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Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread – Early Lines to Target

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Dec 13, 2023 · 10:27 AM PST

In the NFL Week 15 ATS picks, Tommy DeVito and the Giants are 6-point road underdogs at the Saints.
Dec 11, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Tommy DeVito (15) throws a pass during the second quarter against the Green Bay Packers at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • In the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread, the Dallas Cowboys (9-4 ATS) are the team with league’s best cover rate (69.2%)
  • The Carolina Panthers (2-9-2) have returned to their role as the NFL’s worst ATS team this season
  • All of the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread and early lines to target are outlined in the story below

As Week 14 came to a conclusion and we look ahead to the Week 15 NFL picks against the spread, as hard as it may be to believe, things got worse. The fall of 1-2 took a tumble downward.

An 0-2-1 week of ATS picks was heartbreaking, to say the least. If the Ravens and Vikings each put one more point on the board, yours truly goes 2-1 ATS.

Still, when you finish a week of the NFL season with fewer wins than the Patriots, you should feel shame. And yet, we must move on and look ahead optimistically to the NFL Week 15 ATS picks.  It’s interesting to note that seven of top eight ATS squads in the NFL this season failed to cover during Week 14.

Let’s look ahead to the current NFL odds for the Week 15 ATS picks.

It’s certainly trendy to be riding the positive waves being created by New York Giants QB Tommy DeVito and Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields. Both are coming into Week 15 off solid home victories over NFC North clubs. In the Week 15 ATS picks, the feeling is to stay on board the DeVito train, but take a pass this week on Fields.

Speaking of QBs who are lighting it up, you should be all over the Rams and Matthew Stafford at home this week.

Now, let’s check out all the best early bets in the Week 15 ATS picks.

Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Matchup Spread Pick Units Risked
New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints NO-6 NYG 1
Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams LAR-6.5 LAR 1
Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns CLE-3 CLE 1

Our top NFL ATS picks this week in the table above will feature plays on the Giants, Rams, and Browns.

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NFL ATS Picks 1: Giants Tommy Puts On Another Show

Does QB Tommy DeVito have a long-term future with the New York Giants? Who knows? His immediate future is what matters right now. Coming off his biggest game as a pro, beating the Packers on MNF, DeVito and the Giants go to New Orleans as a six-point road underdogs.

The Saints are a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. New Orleans might win this game, but take the Giants to cover.

NFL ATS Picks: New York Giants +6 (-115), 1 unit

NFL ATS Picks 2: Rams Are Surprisingly Good

The Los Angeles Rams put a scare into the Ravens in Baltimore last week, finally succumbing in OT. The LA offense is averaging 422 yards per game the past three weeks. QB Matthew Stafford looks reborn.

This week, they get to attack a Commanders squad that is last in the NFL in total defense (4,938 yards allowed), passing defense (3,458 yards allowed) and scoring defense (30.4 points per game allowed).

NFL ATS Picks: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (-115), 1 unit

NFL ATS Picks 3: Browns Defense Stymies Fields

The Chicago Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They just whipped the NFC North-leading Detroit Lions. It’s trendy to get on the Justin Fields bandwagon.

He hasn’t seen anything like the Cleveland defense, though. The Browns are an NFL-best 6-1 SU and ATS at home this season. Their defense allows 3.8 yards per carry and 4.6 yards per pass attempt at home. Cleveland has also recorded 28 sacks at home.

NFL ATS Picks: Cleveland Browns -3 (-125), 1 unit

  • NFL ATS record: 14-26-2

Week 15 NFL Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks

  • Raiders (-3) vs Chargers: Easton Stick will be at QB for LA. With a name like that, shouldn’t he be a hockey player?
  • Bengals (-3.5) vs Vikings: Nick Mullens starts at QB for Minnesota. Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in the past nine games
  • Colts (-2.5) vs Steelers: Pittsburgh is 1-3 ATS over the past four games. Maybe it wasn’t all Matt Canada’s fault
  • Broncos (+5) vs Lions: Denver is 5-2 ATS through the last seven games
  • Dolphins (-8.5) vs Jets: Miami bounces back at home against the Jets
  • Chiefs (-9.5) vs Patriots: New England should fix what’s been ailing Kansas City
  • Titans (-2.5) vs Texans: Houston is 2-5 ATS in the last seven games
  • Panthers (+3) vs Falcons: Atlanta is 3-9 ATS over the last 12 games and 2-4 ATS on the road this season
  • 49ers (-13.5) vs Cardinals: Yes, it’s a lot of points, but San Francisco has covered twice recently against Arizona as the 14.5-point chalk
  • Bills (-2.5) vs Cowboys: Both teams are coming off emotional wins, but Buffalo needs to keep winning
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs Jaguars: Jacksonville is a disappointing 2-4 ATS at home this season
  • Seahawks (+4) vs Eagles: Seattle is 1-5 SU in the last six games, but the Seahawks are 3-1 ATS over the past four contests

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