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2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds Tracker

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:

  • See the most recent NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds
  • Bengals QB Joe Burrow is the favorite to win NFL CPOY
  • Track how the NFL CPOY odds have changed over the course of the 2024-25 NFL season

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year award has been handed out consistently since 1998. The AP did hand out an award from 1963-1966, but awarded one to the AFL and one to the NFL. The award often goes to a player who has returned from some serious injury and performed well, but that has not been the case the past two seasons. This has actually led to the NFL sending a memo to voters to remind them of the spirit of the award, which is to honor a player who has overcome illness or physical injury, causing them to miss time the previous season. This should certainly change the way bettors think when risking their money on this market.

The 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds opened in mid-May. You can see the latest NFL CPOY odds below as well as how the odds have changed throughout the 2024-25 NFL season.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Top 5 Top 10 11 & Up
Sports Betting Dime

After taking just three snaps in his first season as a New York Jet last year, thanks to a torn Achilles, Aaron Rodgers opened as the favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award. However, Rodgers’ slow start to the season lingered, and he was displaced as the favorite by Kirk Cousins. The new Falcons quarterback threw for 509 yards in Week 5 to take over as the favorite.

However, we have a new favorite to win NFL CPOY after Week 12, as Joe Burrow overtook Cousins while both players were on bye in Week 12.

There will be stiff competition for the award, though, as there were a number of star players, especially star QBs, who saw their previous seasons cut short due to injury. Kirk Cousins and Kyler Murray are among the top contenders for the award and are (were in Cousins’ case) playing great football in their returns to the field.

Odds to Win NFL CPOY

sport icon Player Best Odds Best Odds Bet365 Caesars Sportsbook BetMGM DraftKings
Rodgers, Aaron DraftKings +100 - - - +100
Wilson, Russell DraftKings +1200 - - - +1200
Watson, Deshaun DraftKings +1500 - - - +1500
Darnold, Sam DraftKings +3000 - - - +3000
Fields, Justin DraftKings +4000 - - - +4000
Minshew, Gardner DraftKings +5000 - - - +5000
Watt, Trent Jordan DraftKings +5000 - - - +5000
Dobbins, J K DraftKings +6000 - - - +6000
Bosa, Joey DraftKings +7000 - - - +7000
Winston, Jameis DraftKings +8000 - - - +8000
Wentz, Carson DraftKings +10000 - - - +10000
Garoppolo, Jimmy DraftKings +10000 - - - +10000
Williams, Mike DraftKings +10000 - - - +10000
Jones, Mac DraftKings +12000 - - - +12000
Wilson, Zach DraftKings +12000 - - - +12000
Beckham Jr., Odell DraftKings +15000 - - - +15000
Flacco, Joe DraftKings +15000 - - - +15000
Patrick, Tim DraftKings +15000 - - - +15000

Joe Burrow is currently listed as the favorite to win the 2024-25 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. The Bengals’ QB is given -160 odds to win the award after only playing ten games last season before injuring the wrist on his throwing hand. If you bet $20 on Burrow to win NFL CPOY, you would stand to win $12.50 and return $32.50.

Rounding out the top five contenders for NFL CPOY are: Kyler Murray (+800), Kirk Cousins (+800), Anthony Richardson (+1100), and Damar Hamlin (+1100).

Odds above are updated every few hours from top online sportsbooks, including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and more; if you’re not already signed up at DraftKings, check out the best DraftKings Sportsbook promos before registering.

Here are some notes on the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds movement:

  • [December 3] Kirk Cousins had a horrific Week 13, throwing four interceptions and costing his Falcons the game. After the bad performance, his CPOY odds faded from +230 to +800.
  • [November 26] Though both players were on bye in Week 12, Joe Burrow overtook Kirk Cousins as the NFL CPOY favorite. The two entered Week 12 only separated by a handful of cents in the odds, but Burrow came out of the weekend as the odds-on favorite.
  • [November 5] After Week 9, Kirk Cousins went from the favorite to win NFL CPOY to the odds-on favorite, seeing his odds improve from +185 to -105.
  • [October 8] Kirk Cousins took over as the NFL CPOY favorite after throwing for 509 yards in a big Falcons win during Week 5. This marks the first time this season that Aaron Rodgers, who dropped to the second-best odds, is not the favorite.
  • [September 24] Anthony Richardson, who was among the top six contenders entering Week 3, saw his odds plummet from +900 to +2400 after another horrendous performance. Richardson threw two bad interceptions and nearly cost the Colts a win.
  • [September 17] After another solid performance in Week 2, JK Dobbins’ NFL CPOY odds continued to improve. The Chargers RB saw his odds go from +1150 to +450, which are the second-best odds following Week 2.
  • [September 10] Daniel Jones, who was seen as a top ten contender prior to Week 1, saw his odds fade from +1900 to +3500 after a horrendous game against the Vikings. The QB on the other side of the field in that game, Sam Darnold, saw his odds improve from +1600 to +750. But beware getting behind this odds movement, as Darnold winning this award would completely go against the memo the league sent out to voters on the purpose of NFL Comeback Player of the Year. JK Dobbins saw the most drastic movement, though, as he went from +3500 to +1200 after rushing for 135 yards and a touchdown against the Raiders.
  • [August 27] As it continues to sound like Nick Chubb’s return is getting pushed later and later in the year, his CPOY odds are fading. He was +850 in early August, but has faded to +1200 just a couple weeks before kickoff. Sam Darnold’s odds have improved a ton as he not only appeared to be winning the camp battle with JJ McCarthy, but the job will be his as the rookie QB will miss the season due to injury.
  • [August 6] With it sounding like JK Dobbins will be ready to play Week 1, and potentially playing a key role in the Chargers’ backfield, his CPOY odds have improved from +6000 to +3750. Russell Wilson, on the other hand, doesn’t seem to have as firm a grasp on the starting job in Pittsburgh as we believed. Wilson’s CPOY odds have faded from +1200 to +3000 as a result.
  • [May 15] NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds have opened and Aaron Rodgers is the early favorite. The Jets’ QB has opened with +138 odds to win the award. Joe Burrow has the next-best odds at +225.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Trends

  • A quarterback has won the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award in each of the last six seasons
  • Eight of the last ten NFL CPOY winners missed at least five games due to injury the prior season—Joe Flacco and Geno Smith winning the award the past two seasons allowed them to join Philip Rivers as the only players since 2013 to win it without getting hurt the year prior
  • No defensive player has won the award since Eric Berry in 2015
  • Since the award came back in 1998, we have seen 17 quarterbacks win, 2.5 wide receivers, 4.5 defensive players, one running back, and one tight end – the halves are there because the award was split between Steve Smith (WR) and Tedy Bruschi (LB) in 2005

Past NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winners

Year NFL CPOY Winner
2023 Joe Flacco (Browns)
2022 Geno Smith (Seahawks)
2021 Joe Burrow (Bengals)
2020 Alex Smith (Washington)
2019 Ryan Tannheill (Titans)
2018 Andrew Luck (Colts)
2017 Keenan Allen (Chargers)
2016 Jordy Nelson (Packers)
2015 Eric Berry (Chiefs)
2014 Rob Gronkowski (Patriots)

Joe Flacco won the NFL CPOY last season after coming out of nowhere to save the Browns season after they suffered injuries in their QB room. Flacco led the Browns to the playoffs, going 4-1 in his five starts and posting a 90.2 passer rating.

Archived NFL CPOY odds: 2023-24, 2022-23

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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