Week 12 NFL Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Sunday, November 29

Michael Thomas shaking off a defender after catching a pass
Michael Thomas is coming off his best game of the 2020 season. (Photo by Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire)
  • Sunday of Week 12 was potentially going to have 13 games on schedule, but we’re back to 12 with the Ravens vs Steelers moved to Tuesday
  • Our prop bets from Week 11 went 5-4 and we made 0.67 units
  • See the player props and touchdown props for every game on Sunday below

My Week 11 would have been much better if Lamar Jackson could have found four more yards on the ground, or if Nick Chubb didn’t have his goal line carries stolen by Kareem Hunt. We still ended up in the plus, nonetheless.

We were originally supposed to have another 12 games on tap for Sunday of Week 12, but the Ravens vs Steelers game, originally scheduled for Thanksgiving Thursday, was added to the slate. You’ll find the over/unders for the major players in all of Sunday’s games, outside of the Sunday night game, as well as the odds for all significant players to score a touchdown below.

Week 12 NFL Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Sam Darnold (NYJ) N/A N/A N/A
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) N/A N/A N/A
Mike Glennon (JAX) N/A N/A N/A
Baker Mayfield (CLE) 18.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Brandon Allen (CIN) 18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 215.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +165 | Un -210)
Daniel Jones (NYG) 20.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 235.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Josh Allen (BUF) 24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 285.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -177 | Un +140)
Justin Herbert (LAC) 26.5 (Ov -105 | Un -120) 275.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145)
Matt Ryan (ATL) 24.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 299.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -230 | Un +180)
Derek Carr (LV) 23.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 272.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +165)
Cam Newton (NE) 20.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134) 220.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 252.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -157 | Un +125)
Philip Rivers (IND) 24.5 (Ov -103 | Un -121) 269.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -177 | Un +140)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 20.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 239.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 19.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 227.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)
Teddy Bridgewater (CAR) 23.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 255.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -167 | Un +134)
Drew Lock (DEN) 21.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 240.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157)
Taysom Hill (NO) 17.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 200.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134)
Jared Goff (LAR) N/A N/A N/A
Nick Mullens (SF) N/A N/A N/A
Tom Brady (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Patrick Mahomes (KC) N/A N/A N/A
Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Frank Gore (NYJ) N/A N/A N/A
Matt Breida (MIA) N/A N/A N/A
James Robinson (JAX) N/A N/A N/A
Nick Chubb (CLE) 19.5 (Ov -104 | Un -120) 87.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Kareem Hunt (CLE) 12.5 (Ov -104 | Un -120) 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Giovani Bernard (CIN) N/A N/A N/A
Wayne Gallman (NYG) 14.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134) 56.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 67.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Zack Moss (BUF) 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130) 40.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 51.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130) 33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 50.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
Kalen Ballage (LAC) N/A N/A N/A
Brian Hill (ATL) N/A N/A N/A
Josh Jacobs (LV) 19.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115) 75.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 92.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Damien Harris (NE) 11.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125) 48.5 (Ov -121 | Un -104) 55.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Cam Newton (NE) 8.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 42.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Kenyan Drake (ARI) 13.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 61.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 9.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Jordan Wilkins (IND) N/A N/A N/A
Nyheim Hines (IND) N/A N/A N/A
Jonathan Taylor (IND) N/A N/A N/A
Derrick Henry (TEN) 21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 87.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Dalvin Cook (MIN) N/A 112.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Mike Davis (CAR) 13.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 55.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 81.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Melvin Gordon (DEN) 11.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 41.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Phillip Lindsay (DEN) 7.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 34.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 83.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Latavius Murray (NO) 10.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Taysom Hill (NO) 10.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 53.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Darrell Henderson (LAR) N/A N/A N/A
Cam Akers (LAR) N/A N/A N/A
Jerick McKinnon (SF) N/A N/A N/A
Raheem Mostert (SF) N/A N/A N/A
Ronald Jones (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Leonard Fournette (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) N/A N/A N/A
Le’Veon Bell (KC) N/A N/A N/A
Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Jamison Crowder (NYJ) N/A N/A N/A
Denzel Mims (NYJ) N/A N/A N/A
DeVante Parker (MIA) N/A N/A N/A
Mike Gesicki (MIA) N/A N/A N/A
Jakeem Grant (MIA) N/A N/A N/A
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) N/A N/A N/A
Laviska Shenault Jr (JAX) N/A N/A N/A
Keelan Cole (JAX) N/A N/A N/A
Jarvis Landry (CLE) 3.5 (Ov -167 | Un +133) 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)
Rashard Higgins (CLE) 2.5 (Ov -137 | Un +110) 39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Tee Higgins (CIN) 4.5 (Ov +134 | Un -167) 51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
AJ Green (CIN) 2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145) 39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Tyler Boyd (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 55.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Sterling Shepard (NYG) 4.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134) 51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Darius Slayton (NYG) 3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 46.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Evan Engram (NYG) 3.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 84.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Cole Beasley (BUF) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143) 61.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Keenan Allen (LAC) 7.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 77.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Hunter Henry (LAC)  (Ov +140| Un -177) 42.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Mike Williams (LAC) 3.5 (Ov +118 | Un -148) 42.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Julio Jones (ATL) N/A N/A N/A
Calvin Ridley (ATL) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -132) 75.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) N/A
Hayden Hurst (ATL) N/A N/A N/A
Nelson Agholar (LV) 3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 46.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)
Darren Waller (LV) 5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 57.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Henry Ruggs III (LV) 2.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)
Jakobi Meyers (NE) 4.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 56.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110)
Damiere Byrd (NE) 3.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 46.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 20.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105)
Christian Kirk (ARI) 4.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 56.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)
DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) 5.5 (Ov -157 | Un +125) 73.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -105)
Michael Pittman (IND) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124) 52.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
TY Hilton (IND) 3.5 (Ov +117 | Un -148) 37.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
AJ Brown (TEN) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105) 59.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Corey Davis (TEN) 3.5 (Ov -162 | Un +130) 52.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Jonnu Smith (TEN) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -137) 31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Kyle Rudolph (MIN) 3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -177) 33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 73.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
DJ Moore (CAR) 4.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 59.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Robby Anderson (CAR) 5.5 (Ov -157 | Un +125) 70.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Curtis Samuel (CAR) 4.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Noah Fant (DEN) N/A N/A N/A
Jerry Jeudy (DEN) N/A N/A N/A
Michael Thomas (NO) 5.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 68.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118)
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) 2.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -112)
Jared Cook (NO) N/A 18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Cooper Kupp (LAR) N/A N/A N/A
Robert Woods (LAR) N/A N/A N/A
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) N/A N/A N/A
Kendrick Bourne (SF) N/A N/A N/A
Mike Evans (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Antonio Brown (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Chris Godwin (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Rob Gronkowski (TB) N/A N/A N/A
Travis Kelce (KC) N/A N/A N/A
Tyreek Hill (KC) N/A N/A N/A
Sammy Watkins (KC) N/A N/A N/A

Odds as of November 28

Michael Thomas Shines with Taysom Hill

Michael Thomas is coming off his best week of the season, turning 12 targets into nine catches for 104 yards. This came in Taysom Hill’s first career start, against a very bad Falcons pass defense.

He faces a much tougher pass defense in Week 12 and a much tougher individual matchup. Denver has allowed the ninth-fewest yards through the air and Bryce Callahan has been enjoying a fantastic season.

Here’s why he can overcome it: Taysom Hill is not Drew Brees. This benefits Michael Thomas in two ways: (1) he sees targets further than 15 yards downfield, and (2) Hill does not spread the ball around the way Brees does. As mentioned, Thomas saw 12 targets last week, which is good for a 52.2% target share.

Thomas is healthy and has a quarterback forcing the ball into him. He’ll go over 68.5 yards on Sunday.

Pick: Michael Thomas over 68.5 receiving yards (-112) – 1 unit 

Justin Herbert Goes Over His Passing Yards Total

The total in the Chargers vs Bills game is set at 53. Buffalo boasts the league’s 11th-ranked offense in points scored, while the Chargers rank 15th. LA has averaged 29.7 points per game since Week 4, though. These points are not a result of strong running games, either.

The total in this game is also high because neither team possesses a very good defense. The Chargers have allowed the ninth-most points, while the Bills have allowed the 13th-most.

What I’m saying here is that neither offense is going to have trouble scoring. Get ready for a shootout in this one, where Justin Herbert will have to throw nearly 50 times. The rookie is averaging 299.9 passing yards per game and has gone over 275 yards in seven of his nine starts.

Pick: Justin Herbert over 275.5 passing yards (-112) – 1 unit

Odds to Score a Touchdown in Week 12

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Frank Gore (NYJ) +950 +150
Jamison Crowder (NYJ) +1300 +225
Denzel Mims (NYJ) +1300 +225
Myles Gaskin (MIA) +550 -121
DeVante Parker (MIA) +950 +150
Mike Gesicki (MIA) +1000 +150
Matt Breida (MIA) +1200 +210
James Robinson (JAX) +750 -125
Keelan Cole (JAX) +900 +110
Laviska Shenault Jr (JAX) +1500 +210
Nick Chubb (CLE) +550 -155
Kareem Hunt (CLE) +700 -112
Jarvis Landry (CLE) +1200 +180
Austin Hooper (CLE) +1500 +240
Cam Newton (NE) +500 -175
Damien Harris (NE) +750 +105
James White (NE) +1000 +150
Jakobi Meyers (NE) +1400 +220
Kyler Murray (ARI) +600 -152
DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) +700 -120
Christian Kirk (ARI) +800 +100
Kenyan Drake (ARI) +900 +115
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +1000 +110
Josh Allen (BUF) +1000 +110
Zack Moss (BUF) +1200 +130
Devin Singletary (BUF) +1600 +200
Keenan Allen (LAC) +900 +125
Mike Williams (LAC) +1200 +175
Kalen Ballage (LAC) +1200 +175
Hunter Henry (LAC) +1300 +200
Giovani Bernard (CIN) +900 +140
Tee Higgins (CIN) +1300 +240
Tyler Boyd (CIN) +1500 +260
AJ Green (CIN) +2000 +350
Wayne Gallman (NYG) +650 +105
Darius Slayton (NYG) +800 +125
Evan Engram (NYG) +950 +150
Sterling Shepard (NYG) +1100 +180
Brian Hill (ATL) +750 -115
Calvin Ridley (ATL) +850 +100
Julio Jones (ATL) +1000 +115
Hayden Hurst (ATL) +1200 +160
Josh Jacobs (LV) +550 -167
Darren Waller (LV) +900 +110
Nelson Agholar (LV) +1300 +180
Henry Ruggs III (LV) +1400 +200
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +700 -121
Nyhiem Hines (IND) +1000 +130
Michael Pittman Jr (IND) +1300 +200
TY Hilton (IND) +1500 +225
Zach Pascal (IND) +2000 +300
Derrick Henry (TEN) +550 -162
AJ Brown (TEN) +1100 +145
Jonnu Smith (TEN) +1100 +145
Corey Davis (TEN) +1300 +165
Dalvin Cook (MIN) +325 -400
Justin Jefferson (MIN) +700 -112
Kyle Rudolph (MIN) +1500 +220
Alexander Mattison (MIN) +2200 +350
Mike Davis (CAR) +550 -162
Robby Anderson (CAR) +1200 +165
DJ Moore (CAR) +1200 +165
Melvin Gordon (DEN) +950 +165
Tim Patrick (DEN) +1300 +250
Noah Fant (DEN) +1500 +275
Jerry Jeudy (DEN) +1600 +300
Alvin Kamara (NO) +525 -125
Taysom Hill (NO) +650 +110
Michael Thomas (NO) +800 +135
Jared Cook (NO) +1800 +325
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) +1800 +325
Darrell Henderson (LAR) +800 +125
Robert Woods (LAR) +950 +150
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +950 +150
Malcolm Brown (LAR) +1050 +175
Cam Akers (LAR) +1300 +225
Raheem Mostert (SF) +1050 +175
Tevin Coleman (SF) +1050 +175
Jerick McKinnon (SF) +1100 +180
Mike Evans (TB) +1050 +125
Ronald Jones (TB) +1200 +135
Antonio Brown (TB) +1300 +165
Leonard Fournette (TB) +1500 +190
Chris Godwin (TB) +1500 +190
Rob Gronkowski (TB) +1600 +225
Travis Kelce (KC) +750 -121
Tyreek Hill (KC) +750 -125
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +1100 +135
Sammy Watkins (KC) +1600 +220
Demarcus Robinson (KC) +2000 +260

Which Players Should You Bet to Score a Touchdown?

As you know, I’m not in the business of taking lottery tickets. So you won’t find me betting anyone to score the first touchdown of the game in Week 12. Here are a handful of players I like to score a touchdown at anytime in their respective games:

  1. Wayne Gallman anytime touchdown (+105): The Giants running back has a touchdown in four consecutive games and a total of five touchdowns in that span. The Bengals allow a league-worst 5.0 yards per carry, and based on the spread, the G-Men expect to be playing with a lead for much of this game. (1.5 units)
  2. Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown (-125): the Chiefs’ speedy wide receiver has scored a touchdown eight of ten games this season. Kansas City loves his speed in the red zone and Tampa Bay will not be able to match. (1 unit)
  3. Zack Moss anytime touchdown (+130): The Chargers gave La’Mical Perine his second career touchdown last week and allow 4.6 yards per carry. Moss has emerged as Buffalo’s lead back since returning from injury, and has six carries from inside the five-yard-line in his seven games this season. In what should be a high-scoring game, evident by the 53-point total, I like Moss to get more red zone carries. (1 unit)
  4. Cam Akers anytime touchdown (+225): I’m of the belief that it’s only a matter of time before Akers takes over the Rams’ backfield. He scored his first career touchdown last week and is averaging 8.7 touches in his last three games. The likelihood of the Rams playing with a lead against the Niners tells me we’ll see plenty of Akers on Sunday. (0.5 units)
  5. Kareem Hunt anytime touchdown (-112): As I’ve been saying for a couple of weeks now, I’m betting on the Browns running game. Sportsbooks have finally shortened Nick Chubb’s touchdown odds, limiting our edge, but I still see value in Hunt finding the endzone against a banged-up Jags defense this weekend. Hunt has a touchdown in four of the six games where Chubb plays this year, and Cleveland should find themselves in plenty of goal-to-go situations on Sunday. (1 unit)
  6. Taysom Hill anytime touchdown (+110): Hill found the endzone twice in his first start last week, and I like Sean Payton to continue leaning on him in the red zone against a strong Broncos secondary. (1 unit)
Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.