opening-game performances
  • All of the up-to-date NFL win totals are listed in the story below

Who knew that life could be such a breeze for the New Orleans Saints in the post-Drew Brees era? Evidently, not NFL oddsmakers.

In their first game with Jameis Winston as QB1 in place of retired future Hall-of-Famer Brees, the Saints crushed the Green Bay Packers, 38-3. All the Packers did last season was win the NFC North and play host to the NFC Championship Game.

That performance caused the NFL season win total on the Saints jump from 9.5-10.5. However, the biggest mover following Week 1 was the Denver Broncos. A solid 27-13 victory over the New York Giants resulted in Denver’s win total climbing to 10.5 from 8.5.

Meanwhile, the Giants (7.0-5.5) and the Atlanta Falcons (7.5-5.5) were the teams whose win projections slipped the most. The Falcons were whipped 32-6 by a Philadelphia Eagles team that went 4-11-1 last season.

2021 NFL Win Total Odds

Team Win Total Over Odds Under Odds
Arizona Cardinals 9.5 -120 +110
Atlanta Falcons 5.5 -140 +115
Baltimore Ravens 9.5 -125 +105
Buffalo Bills 10.5 -135 +110
Carolina Panthers 7.5 -140 +115
Chicago Bears 6.5 -130 +110
Cincinnati Bengals 6.5 -125 +105
Cleveland Browns 10.5 -110 -110
Dallas Cowboys 8.5 -125 +105
Denver Broncos 10.5 -110 -110
Detroit Lions 4.5 -130 +110
Green Bay Packers 10.5 -130 +110
Houston Texans 4.5 -130 +110
Indianapolis Colts 7.5 -110 -110
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5 -155 +125
Kansas City Chiefs 12.5 -125 +105
Las Vegas Raiders 7.5 -110 -110
Los Angeles Chargers 9.5 -140 +115
Los Angeles Rams 11.5 -120 +100
Miami Dolphins 9.5 -125 +105
Minnesota Vikings 7.5 -120 +110
New England Patriots 8.5 -110 -110
New Orleans Saints 10.5 -120 +110
New York Giants 5.5 -125 +105
New York Jets 5.5 -130 +110
Philadelphia Eagles 7.5 -125 +115
Pittsburgh Steelers 8.5 -130 +110
San Francisco 49ers 11.5 -130 +110
Seattle Seahawks 10.5 -140 +115
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12.5 -110 -110
Tennessee Titans 8.5 -110 -110
Washington Football Team 7.5 -110 -110

All odds as of September 16th at DraftKings.

Saints Smokin’ With Winston

It took Winston just one game to accomplish a feat that NFL all-time touchdown pass leader Brees never achieved in 9,421 pass attempts as the Saints QB. He threw a TD pass that covered 50 yards.

Certainly the Saints are living in a different world with Winston under center. He can air it out. The dink and dunk, ball-control game played under Brees is no longer the required route for the offense to run.

Even Brees, working as an analyst for NBC, suggested in a classic self-own that perhaps this was the element lacking from the New Orleans attack. Historically, when Winston’s been good, he’s been very good. And when he’s been bad, well, those games are sometimes so hideous that they should come with a viewer warning attached.

In 2019, his last season as the starter for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Winston led the NFL in both passing yardage (5,109) and interceptions (30). True, he’s never played for a team with a defense as good as this Saints team. But it’s always risky making an investment in Winston futures. He finds ways to disrupt any prosperity he encounters.

That being said, counting two NFC South games each against the Falcons and Panthers, and with non-divisional opponents such as the Jets, Giants, Eagles and Washington on tap, going over 10.5 wins is doable.

Broncos’ Bridge Over Troubled Waters?

In his debut as the Broncos QB, Teddy Bridgewater’s completion percentage was 77.8 and his passer rating was 115.3. He threw for two TDs. Bridgewater completed 28 passes for all of 264 yards, – an average of 7.33 yards per attempt – so he wasn’t exactly airing it out.

Still, this is a team that’s run out Tim Tebow, Brock Osweiler, and Trevor Siemian as starting QBs. It doesn’t take much for a QB to impress Broncos fans these days.

Besides, with Denver’s run game and stellar defense, Bridgewater’s task is to manage the game and not make mistakes. He performed his job with aplomb in the opener.

In the rugged AFC West, and with crossover matchups against the equally deep AFC North, 10.5 wins will prove a challenging barrier for Denver to clear.

They Are Who We Thought They Were

How much of Bridgewater’s success is predicated on the fact that he was facing the Giants? It’s a question worthy of debate. New York’s NFC team has lost at least ten games in six of the past seven seasons and there’s reason to suspect that they can go 7-for-8.

Running back Saquon Barkley’s knee is far from 100%. QB Daniel Jones continues to prove he’s not going to be the guy to lead the Giants out of the wilderness.

The Falcons might be ready to give Jacksonville a run for the title of NFL’s worst team. They played an Eagles squad that was abysmal last season and Philly mopped up the field with Atlanta.

Both of these teams are locks to go under their win total numbers.

Will Pack Bounce Back?

In the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ 2020 season opener, they got smacked 38-3 by the Saints. At the end of the season, the Bucs earned an embrace with the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

In their 2021 NFL season opener, the Packers got smacked 38-3 by the Saints. Will they be embracing the bauble named after the most famous coach in the history of the franchise come the end of this season? Don’t bet on that.

Will the Packers bounce back to go over their projected win total of 10.5? Let’s talk about that.

For starters, what’s up with QB Aaron Rodgers? In his recent photos, Rodgers resembles a person of interest rather than future hall of famer. He looks more like someone who’s in jeopardy than someone was was on Jeopardy.

Combine his offseason pouty fit with his subtle embracing of right-wing conspiracy theories. Should we be worried about what’s going on in Mr Rodgers’ neighborhood?

We haven’t even discussed his Week 1 performance. The reigning NFL MVP was 15-for-28 for 133 yards and was picked off twice.

It’s never wise to make long-term assessments based upon the small sample sizes. If you’re worried about Green Bay, you haven’t spent enough time looking around at the rest of the NFC North.

The Packers will win the NFC North but probably won’t be better than 9-8 or 10-7 at best.

Play the under on Green Bay’s win total.

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