Flames vs Avalanche Odds, Pick & Prediction – Monday Night Hockey
By Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey
Published:
- The Colorado Avalanche are a -250 moneyline favorite over the Calgary Flames on ESPN+ & Amazon Prime Monday
- Colorado is comfortably in third place in the Central Division, while Calgary is battling for a Wild Card spot
- See my Flames vs Avalanche prediction with odds below
Two teams with eyes on the ultimate prize, the 2025 Stanley Cup, square off with the regular season winding down to a close. The Avalanche are comfortably in a playoff spot, but their counterparts from Calgary are seven points back of the final Wild Card spot in the Western Conference.
The Calgary Flames (34-26-12, 80 points, 5th in Pacific) visit the Colorado Avalanche (45-26-3, 93 points, 3rd in Central) at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Online sportsbooks are bullish on the Avalanche in the NHL odds, installing them as favorites.
Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30pm ET, with ESPN+ & Amazon Prime providing the broadcast coverage in the United States and Canada.
Flames vs Avalanche Prediction
- Avalanche Puck Line +110 on DraftKings
Before a 2-1 home defeat by the Blues on Saturday, the Avalanche had been dynamite on home ice, winning eleven straight, ten of which were by at least two goals. The Avs have gone 12-2-1 in their last 15 overall contests.
Contrast to the Flames, who have dropped six of their last ten away from home, and they’ve not won their last two contests.
This matchup has been one-sided in recent years, with Colorado coming out victorious in nine of ten matchups. In seven of those nine instances, the Avs won by two or more goals.
Surprisingly, the Flames are in a postseason race, something most prognosticators didn’t see coming this season. They’re seven back of the Blues for the final Wild Card spot, though they do have three critical games in hand on them.
On the campaign, Colorado has had no troubles scoring, ranked sixth in goals per game (3.34), compared to Calgary’s 30th-ranked unit (2.60). The home squad also has the edge in goals allowed per outing (2.78 versus 2.94), and have better power play and penalty kill units.
Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche Odds
The Flames vs Avalanche odds show a total of 5.5 goals, with -120 odds to the over 5.5 goal total. Colorado is listed as a -250 moneyline favorite, and are +110 to cover the puck line of 1.5 goals.
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Odds as of March 30th at DraftKings. Check out SBD’s DraftKings Sportsbook review to see the available sign-up bonuses.
A significant injury that could make things even harder for the Flames to pull off the upset is Connor Zary’s absence with a lower-body injury. He’s had a solid campaign with 13 goals and 14 assists for 27 points, and he’s expected to be out week-to-week after initially missing Saturday’s tilt against the Oilers.
The Avs also have injury woes, with blueliner Erik Johnson and forward Joel Kiviranta also not lacing them up this past Saturday.
The -250 odds on the moneyline represents a win probability of 71.43% for Colorado. Our SBD model believes it’ll be close, with it shaping up to be a 3.53-3.06 battle, won by the Avalanche, according to the formula.
Given how dominant Colorado has been on home ice of late, and their mastery of the Flames, I like them to come out on top on the Puck Line of +110, which will give a bit more added value to the wager.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.