Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread – Early Lines to Target
- In the Week 17 NFL picks against the spread picks, Tampa Bay, Detroit and Baltimore are sharing the league lead with ATS marks of 10-5
- New England and New Orleans, both 4-10-1, are the NFL’s worst ATS teams this season
- All of the Week 17 NFL picks against the spread and early lines to target are outlined in the story below
Looking ahead to the Week 17 NFL picks against the spread, there’s been a change in the forecast. The fall of 1-2 has evolved into the winter of 1-1-1.
On the one hand, better. On the other hand, still not good.
The Baltimore Ravens came through, the Tennessee Titans pushed and the Buffalo Bills, as is their habit this season, were an utter letdown. And we’ll leave it at that. Otherwise, Bills Mafia might put a hit out on me.
At this stage of the proceedings, if you’re still paying attention to these weekly picks, bless you. Your faith is hopefully going to ultimately be rewarded.
Let’s look ahead to the current NFL odds for the Week 17 ATS picks.
Who had Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield as a contender to be an NFL QB1 this season, let alone QB for a playoff contender and perhaps even in with a chance in the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds? He could lock down at least one of the latter two with a home win this week over the Saints.
The Rams are an ATS juggernaut of late. Even as the 6-point road chalk at the Giants, you have to like LA’s chances of covering. Likewise, this must be the week the Eagles finally soar, getting the Cardinals at home, right?
Now, let’s check out all the best early bets in the Week 17 ATS picks.
Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread
| Matchup | Spread | Pick | Units Risked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants | LAR-6 | LAR | 1 |
| New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | TB-3 | TB | 1 |
| Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles | PHI-10.5 | PHI | 1 |
Our top NFL ATS picks this week in the table above will feature plays on the Rams, Buccaneers, and Eagles.
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NFL ATS Picks 1: Rams Slam Giants
The Rams have covered in their past five games. Then again, the Giants are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings with their NFC rivals from LA. Overall, New York is 4-1 ATS through the past five games.
WOW: Rams when Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp & Kyren Williams are all on the field:
1st in EPA
1st in Dropback EPA
1st in Rush EPA
1st in Dropback Success Rate
1st in Success Rate
1st in Rushing Success Rate
1st in Points Per Drive
1st in Yards Per Play pic.twitter.com/ELbdEaKhsY— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) December 26, 2023
Are you really willing to ride a team that’s started three different QBs against Matthew Stafford, arguably the hottest QB in the NFL right now?
NFL ATS Picks: Los Angeles Rams -6 (-110), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 2: Baker Does It Again for Buccaneers
The Buccaneers – yes, the Buccaneers – own a share of the NFL’s best ATS mark. Tampa Bay, Detroit and Baltimore are all 10-5 ATS. Sure, this reads like one of those which one of these things is not like the others. But the fact of the matter is that the Lions, Ravens and Buccaneers could all wind up as division winners.
Baker Mayfield 2023 season ranks so far (qualified passers)
TD passes: 26 (6)
Passer rating 96.2 (8)
Passing yards: 3598 (11)
YPA: 7.2 (10)
INT: 8 (1st, Fewest) pic.twitter.com/LeLjmJCcMK— Timothy Bailey (@RealTimBailey) December 26, 2023
On paper, the Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to Tampa Bay. But the Bucs have covered in three straight overall and seven of the past nine games. Meanwhile, this season’s version of the Saints are an NFL-worst 4-10-1 ATS.
NFL ATS Picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 (-105), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 3: Eagles Fly Over Cardinals
Two weeks ago, the Cardinals were whipped 45-29 by the 49ers as 12-point underdogs. Arizona is 0-4 ATS the last four times the club was a double-digit road underdog.
Yes, the Eagles were the 14-point home chalk over the Giants last week and failed to cover. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS over the past four games. But if Arizona can’t fix what ails you, is there really any hope?
NFL ATS Picks: Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 (-110), 1 unit
- NFL ATS record: 16-28-4
Week 17 NFL Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks
- Browns (-7) vs Jets: The Jets aren’t covering in Cleveland, where the Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games
- Lions (+6) vs Cowboys: Dallas wins, but Detroit keeps it close
- Bills (-12) vs Patriots: Which team was the mirage last week, Buffalo or New England?
- Titans (+3.5) vs Texans: Houston is 5-1 ATS in the past six games against Tennessee, but hasn’t covered as a favorite against the Titans since 2018
- Bears (-3) vs Falcons: Chicago is 5-0 ATS in the last five home games against Atlanta
- Ravens (-3.5) vs Dolphins: Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 games facing Miami
- 49ers (-13.5) vs Commanders: San Francisco bounces back in a big way against a Washington team playing out the string
- Raiders (+3) vs Colts: Interim head coach Antonio Pierce has the Raiders on a roll
- Panthers (+7) vs Jaguars: Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in the last six vs Carolina
- Steelers (+3.5) vs Seahawks: This one figures to be decided by a field goal or less
- Broncos (-5) vs Chargers: Denver is 3-1 ATS in the last four games facing the Chargers
- Bengals (+7) vs Chiefs: Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games against Kansas City
- Packers (+2) vs Vikings: Minnesota is 2-8 ATS over the club’s past 10 home games
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
