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Updated Calder Trophy Odds – Can Jason Robertson Catch Kirill Kaprizov for Top Rookie?

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Apr 26, 2021 · 2:11 PM PDT

Updated Calder Trophy odds - Kirill Kaprizov and Jason Robertson
Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) plays against the Detroit Red Wings in the first period of an NHL hockey game Saturday, April 24, 2021, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
  • Jason Robertson is closing the gap on Kirill Kaprizov in the 2021 Calder Trophy odds
  • Robertson’s odds have improved from +950 to +150, while Kaprizov has fallen to -230
  • Read below to see which player offers the best value in the updated Calder Trophy odds

Dallas Stars forward Jason Robertson is giving Kirill Kaprizov some competition in the 2021 Calder race. Robertson has seen his Calder Trophy odds shorten from +950 to +150 over the last several weeks as he helps Dallas chase a playoff berth.

Kaprizov has been heavily favored for the majority of the season, but the 24-year-old Wild forward has seen his odds lengthen to -230 despite maintaining his lead in the rookie goal-scoring race.

Is Robertson capable of catching Kaprizov in the Calder Trophy odds, or should you bet the emerging Russian superstar now that his odds have worsened?

2021 Calder Trophy Odds

Player Odds at FanDuel
Kirill Kaprizov (Wild) -230
Jason Robertson (Stars) +150
Tim Stuetzle (Senators) +1500
Josh Norris (Senators) +1500
Alex Nedeljkovic (Hurricanes) +1900
Ty Smith (Devils) +1900
Igor Shesterkin (Rangers) +2600
Pius Suter (Blackhawks) +2600
Oliver Wahlstrom (Islanders) +2600
Kaapo Kahkonen (Wild) +3400
Kevin Lankinen (Blackhawks) +3400
Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) +6000

Odds as of April 26th

Kaprizov’s Calder to Lose 

Kirill Kaprizov remains a heavy favorite in the updated Calder Trophy odds despite a late-season push from Robertson. The 24-year-old Russian has been the favorite for the trophy since January and became an odds-on favorite in March. He’s seen his average odds lengthen from -488 to -315 over the last few weeks.

Kaprizov leads all NHL rookies in both goals (22) and points (41) through 47 games. The former KHL standout has played a monumental role in bringing the Wild back to NHL relevance, pacing the team in scoring by a significant margin. Minnesota sits third in the West Division with 65 points and are on track to make the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the first time since 2018.

Kaprizov has especially been on a tear of late, scoring in five straight games to shoot him into the Top 10 of NHL goal scoring. His years of experience in the KHL may be viewed as an unfair advantage, but the rules state Kaprizov’s Calder eligible, and voters will simply be voting for the “best rookie” no matter their age.

Roberton’s Late-Season Push in Calder Trophy Odds

Jason Robertson is gaining traction in the Calder Trophy odds as he continues his impressive season for a banged up Stars team. The 21-year-old has been listed as a Calder longshot for the majority of the season, but he’s seen his average odds shorten from +950 to +150 over the last several weeks.

Robertson is seeing his Calder Trophy odds improve because national media is becoming aware of the special year he’s having in Dallas. The speedy winger leads all NHL rookie in assists (23) and is just four points back of Kaprizov in the scoring race despite playing five fewer games. The Stars have been bitten by the injury bug this season and are sitting fifth in the Central Division with 52 points.

Robertson has been productive all year, but he’s really come on since March. The left-winger ranks 14th in the NHL with 31 points in 31 games since March 1st, while Kaprizov only has 24 points in 29 games in that span.

Kaprizov vs Robertson Calder Analysis 

Kaprizov has been considered a Calder trophy lock for almost the entire season, but Robertson’s push is going to make the race interesting. Considering Kaprizov opened at +400 to win the Calder, it may seem that the value is now on Robertson. That isn’t necessarily the case when you dive a bit deeper.

Kaprizov is almost single handedly responsible for transforming the Wild into a playoff contender, while Robertson’s Stars are only a bubble team after making the Conference Finals in 2020.  Kaprizov has spent the majority of a season on a line with Mats Zuccarello and Victor Rask, while Robertson has been playing with two quality linemates in Joe Pavelski and Roope Hintz.

Roberton’s Calder case is likely going to be built around his stellar 5-on-5 play, as he leads all rookies with 33 even-strength points. There’s also going to be those that point to the team’s massive injury list as a reason to back Robertson. The Stars have been without starting goalie Ben Bishop and superstar Tyler Seguin all season amidst other injuries.

Kaprizov is still the best bet because his flash and elite skill will be too hard to ignore. He’s scored several mind-blowing goals that have already won over voters. The Russian has also scored more even-strength goals than Robertson, and you can make the argument that no player in the NHL has been as important to their team as Kaprizov has been to Minnesota.

Pick: Kirill Kaprizov (-230)

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