NFL Wild Card Weekend Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for All 6 Games

• Wild Card Weekend includes six games across two days, presenting more than enough props to bet
• Our props went 5-2 in Week 17 (+3.68 units)
• See the full list of props you can bet and our best bets below

We’re coming off a nice week that saw us add 3.68 units to our bankroll. We now face a much smaller list of offerings with only six games happening on Wild Card Weekend. The smaller slate decreases the burden on sportsbooks, meaning there may not be as many bad lines out there for us to expose.

This just means we have to look a little harder – I’ve found a handful for you.

First, you’ll find all the passing, rushing, and receiving props available in the table below, and then the touchdown props below that.

Wild Card Playoff NFL Player Props

Odds as of January 8

Mark Andrews Shows Up Against Titans

If we remove Week 17, a game where Lamar Jackson only played about three quarters and the result was never in doubt, Mark Andrews has averaged 7.4 targets, 5.6 receptions, and 75.4 receiving yards per game. His lowest receiving total in that span was 61 yards, and his highest was 96, which came against the same Titans defense he’s playing this weekend.

Andrews has been Jackson’s second-favorite target this season, behind only Marquise Brown, but has just as many catches on 12 fewer targets.

When these two teams met in the playoffs last season, Dean Pees put together a brilliant game plan against Jackson, forcing him to throw 59 times and holding him to 27 yards on the ground in the first half – Derrick Henry running for 195 yards certainly helped, as well.

Mike Vrabel has all the film from last year, and I like him to force Jackson to put the ball in the air more than Baltimore would like again. The result will be plenty of targets for Andrews.

Pick: Mark Andrews over 56.5 receiving yards (-112) – 0.75 units

Josh Allen Touchdown Passes Go Over

Josh Allen threw 37 touchdowns in the regular season, an average of 2.3 per game. He threw for more than two in just six games this season, but three of those games have come in the last five weeks.

Allen also added eight touchdowns on the ground, but has only scored a rushing touchdown in one of the last five. You get the feeling Buffalo has tried to limit the hits their young QB is taking this late in the season, and I am confident that trend continues against a very physical Colts defense.

6 sacks and 11 QB hits.

The defense got AFTER it yesterday.

📺 #INDvsBUF | 1/9 on CBS pic.twitter.com/60f3JjCvVC

— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) January 4, 2021

But the result won’t just be handing it off to Zack Moss or Devin Singletary. Indianapolis will win the battle in the trenches against Buffalo more often than not. Instead, we’ll see the Bills use the speed and quickness of their WRs when down in the red zone.

The Colts defense has given up at least two touchdown passes in each of their last four games, allowing three to the Steelers in Week 16. At +140 odds, an implied probability of 41.67%, Josh Allen to go over 2.5 passing touchdowns has great value. I see the true probability of this occurring being around 55%.

Pick: Josh Allen over 2.5 touchdown passes (+140) – 0.75 units

Jonathan Taylor Feasts on Lousy Buffalo Run Defense

There is no more split backfield in Indianapolis. The backfield belongs to Jonathan Taylor.

Nyheim Hines has averaged just 5.6 carries and 3.8 receptions per game over the last five weeks. Taylor, meanwhile, is averaging 19.8 carries and 2.3 receptions per game over his last six, never seeing fewer than 16 touches in any of those. The rookie has turned those touches into an average of 139.5 yards per game, with 123.5 of those coming on the ground.

Jonathan Taylor surpasses the 200-yard mark with this 45-yard TD! #ForTheShoe @JayT23

📺: #JAXvsIND on CBS
📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app: https://t.co/fohj8JnptQ pic.twitter.com/jrXLuyEmyr

— NFL (@NFL) January 4, 2021

Taylor’s lowest rushing output in his last six games was 74 yards against a very tough Steelers defense. He doesn’t see a very tough defense against the run this weekend, however. The Bills defense is allowing 134 yards from scrimmage per game to running backs this season. They allow 4.6 yards per carry, which is 26th in the NFL, and 96.8 rushing yards per game, which is 27th.

The Colts best chance of winning this game is to get their rookie back going early, and keep that red hot Bills offense on the sidelines for lengthy periods of time. I love Taylor to go over 77.5 rushing yards, and even like his rushing and receiving total (95.5) to go over as well.

Pick: Jonathan Taylor over 77.5 rushing yards (-112) – 1 unit

Diontae Johnson Goes Over His Receiving Yards

If Diontae Johnson can correct his issue with drops in the offseason, he will be one of the breakout players of 2021. Only seven players in the NFL have seen more targets this season than Johnson, as Ben Roethlisberger has peppered him with 144 this season. He has seen double-digit targets in ten games this season.

What’s even more impressive is that he only played in 15 games this season and one of those came with Mason Rudolph under center – their Week 17 game against the Browns, in which Johnson turned four targets into three catches for 96 yards.

Most targets since Week 9:

➤ Diontae Johnson – 93 👀
➤ Davante Adams – 85
➤ Stefon Diggs – 77 pic.twitter.com/Zt5jdyCLJn

— PFF PIT Steelers (@PFF_Steelers) January 2, 2021

The second-year pro has the trust of his quarterback. Simply put, Big Ben knows he will be open. With the Steelers not possessing much of a run game – they average an NFL-worst 3.6 yards per carry and have averaged just 60.6 yards per game over their last 11 – and a Browns defense who’s very capable of getting after the passer, I like Johnson to see double-digit targets again on Sunday night.

In games where he’s seen more than three targets, Johnson averages 76.5 receiving yards per game, and has gone over 65.5 in eight of those 12 outings.

Pick: Diontae Johnson over 65.5 receiving yards (-112) – 0.5 units

Odds to Score a Touchdown in Wild Card Weekend

Picks to Score a Touchdown in Wild Card Games

Here’s who I like to find the end zone and why:

1. AJ Brown anytime touchdown (+125): Brown has a touchdown in ten of 14 games this season, including one against the Ravens when they played in Week 11. I expect Baltimore to sellout to stop Derrick Henry all day, leaving Brown to feast on the outside. (1 unit)
2. Isaiah McKenzie anytime touchdown (+325): As mentioned above, I foresee the Bills using their speed at the WR position when they get into the redzone, and none are faster than McKenzie. He scored three touchdowns in Week 17, and has found the endzone in three other games this season. With both Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley banged up, the Bills might be forced to get McKenzie involved more than normal. (0.33 units)
3. JK Dobbins anytime touchdown (+125): Why do they keep offering us plus-money on Dobbins?! He’s scored a touchdown in six straight, which includes a Week 11 game against the same Titans defense. (1 unit)
4. Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown (+130): The Titans have given up multiple rushing touchdowns in four of their last eight games, and Jackson hasn’t found the endzone since Week 15. He’s a great bet to break his drought at this price. (0.5 units)
5. Allen Robinson anytime touchdown (+200): Of the seven games the Bears lost by more than one point this season, Robinson caught a touchdown in three of them. One of those games came against the Saints in Week 8. With Chicago listed as 9.5-point underdogs to the Saints, Mitchell Trubisky will likely be forced into throwing the ball early and often. (0.5 units)