Upcoming Match-ups
  • Which rookies are expected to challenge for the Calder Trophy in 2021?
  • Wild’s Kirill Kaprizov is the odds-on favorite to win the 2021 Calder Trophy
  • Track which players trending up and which are trending down over the course of the 2020-21 NHL campaign

In the graphs below, find the odds for all of the top rookie skaters and goaltenders to capture the 2021 Calder Trophy, and track how they fluctuate over the course of the season, as players either exceed or fall short of expectations.

Odds for Top Calder Trophy Contenders

  • [Apr 23]: Jason Robertson has closed the gap on Kirill Kaprizov. Robertson’s average odds have significantly shortened from +950 to +150 as he trails Kaprizov by just two points on the season. Kaprizov’s average odds have worsened from -488 to -315.
  • [April 8]: Despite it being Kaprizov’s trophy to lose at this point, Dallas Stars rookie Jason Robertson has been playing some inspiring hockey recently. Robertson scored five goals and 16 points in March as his average odds shortened to +950.
  • [Mar 23]: Islanders rookie netminder Ilya Sorokin has been on a tear as of late. Sorokin’s owns a .924 SV%, 1.80 GAA, and six wins in the month of March. Sorokin’s average odds have shortened from +2000 to +1250.
  • [Mar 8]: Kirill Kaprizov has started to become the runaway favorite to win the Calder Trophy with his average odds shortening from +245 to -160. Kaprizov has six goals and 13 assists in 22 games this season, which leads all rookies.
  • [Feb 22]: While Kirill Kaprizov continues to lead the Calder Trophy race at +245 average odds. However, Blackhawks goaltender Kevin Lankinen has seen his average odds drop from +1000 to +575. Lankinen has a 2.43 GAA, .927 SV%, and seven wins this season.
  • [Feb 4]: Devils’ Ty Smith has seen his average odds shorten significantly from the start of the season. Smith has two goals and eight points in nine games and has seen his average odds drop from +2250 to +500.
  • [Jan 18]: Minnesota Wild’s Kirill Kaprizov is the new favorite with +200 average odds after winning the NHL’s First Star of the Week with one goal and three assists in two games. Canucks’ Nils Hoglander, Sharks’ John Leonard, and Devils’ Yegor Sharangovich are all in the Top 5 after solid opening games.
  • [Jan 8]: Los Angeles Kings’ Gabriel Vilardi has squeaked into the Top 5 seeing his average odds go from +3500 to +1467.
  • [Nov 16]: New York Rangers’ Igor Shesterkin opens as the favorite at +175. First overall pick, and Shesterkin’s teammate, Alexis Lafreniere opened at +375 to win the 2021 Calder Trophy.

Calder Trophy Odds

Player Odds at FanDuel
Kirill Kaprizov (Wild) -230
Jason Robertson (Stars) +150
Tim Stuetzle (Senators) +1500
Josh Norris (Senators) +1500
Alex Nedeljkovic (Hurricanes) +1900
Ty Smith (Devils) +1900
Igor Shesterkin (Rangers) +2600
Pius Suter (Blackhawks) +2600
Oliver Wahlstrom (Islanders) +2600
Kaapo Kahkonen (Wild) +3400
Kevin Lankinen (Blackhawks) +3400
Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) +6000

Odds as of April 23rd

Notable Trends

  • A forward has won the Rookie of the Year eight of the last 10 years now, with defensemen Aaron Ekblad (2015) and Cale Makar (2020) the only non-forwards to win.
  • No goalies have won the Calder since Steve Mason (Columbus) in 2009.
  • No team has produced back-to-back Rookie of the Year winners since the 68-69 Bruins (Bobby Orr & Derek Sanderson).

Past Winners

Year Winner
2020 Cale Makar (D, Avalanche)
2019 Elias Pettersson (F, Canucks)
2018 Mathew Barzal (F, Islander)
2017 Auston Matthews (F, Leafs)
2016 Artemi Panarin (F, Blackhawks)
2015 Aaron Ekblad (D, Panthers)
2014 Nathan MacKinnon (F, Avalanche)
2013 Jonathan Huberdeau (F, Panthers)
2012 Gabriel Landeskog (F, Avalanche)
2011 Jeff Skinner (F, Hurricanes)

Archived Calder Trophy Odds: 2020

Author Image

With five years of sports journalism under his belt already, Ryan Sura may be young, but he is already making his mark. He has written for publications such as Fantasy Pros, SB Nation and TSN.ca, covering NFL, NBA, and college sports.