Week 3 NFL Parlay Picks for Sunday: Parlay These Player Props for +6764 Odds
By Matt McEwan in NFL News
Published:
Week 3’s edition of NFL Sunday is upon us and there are 14 games scheduled to be played today. This means plenty of available betting markets to consider when creating your NFL parlay for the day. I have spent my week studying all the NFL markets across the biggest sports betting apps, and found four players I think are primed for big days.
I am cramming these four players into a longshot parlay with +6764 odds. As usual, I am going to bet each of the four legs as a single as well. I have left my NFL parlay picks below, along with my analysis for each NFL pick.
I only hit two of four parlay legs last week, as Hunter Henry disappeared in the Patriots’ offense and Trey Benson’s involvement came more in the passing game instead of on the ground. However, if you took my advice and bet them as singles as well, the 2-2 record would have profited 2.1 units – this means $10 bets on each would have left you +$21.
Best Picks for an NFL Sunday Parlay
The best sportsbook to bet this NFL longshot parlay is bet365, where you can get +6764 odds. All other sportsbooks were offering odds far shorter than 60-1. Claim our bonus code at signup with bet365 and tail this parlay!
I have broken down my reasoning for each of my parlay picks below and also provided you with the best sportsbook to bet each of them as singles.
If you’re a little bit new to parlays, check out our guide on how to bet parlays.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: 250+ Passing Yards
Daniel Jones to throw for 250+ yards against the Titans in Week 3 feels like a great bet! Jones has looked very good through two weeks in Shane Steichen’s system, and actually ranks near the top of the league in many passing stats. He leads the NFL in the following:
- Net Pass Yards per Dropback (8.74)
- Passing Yards per Attempt (9.3)
And is top 3-5 in many others. Jones has thrown for 272 and 316 yards over the first two weeks, respectively, meaning he has cleared the 250 passing yards benchmark in both games (easily). The defenses he faced so far were the Dolphins and Broncos.
The fact that Jones picked apart Denver’s defense for 316 yards provides me with a ton of confidence in him throwing for at least 250 in Week 3.
The Titans have been pretty good at pressuring the quarterback, posting a defensive pressure rate of 24%, good for seventh-highest. However, Denver’s rate is 34.8% and the Colts offensive line held up well enough to let Jones throw for 316 yards. Jones has been blitzed on a league-high 57.6% of his dropbacks, but has only been pressured on 19.7%, which is 16th-fewest.
Simply put, Daniel Jones has been everything Steichen has wanted in a quarterback. He’s processing information well, making good decisions, and delivering the football accurately (82.5% on-target rate, which is fourth-best). I think the two continue to enjoy success together in Week 3 against an average Titans defense.
I’m even more in love with this pick when seeing it comes with +300 odds at bet365. The next-best price is just +239 at DraftKings.
Sign up for bet365 and tail this pick now!
Daniel Jones vs Titans Defense
I also feel the Titans’ defensive numbers are a little inflated due to how bad of a game Bo Nix played against them in Week 1, only throwing for 176 yards. That game looked to be more about Nix having a bad one as opposed to the Titans doing anything spectacular. Matthew Stafford put up 298 passing yards against them in Week 2.
Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards: Why Wilson Is a Strong Pick
I might have bet this with Justin Fields at QB still, but I really like Garrett Wilson to have a big day against the Bucs with Tyrod Taylor set to start. Taylor is just a more polished passer, who also doesn’t really offer the Jets the same power-running abilities as Fields does.
The last time we saw Taylor start at QB was the 2023 season, when he started five games for the Giants. He got injured well before halftime in one of those starts, so we’ll throw that one out. In the four he played the majority of, the veteran QB averaged 273.8 passing yards per game. In each of Fields‘ five seasons in the league, he has averaged less than 200 passing yards per game.
The Jets have only attempted 44 passes through two games this season, and 11 of those came from Taylor in cleanup duty last week, while only playing 38% of the snaps. So, I suspect we will see a different scheme from the Jets in Week 3, where they attempt a lot more than 22 passes.
With the ball being put in the air more, I like Garrett Wilson to be the primary beneficiary. The receivers expected to compete for targets with Wilson are Tyler Johnson, Allen Lazard, and Mason Taylor. So far, the result has been Wilson seeing a 40.5% target share, good for third-highest in the NFL. He is also seeing 51.6% of New York’s targeted air yards.
While some of that may be credited to Fields being a QB who feeds his WR1, the extra volume he will see from Taylor will more than make up for any potential dip in his target share.
On top of that, the Buccaneers defense he will face on Sunday has also been a little leaky through the air. Tampa Bay has allowed the seventh-most pass yards per attempt in the NFL. They’re pretty good against the run, though, only allowing 3.26 rushing yards per attempt, the fifth-fewest in the league.
All that is to say, not only do I believe the Jets will aim to put the ball in the air more Sunday, I also think the Bucs defense is going to force their hand.
If you want to bet Wilson to record 80+ receiving yards as a single as well, the best odds were at DraftKings (+169). Sign up with DraftKings and bet Wilson now!
Bijan Robinson 125+ Rushing & Receiving Yards
The Carolina Panthers do not have a good defense and Bijan Robinson is going to take enjoy a big game Sunday as a result.
The Panthers are allowing 5.22 rushing yards per attempt, the sixth-most in the league, and cannot get off the field. Their opponents have averaged 37.3 yards per drive (sixth-most) and 3 minutes and 12 seconds (7th-most) time of possession per drive.
Though the Cardinals running backs only totaled 96 rushing and receiving yards against them, we saw Travis Etienne rush for 143 yards on just 16 carries, adding another 13 receiving yards as well. I think they’re about to allow another running back to go off.
Bijan Robinson has recorded 168 and 124 yards from scrimmage in the last two weeks, respectively. The lower game came against the Bucs in Week 1, who are pretty good against the run, and were able to hold Bijan to 24 yards on 12 carries. The Panthers don’t have that in them. Robinson averages 5.52 yards per rushing attempt across 4 games against the Panthers in his career.
The other part that is going to help is I suspect Atlanta will be playing with a positive game-script for most of this one. While that may lead to some extra touches for Tyler Allgeier, I think Bijan will be plenty efficient with the touches he does get, and surpass 125+ rushing and receiving yards.
If you’re going to also bet this as a single, the best place to do so is FanDuel for +144 odds.
Jakobi Meyers Player Prop: 80+ Receiving Yards
After the season he had last year, I understand why some may think Brock Bowers is the top target in the passing game for the Raiders. However, that has not been the case through the first two weeks of the season. Jakobi Meyers has been Geno Smith’s favorite target, seeing 28.9% of Las Vegas’ pass attempts, which ranks 14th in the league.
The seventh-year pro has posted 97 and 68 receiving yards in the first two games, respectively. So, he has only gone for 80+ in one of two. However, the lesser of the two performances came against a very tough Chargers defense.
Geno Smith makes one of the better throws I’ve ever seen from him, threading the needle to Jakobi Meyers
— SM Highlights (@SMHighlights1) September 7, 2025
Geno in Las Vegas is already starting to cook and Meyers is getting the ball early.
LV! pic.twitter.com/YC8m1oUHAB
Meyers is only seeing 91 targeted air yards per game, but his volume and yards after the catch have been very strong so far. The 28.9% target share works out to 11 targets per game and he’s averaging 44.5 yards after the catch per game. The Raiders WR has forced four missed tackles in two weeks, which is second among receivers, and the Commanders defense has not been great at tackling this year. Washington is missing 10.3% of their tackles, which is the 11th-most in the NFL.
The Commanders allow 6.8 passing yards per attempt, which is very average in the league, but just 3.94 rushing yards per attempt. With Marcus Mariota under center, I like this game to remain competitive, and I think the Raiders will have much more success trying to beat Washington through the air. That means plenty of targets for Meyers, and I believe he takes advantage of them.
The best odds you can find for this as a single are +191 at DraftKings.
What are the top parlay picks for Sunday?
The top parlay picks for Sunday are Daniel Jones 250+ passing yards, Garrett Wilson 80+ receiving yards, Bijan Robinson 125+ rushing and receiving yards, and Jakobi Meyers 80+ receiving yards.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.