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Erik Karlsson Relinquishes Lead in 2019 Norris Trophy Odds

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 11:50 AM PDT

Erik Karlsson with the San Jose Sharks
Erik Karlsson has just 7 points in 13 games with the Sharks this season, which is tied for 19th among defensemen. (Photo by Matt Cohen/Icon Sportswire)
  • Erik Karlsson entered the season as favorite to win the Norris
  • After slow start by the Swedish Star, the race for top d-man is wide open
  • The best bet to bring home the hardware is …

Following the blockbuster trade of Erik Karlsson from the Ottawa Senators to the powerhouse San Jose Sharks, online sports-betting sites installed the two-time Norris Trophy winner as the clear favorite to be the NHL’s best defenseman for a third time.

However, Karlsson hasn’t gotten off to the blistering start that everyone had expected, so that’s thrown the race for the Norris Trophy in flux.

Average 2019 Norris Trophy Odds

As you see in the graph above, there are four players currently tied for the best odds to win the Norris Trophy at +600.

Odds to Win 2019 Norris Trophy

Player Odds to Win 2019 Norris Trophy
Erik Karlsson +600
Victor Hedman +600
Brent Burns +600
Drew Doughty +600
John Carlson +650
Kristopher Letang +650

Karlsson off to slower start than usual

Erik Karlsson hasn’t gotten off to as hot a start as he has in the past, but it’s not as if he isn’t capable of putting up big numbers in droves.

Last year he had just one goal through the first 26 games, yet the Swedish Dynamo finished with a stellar 62 points. The hockey community, however, is getting very antsy.

Erik Karlsson point totals last six seasons

Season Points Through 13 Games Season Point Total
2018-19 7 ???
2017-18 17 62
2016-17 10 71
2015-16 12 82
2014-15 10 66
2013-14 13 74

Let’s not forget, though, this is Erik freaking Karlsson we’re talking about.

No, he’ll never win the best defensive defensemen award (if there was one), but he racks up so many points that it offsets his defensive liabilities.

YouTube video

People like to nitpick at great players, despite the fact they’re generational talents. Why? Because that’s the hockey culture. It’s never good enough. As Aaron Rodgers would say though, R-E-L-A-X.

Who else might challenge for the Norris Trophy?

A player that can’t be ignored is none other than Tampa Bay Lightning defenseman Victor Hedman.

He was the Norris Trophy winner last year and the Bolts are rolling in the early season (8-3-1, tops in the East.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXYMT8eYvMM

If Hedman can return from his upper body injury soon, he will only boost the Lightning stock but also his own personal stock. Don’t forget, the last two seasons he’s had his highest career point totals: 72 and 63, respectively.

Off the Board pick for Norris Trophy

At the moment, Maple Leafs defenseman Morgan Rielly is tops in points by blue-liners with 16.

He’s currently not even on the list at some sportsbooks, but if he can keep his strong point production up, and Auston Matthews returns in a month to boost his offensive totals, the Leafs d-man would be a great darkhorse to take home the Norris Trophy.

The Best Bet to Win the Norris Trophy

Erik Karlsson has a lot more time to feast on the relatively weak Pacific division, along with fellow blue-liner Brent Burns.

However, 17 of the last 19 Norris Trophy winners have played for East Coast teams, which despite what hockey writers might want to claim, matters.

Bet on Victor Hedman to take home the Norris Trophy for the second straight season.

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