Week 10 NFL Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Sunday, November 15

• There are 12 games on schedule for Sunday of Week 10
• Our prop bets from Week 9 went 3-4 but we made 0.19 units
• See the player props and touchdown props for every game on Sunday below

Week 10 of the NFL season continues Sunday, November 15 with a very rare day that sees more games in the second block than the first. Regardless of what time they kick off, we have a total of 12 games on Sunday again.

I’ve rounded up all the major player props – passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders – as well as the odds to score the first touchdown and any touchdown for the top contenders in each game. You’ll also find my favorite props to bet for each below the tables.

Week 10 NFL Player Props

Odds taken on November 14 from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM

Aaron Jones Explodes in Week 10

There is an 80% chance of rain for the Jaguars vs Packers game on Sunday, with 25-35 mph wind and gusts up to 50 mph. That’s going to make throwing the ball pretty difficult.

The Jaguars have allowed the sixth-most yards per game on the ground this season and Aaron Jones is averaging 5.0 yards per carry in 2020. Week 9 was his first appearance since a tough game against the Bucs in Week 6.

He only ran for 58 yards against the 49ers in Week 9, but the game was over early. He’ll be well rested coming into this one and I see the Packers leaning on him with the lousy weather.

Pick: Aaron Jones over 69.5 rushing yards (-112) – 2 units

Stefon Diggs Logs Another Big Game

The total for this game is a week-high 56. Both offences should be able to move the ball at will. For the Bills, I foresee a lot of those yards being racked up through the air.

Remember when people said the Bills gave up too much for Stefon Diggs? 🤔

NFL Rank
91 Targets 1st
63 rec* 1st
813 rec yds* 1st

*On Pace to Set Bills’ Single-Season Record pic.twitter.com/y20ruf5oh2

— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) November 13, 2020

Diggs is averaging seven receptions and 90.3 receiving yards per game this season. Of the nine games he’s played in 2020, he’s gone over five receptions in all but one, and over 78 receiving yards in six. In what should be a shootout, Josh Allen will be looking to his favorite receiver early and often.

Patrick Peterson is also not the shutdown corner he once was.

Pick: Stefon Diggs over 5.5 receptions (-155) and over 78.5 receiving yards (-112) – 1 unit on each

Odds to Score a Touchdown in Week 10

Which Players Should You Bet to Score a Touchdown?

With so many options, let me run through a few players I believe present value in bullet form:

1. James Robinson anytime TD (+115): Robinson is Jacksonville’s workhorse. He has carried the ball 47 times over the last two weeks, and averages 3.4 receptions per game this season. Green Bay cannot stop the run and they’ve allowed 11 rushing touchdowns in eight games. (1 unit)
2. Nick Chubb anytime TD (-112): The Browns have really missed Chubb. They only averaged 95.5 rushing yards per game in four games without him, versus 204.5 per game with him. Houston allows 5.1 yards per carry and has given up 11 touchdowns on the ground this season. (1 unit)
3. Chase Edmonds anytime TD (+105): The Bills vs Cardinals game has the highest total of Week 10, set at 56.5. No team has allowed more rushing touchdowns this season than Buffalo. Kyler Murray has eight rushing touchdowns already and teams are going to start keying on him in the red zone. (0.5 units)
4. Giovani Bernard anytime TD (+190): Joe Mixon is currently listed as doubtful. The moment he is officially ruled out, these odds will shorten close to +100. Bernard has three touchdowns over the last two games without Mixon. (1 unit)