- The Green Bay Packers (11-3) face the Minnesota Vikings (10-4) in Week 16 on Monday Night Football
- Green Bay is a 4-point underdog on the road
- Read below for our prediction on how the point spread will move before kickoff
Two teams coming off of huge victories in Week 15 are set up for a massive matchup on Monday Night Football. The 11-3 Packers travel to Minnesota for a showdown with the 10-4 Vikings.
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Odds
|Green Bay Packers||+4 (-110)||+175||Over 46.0 (-115)|
|Minnesota Vikings||-4 (-110)||-205||Under 46.0 (-105)|
Odds taken Dec. 15
Minnesota opened as a 4-point favorite in the Week 16 odds, and is fresh off a dominant performance on the road. They went to Los Angeles and secured a 39-10 win over the Chargers as a short favorite.
Along the way, the Vikings picked off Phillip Rivers on three occasions, and it was a different defender each time. Anthony Harris, Harrison Smith, and Mike Hughes all recorded interceptions on Sunday.
Kirk Cousins was solid, going 19-of-25 for 207 yards, along with a touchdown and an interception. He was aided by 137 yards from the running game, including 56 yards from Mike Boone, 25 yards from Ameer Abdullah, and 27 yards from Dalvin Cook before he left with an injury.
Green Bay’s victory was a much closer affair, but still a victory nonetheless. Given that it came against the arch-rival Chicago Bears, the 21-13 win was extra sweet.
Chicago fields the league’s 13th-ranked pass defense, allowing just 230.2 yards per game, and they were a tough roadblock for the Green Bay offense on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers was just 16-of-33 for 203 yards and a single touchdown, posting a passer rating of just 78.2. On Monday night, he’ll face a defense that is the NFL’s 16th-ranked pass defense, just three spots behind Chicago.
For the Packers to grab Sunday’s victory, it was the defense that came through. Both Dean Lowry and Jaire Alexander intercepted Mitchell Trubisky, but it was Kenny Clark up front who truly changed the game. He had 6 tackles on Sunday, including three for a loss. He also sacked Trubisky twice.
This Monday night matchup will be massive in the NFC North race. Green Bay has clinched a playoff spot, and the Vikings are just one game behind the Packers. It’s very likely that the team that finishes in second place can still grab a Wild Card spot, but that doesn’t diminish the importance of this matchup at all.
Winning the division would keep the victor at home early in the playoffs, and potentially give them a bye week, pending results from the rest of the playoff field.
Two weeks remain in the hunt for the playoffs, and Monday’s game is as good as it gets when it comes to late-season drama.
Where Will the Line Move?
This game features two teams that have been just okay against the spread. Green Bay is 8-5 this season, while the Vikings are 7-6. Both squads are 2-3 in their last five contests. Neither has been severely underrated of overrated by oddsmakers in 2019.
The potential for movement sits on the popularity of the Packers as a side. Green Bay is playing well, and Aaron Rodgers is getting four points. That alone is enough to surmise that the line could move down to a field goal.
However, Minnesota’s recent performance should keep this line from moving much further than that. Both teams have won four of their last five, and with Kirk Cousins playing the best football of his career, the Vikings will get their fair share of the action as well.
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