Week 8 NFL Picks: Sunday’s Best NFL Parlay Focuses on Player Props & Offers 48-1 Odds

Published: October 26, 2025 at 9:00 am EDT

Cam Ward throwing the ball — Tennessee Titans quarterback Cam Ward (1) throws for a first down against the New England Patriots during the first quarter at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, Oct. 19, 2025.

Week 8’s NFL Sunday presents 11 games, which is the fewest we will see all season, across three time blocks. However, that is still a lot of betting markets for sportsbooks to set lines for and monitor. Even with the shorter list of games, I have found four players who I believe sportsbooks are severely underestimating in Week 8.

I believe these players will not only cash their overs, but go well over their standard over/unders. So, I am betting alternate lines for these players, or milestones if you prefer. On top of betting each of these four player props as singles, I am parlaying them together for my best NFL parlay, which comes with +4832 odds. (This means a $10 bet would stand to win $483.20.)

I have provided plenty of data to justify each of the four NFL picks for Week 8 below.

NFL Parlay Picks for Week 8

Player	Prop Pick	Odds
Wan’Dale Robinson	60+ Receiving Yards	+140
Rico Dowdle	60+ Rushing Yards	+155
Christian McCaffrey	60+ Receiving Yards	+210
Cam Ward	225+ Passing Yards	+160
Total Parlay Odds		+4832

Only one of the players I am betting in Week 8 would be considered a household name, which is part of the reason I am able to find perceived value in their betting lines. Sportsbooks always give more attention to where the money is flowing in, and most public bettors are placing their money on the players they know and love.

Three of these four players likely do not have much action on them in Week 8, and I’m thankful for that. Because I am betting them all using alternate lines for bigger potential payouts, as well as parlaying them together for +4832 odds. Those were the best odds available at the time of writing this, and were found at bet365.

I went 2-2 on my picks last week, winning 1 unit thanks to JK Dobbins and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. I put too much stock in a couple rookies last week, as Dillon Gabriel and Jacory Crosley-Merritt let me down. But I’m not shying away from rookies in Week 8!

Keep reading below for my data-rooted analysis and justification for each of the four picks as well as the best sportsbook to bet each as a single, if you’d like.

🏈Wan’Dale Robinson 60+ Receiving Yards (+140)

My best guess with this line is that sportsbooks are very busy monitoring the prop lines for Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo when it comes to Giants games, not leaving much oversight on Wan’Dale Robinson’s prop markets. Data suggests an over/under of 50.5 for Robinson’s receiving yards is too low, and I will be betting him to record 60+ receiving yards to hit the books a little harder with +140 odds – those odds are found at bet365.

If you’re not already betting on their sportsbook app, use our promo to sign up now and tail this bet (as well as the parlay and other legs)!

I know Robinson has only achieved this milestone in 3 of 7 games this season, but he has easily cleared it in each of the last two games, making him 2-for-4 in games started by Jaxson Dart. Here’s a look at Robinson’s last two games:

Week 7: 6 receptions for 95 yards on 12 targets
Week 6: 6 receptions for 84 yards on 7 targets

Not only has Dart’s insertion into the lineup been beneficial for Robinson, but Malik Nabers going down to injury in Week 4 has also opened up a lot of targets for Giants pass-catchers. Robinson has been the main beneficiary of those extra targets to go around.

Since Week 5, the first game without Nabers, Robinson is averaging 8.7 targets per game (tied for 13th in that timeline), 36 yards after the catch per game (tied for 9th), and is seeing 26.5% of New York’s targets (14th). He has been the reliable receiver, who can get open quickly and make a play with the ball in his hands for his rookie QB.

I like Robinson to remain all of those things against the Eagles in Week 8. Philadelphia is middle of the pack in terms of gross passing yards allowed per game (230), and we just saw Robinson post 84 yards against them two weeks ago.

🏈Rico Dowdle 60+ Rushing Yards (+155)

In the three full games since Chuba Hubbard got hurt, Rico Dowdle has been fantastic running the ball for the Panthers. He has easily cleared 60 rushing yards, which is the milestone I am betting him at in Week 8, in all three of those games. Here’s a quick look at the stats Dowdle has recorded over those three games:

Week 7: 79 yards on 17 carries (4.6 YPC)
Week 6: 183 yards on 30 carries (6.1 YPC)
Week 5: 206 yards on 23 carries (9.0 YPC)

His lowest output of the bunch came last week, when Hubbard returned to the lineup and played 54% of their offensive snaps. However, Dowdle still led the team in rushing attempts, seeing three more than Hubbard (17-14), and Dowdle played 46% of Carolina’s offensive snaps, which was a season-high when Hubbard is also in the lineup.

The most important takeaway from last week’s game, in my opinion, is that Dowdle was the far more effective back with the ball in his hands. He turned his 17 carries into 79 yards, good for 4.65 yards per carry, while Hubbard only managed 31 yards on his 14 rushes, or a 2.21 average per carry.

I certainly appreciate those big performances came against the Dolphins and Cowboys, two of the league’s worst run defenses, but Carolina is about to take on the worst run defense in the league. The Bills give up a league-worst 5.75 yards per rushing attempt, and allowed 210 yards on the ground in their last game. I think it’s fair to believe Buffalo likely spent their bye week trying to figure out how to stop the run, but I’ll believe it when I see it.

We know Dave Canales likes and trust Hubbard, but I believe Dowdle has forced his hand. He has been too effective with the ball in his hands, and the Panthers are currently 4-3. They’re actually thinking about winning games, and Dowdle gives them the best chance at that, in my opinion.

If you want to tail my Dowdle 60+ rushing yards prop as a single, bet365 has the best odds at +155.

🏈Christian McCaffrey 60+ Receiving Yards (+210)

I’m really not sure why sportsbooks have set Christian McCaffrey’s receiving yards over/under below 50 – you can find it as low as 46.5 and as high as 48.5. I have to assume they are giving the Texans defense a lot of credit. Too much credit, in my opinion.

So, I see this as a great opportunity to bet McCaffrey up to 60+ receiving yards for +210 odds. If you also want to bet this as a single, as I am, the best odds are found at bet365.

Now, let me dive into why I like this bet so much. Here’s a look at CMC’s receiving stats this season:

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Stats by Week

Week	Targets	Receptions	Receiving Yards
1	10	9	73
2	7	6	52
3	15	10	88
4	11	6	92
5	9	8	82
6	8	7	57
7	8	7	72

As you see above, McCaffrey has recorded 60+ receiving yards in 5 of 7 games this season. This looks even more impressive when you compare his stats versus wide receivers. Here’s how the veteran RB ranks across the league (regardless of position) in key receiving stats:

Targets: T5th (68)
Receptions: 3rd (53)
Receiving Yards: 8th (516)

McCaffrey has more targets than Amon-Ra St Brown, Trey McBride, and Drake London, among others. He has more receptions than Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He has more receiving yards DeVonta Smith, Keenan Allen, and Courtland Sutton, among others. He sees a ridiculous 26.6% of San Francisco’s targets as a running back!

Part of the reason McCaffrey is seeing so much work in the passing game is the banged up receiving room the 49ers are dealing with. But that’s not going to be any different than last week, as Brandon Aiyuk is still weeks away from returning and Ricky Pearsall has been ruled out. On top of that, Mac “Checkdown” Jones will make another start at QB for the 49ers, which also bodes well for the RB seeing plenty of targets.

While I do expect George Kittle to record at least one receptions this week, I think there will be plenty left for CMC.

Getting back to my earlier point about sportsbooks giving the Texans defense a lot of credit – Yes, the Texans, who the 49ers will take on Sunday, allow the 5th-fewest yards per pass attempt. Yes, they allow the fewest receptions and receiving yards to running backs this season, only giving up 18 receptions for 109 yards to RBs. But Houston has only played one running back who is a consistent threat in the passing game: Bucky Irving. He recorded six receptions for 50 yards on 6 targets against the Texans in Week 2.

The other running backs include: Kyren Williams, Travis Etienne, Tony Pollard, Justice Hill (Derrick Henry doesn’t really get used in the passing game), and Kenneth Walker III. All five of those players combine for a total of 573 receiving yards this season, which is only 57 more yards than McCaffrey has. So, I’m confidently betting McCaffrey to post another game with 60+ receiving yards in Week 8.

🏈Cam Ward 225+ Passing Yards (+160)

After a pretty ugly start to his pro career, Cam Ward’s last couple of games have been better! He recorded the best passer rating of his career last week (92.2) and recorded an 81.2 rating the week prior. In spite of his team continuing to get blown out most games, I believe we are seeing the first-overall pick show some improvement.

With little attention being given to the Titans at this point, I think sportsbooks have overlooked this improvement and set a bad line on Ward’s passing yards for Week 8. His standard line for passing yards is set at over/under 206.5. Instead of just taking the over on this market, I am betting him to throw for 225+ yards with +160 odds.

This is a feat Ward has achieved in two of his last three games, but only two of six on the season – this is why I believe sportsbooks are sleeping on Ward. Here’s a look at his passing yards in his last three games:

Week 7: 255 passing yards on 34 attempts
Week 6: 222 passing yards on 38 attempts
Week 5: 265 passing yards on 39 attempts

One of Ward’s issues has been his accuracy, as only 65.7% of his passes this season have been considered “on-target.” Over the last two weeks, 73.6% of his passes have been classified as “on-target,” and 79.4% of his passes last week were on-target, which was 8th-best in the league. This is some of the improvement I was mentioning earlier.

He is also not just checking the ball down, as he ranks 13th in the NFL with 257 passing air yards per game, and that number gets up to 303.3 per game (7th in NFL) when only looking at the last three weeks

The Colts defense he will face on Sunday, for the second time in his young career, allows an average of 273.4 (gross) passing yards per game, which is third-worst in the league, and 7.0 yards per pass attempt, which is middle of the league. Here’s a look at how opposing QBs have fared against Indianapolis in each week this season:

Quarterbacks vs Colts This Season

Week	QB of Colts’ Opponent	Passing Yards vs Colts
1	Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)	114
2	Bo Nix (Broncos)	206
3	Cam Ward (Titans)	219
4	Matthew Stafford (Rams)	375
5	Geno Smith (Raiders)	228
6	Jacoby Brissett (Cardinals)	320
7	Justin Herbert (Chargers)	420

While the 420 yards Justin Herbert threw for is going to be a bit of an anomaly, it’s partially offset by Tua Tagovailoa’s horrific Week 1 performance. But as you can see, quarterbacks have thrown for 225+ yards in 4 of 7 games vs the Colts this season, and it has happened in each of their last four games. Ward came just six yards shy of doing it himself back in Week 3.

Part of the reason teams are throwing for so many yards against Indianapolis is because they’re finding themselves facing negative game scripts fairly early. Sportsbooks strongly believe that will be the case again on Sunday, as the Colts are 14.5-point favorites against the Titans, and I agree with them.

I think the Titans will find themselves down early and will be forced to put the ball in the air and attempt to play catch-up. I’m betting an improved Ward to record at least 225 passing yards. The best place to bet this prop as a single is bet365, where you’ll get +160 odds.

Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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