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Ally 400 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Hamlin Offering Value at +850

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Jun 17, 2021 · 6:48 AM PDT

NASCAR Ally 400 odds - Larson, Hamlin and Truex Jr
Kyle Larson celebrates winning the NASCAR Cup Series All-Star auto race at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas, Sunday, June 13, 2021. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
  • Kyle Larson is again the favorite this week at the Ally 400 on June 20th, 2021
  • Kyle Busch and the Joe Gibbs Racing drivers could be worth looks this weekend.
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at Nashville

NASCAR heads to Music City with a Sunday afternoon race after last week’s victory by Kyle Larson at the All-Star Race. Larson is a +275 favorite to win yet another race in the Ally 400 odds. Martin Truex Jr. (+650) could be as much of a favorite given how he has finished on courses like this. His odds to finish in the top three are listed at +175. Also, watch for drivers like Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch on the Gladeville (Nashville area) track.

Let’s take a look at the odds for the NASCAR Ally 400 and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

NASCAR Ally 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win at DraftKings Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top 10
Kyle Larson +275 -143 -770
Martin Truex Jr. +650 +175 -360
Chase Elliott +700 +190 -335
Denny Hamlin +850 +225 -286
Kyle Busch +900 +240 -265
William Byron +1200 +325 -200
Brad Keselowski +1200 +325 -200
Kevin Harvick +1300 +350 -182
Joey Logano +1300 +350 -182
Alex Bowman +1400 +375 -177
Ryan Blaney +1800 +450 -150
Christopher Bell +4000 +1000 +125
Tyler Reddick +4000 +1000 +125
Austin Dillon +4000 +1000 +125
Kurt Busch +5000 +1200 +150
Matt DiBenedetto +8000 +2000 +225
Chris Buescher +12000 +3000 +325
Ross Chastain +12000 +3000 +325
Aric Almirola +15000 +3500 +375

Odds as of June 17th

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Kyle Larson Favored to Win at NASCAR Superspeedway

NASCAR drivers run on the 1.33-mile-long oval road track when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 3:30 PM EST. All tracks have been extremely good to Larson lately, who has won the last three races (All-Star race at Texas included. That features seven top-fives and nine top-ten results. Larson even won the Toyota / Save Mart 350 as the Hendrick Motorsports driver held off Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott, and others.

At this point, can anyone catch Kyle Larson? He has finished fourth, second and had three consecutive firsts since Dover. That is a considerable hot stretch. Some point to his domination of Charlotte a few weeks back where he led 327 of the 400 laps en route to an easy victory.

He has the ability to just adapt to all tracks with ease. It is almost unfair how good the young Larson drives his No. 5 race car.

The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver was great at staying near the front of the field. Kyle Larson can literally win anywhere as well as from anywhere in the pack. This week’s build combined with high-wear tires again favors the driver.

Ally 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 No race data No race data No race data

This race was awarded to Nashville on June 3rd last year. The Ally 400 replaced one of the two Dover races on the Nashville schedule. It is the maiden NASCAR run on this track.

Should Martin Truex Jr. Be A Favorite?

Sports bettors have little history to draw on as again this is the track’s NASCAR debut. Truex Jr. has taken a downturn in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, but the No. 19 has been quite good at the 1 to 1.5-mile distances. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has led the most laps several times and has won twice in 17 such races at this distance. The closest comparison to Nashville is the Dover track which occurred in Mid-May (Drydene 400).

Truex Jr. won at Dover in 2019 and had three consecutive second-place finishes after that before having some issues in this year’s race (wall, tire, etc.). He can race very well on this track and could compete with the Hendrick quartet if his pit crew can make the right adjustments when needed.

Can The Hendrick Motorsports Racing Team Be Slowed Down?

The build for this week’s race at Nashville features the following to consider.

  • Practice
  • 750 HP package stats
  • High tire wear track stats (Homestead, Atlanta, Darlington, Dover)
  • Tire combo track trio (Dover- right sides, Kansas/ Charlotte- left sides)

Adjustments will be key, and so far, the Hendrick team has been king in these types of scenarios. Again, look back to Dover in May when they completed the 1-4 sweep. No one could challenge the team on that day with regularity. Larson and then Chase Elliott have been among the most dominant in the last five races.

Even William Byron and Alex Bowman have to be considered some. Byron would be more for all those top-ten finishes, and Bowman has a way of being at the right place at the right time (see Dover).

The question this Sunday figures to be can anyone slow this racing team down? The only three drivers that come to mind are from Joe Gibbs Racing (Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr.), and Denny Hamlin. Now, can they keep up during these long runs when the tires break down quickly? That is their biggest question, especially with the tire setup.

The Picks: Kyle Larson to win (+275);  Martin Truex Jr. to finish Top Ten (-360); William Byron to finish Top Ten (-200)

Top Pick: Chase Elliott to finish Top Three (+190)

Longshot: Denny Hamlin (+850)


This article contains links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.

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