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  • We’re tracking the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series odds for all top drivers
  • At +575, Chase Elliott is the early favorite to capture his  second NASCAR Cup Series Championship
  • Odds for Joey Logano, the 2022 series champion, opened at +950

We’re tracking the championship odds for all drivers for the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series since they became available. The graphs below are generated by calculating the average from a selection of our most trusted sportsbooks. The opening favorite to win the 2023 NASCAR Cup is Chase Elliott.

NASCAR Cup Series Odds

2023 NASCAR Cup Odds

Driver Odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Kyle Larson +160
William Byron +260
Ryan Blaney +280
Christopher Bell +350

Odds as of October 30th at Caesars Sportsbook.


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  • [Nov 6]: He may not have taken the checkered flag on Sunday, but Ryan Blaney has won his first NASCAR Cup Championship! His second-place finish was enough to capture the cup, finishing in Phoenix ahead of fellow finalists Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Chris Bell.
  • [Oct 30]: Ryan Blaney’s win at Martinsville clinched his spot in the Championship 4, alongside Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, and William Byron. Heading into the championship race, Larson remains the favorite at +160, followed by Byron (+260), Blaney (+280), and Bell (+350).
  • [Oct 23]: There was no agonizing loss this week for Bell, who held off Ryan Blaney to win at Homestead to book his place in the Championship 4. His average cup odds now sit at +313, just behind William Byron (+280) and Kyle Larson (+138).
  • [Oct 16]: He may have beat Christopher Bell by inches at the South Point 400, but Kyle Larson’s win in Las Vegas has launched him up the odds table. He’s now getting odds as short as +140 to capture his second NASCAR Cup title. At the other end of the table, Ryan Blaney, who was DQ’d on Sunday after failing a post-race inspection, saw his odds drop from +1200 to +4000, all but knocking him out of contention.
  • [Oct 11]: Though it was the already-eliminated A.J. Allmendinger who captured the checkered flag last weekend at the Roval 400, all the Round of 8 qualifying drama happened further back in the field. A third-place finish wasn’t enough for Kyle Busch to move out of 12th, so he, along with Bubba Wallace, Ross Chastain, and Brad Keselowski were all knocked out of the cup. A second place finish for William Byron cements him as the favorite (+320) going into the final eight.
  • [Oct 2]: Sunday’s win at Talladega has shot Ryan Blaney up the playoff standings and the odds table. He now sits in 4th going into the final Round of 12 race in Charlotte and his Cup odds have shortened from +4000 to +800.
  • [Sep 25]: A win in Forth Worth has propelled William Byron to the top of the playoff standings and has shortened his cup odds to +350. Bubba Wallace has seen the greatest odds improvement, moving from +7500 to as low as +4000 in some sportsbooks following his third-place finish, though he still sits ninth in the standings and remains at risk of elimination.
  • [Sep 18]: We’re now down to 12 drivers! Joey Logano, Kevin Harvick, Ricky Stenhouse Jr, and Michael McDowell are all out following Denny Hamlin’s win in Bristol on Sunday. Kyle Larson is the current favorite at +400, despite sitting in fourth place in the standings.
  • [Sep 11]: Respective wins by Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick in Darlington and Kansas have catapulted each driver up both the championship standings and the NASCAR Cup odds table. Larson is now at +400 after starting the playoffs at +750, while Reddick has jumped from +2500 to +1100.
  • [Aug 28]: We’re down to the final sixteen! The NASCAR Playoffs are set to begin weekend and Martin Truex is holding strong at +375 as the favorite to capture his second NASCAR Cup. Flying up the odds table (not to mention the standings) is Chris Buescher, who just captured his third win in the last five races. As recently as April, Buescher was averaging +10000 to win the cup; now, he’s getting odds as low as +900.
  • [Aug 1]: Chris Buescher’s win at the Cook Out 400 has all but guaranteed his place in the NASCAR playoffs. The RFK Racing driver is now 13th in the driver standings with four races to go. Following the win, Buescher’s average odds to win the NASCAR Cup moved from +5750 to +4000.
  • [Jul 24]: Denny Hamlin received a bit of a bump following his win at Pocono, moving from +700 to +600, but is still getting only the fourth-best cup odds overall.
  • [Jul 10]: William Byron’s win in the Quaker State 400 has moved him to the top of the Drivers’ Championship standings and shortened his cup odds from +710 to +650.
  • [Jul 4]: There was little odds movement following the Grant Park 220 following Shane van Gisbergen’s win in his debut NASCAR race. Among drivers hoping to qualify for the NASCAR Playoffs, Ty Gibbs saw the biggest odds movement: following a ninth-place finish, his average cup odds jumped from +5500 to +4080.
  • [Jun 26]: Following their 1-2 finish at the Ally 400, Ross Chastain and Martin Truex Jr both saw a decent jump in their average cup odds, with Chastain moving to +1100 and Truex Jr to +700. They’re now sitting in third and first respectively in the series standings.
  • [Jun 12]: How’s this for a weekend? Martin Truex Jr. captured his second checkered flag of the season in Sonoma, now leads the driver standings by 13 points over William Byron, and has just cracked the top five in cup series odds (+800) for the first time all season.
  • [Jun 5]: The Enjoy Illinois 300 was all Kyle Busch this weekend: he won the pole, led the most laps, and captured the checkered flag in overtime by half a second over Denny Hamlin. With the win, his cup odds are now as short as +900.
  • [May 30]: Ryan Blaney made a big jump following his win at the Coca-Cola 600. Not only is he one point out of first place in the drivers’ standings, his average championship odds shortened from +1450 to +1100.
  • [May 8]: The only major changes following Sunday’s AdventHealth 400 was Denny Hamlin moving to +800 after picking up his first win of the season and Kyle Busch dropping to +1100 with a 35th place finish.
  • [May 2]: Martin Truex Jr. picked up his first win of the season at the rain-delayed Würth 400 and saw his cup odds immediately shorten from +1900 to +1200.
  • [Apr 25]: Despite picking up his second win of the season at the GEICO 500, Kyle Busch actually saw his average cup odds grow longer, moving from +850 to +875.
  • [Apr 17]: After finishing 10th in his first race in six weeks, Chase Elliott instantly saw his average cup odds shoot from +1150 to +775, despite currently sitting in 31st in the standings.
  • [Apr 10]: One of the biggest surprises so far this season is 2012 NASCAR champion Brad Keselowski, who’s average cup odds have moved from +6500 to +3500. His 216 points after eight races has him sitting in ninth in the current cup series standings.
  • [Apr 3]: Christopher Bell’s NASCAR Cup odds have dropped below +1000 for the first time this season following his fourth Top 5 finish of the season on Sunday.
  • [Mar 27]: After winning yesterday’s EchoPark Grand Prix, Tyler Reddick’s cup odds shortened from +2000 to +1500, while current points leader Ross Chastain remains at +1200 following a fourth-place finish.
  • [Mar 20]: Joey Logano’s win in Atlanta has shot him to the top of the series standings and has shortened his average cup odds to +825.
  • [Mar 13]: That’s now two wins in two weeks for William Byron, who’s seen his cup odds shorten from +1500 at the end of February to +800.
  • [Feb 28]: A win at the Pala Casino 400 has shortened Kyle Busch’s cup odds from +1000 to +650. Christopher Bell, who had the pole this week in Fontana, dropped from +800 to +1000 after crashing out in 32nd place.
  • [Feb 22]: It stands to reason that your NASCAR Cup odds will improve when you win the first race of the season. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. was getting only +3300 to win the Daytona 500, but after capturing the checkered flag his average championship odds have shortened drastically, from +35000 to +4000.
  • [Jan 24]: With less than two weeks before the Busch Light Clash at The Coliseum to open the season, some books are giving favorites Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson equal odds to win the cup, though Elliott’s odds are still averaging as slightly ahead.
  • [Dec 5]: Chase Elliott has opened as the 2023 NASCAR Cup favorite, with odds currently averaging at +575. Close behind him are Kyle Larson (+600), Denny Hamlin (+900), Ryan Blaney (+925), and the 2022 series champion, Joey Logano (+950).

Past NASCAR Cup Series Champions

Year Driver
2013 Jimmie Johnson
2014 Kevin Harvick
2015 Kyle Busch
2016 Jimmie Johnson
2017 Martin Truex Jr.
2018 Joey Logano
2019 Kyle Busch
2020 Chase Elliott
2021 Kyle Larson
2022 Joey Logano

Joey Logano won his second NASCAR Cup Series Championship in 2022. Despite beginning 2022 with odds to win at +1200, Logano kept himself in contention throughout the series, before winning the Championship Race at the Phoenix Raceway. Logano started his winning season with opening odds identical to those of the 2021 winner, Kyle Larson.

Odds for Past Cup Champions

Last year’s winner, Joey Logano, opens at +950 odds to repeat. The 2020 NASCAR Cup winner, Chase Elliott, opens at +575 to win this year.

Drivers with the Most Championships

What do Richard Petty, Dale Earnhardt, and Jimmie Johnson have in common? In addition to being NASCAR royalty, all three drivers have also won seven Cup championships. Johnson is the only driver to ever win five consecutive titles.

2023 NASCAR Schedule and Winners

Race Date Winner
Busch Light Clash at The Coliseum February 5, 2023 Martin Truex Jr.
Daytona 500 February 19, 2023 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
 Pala Casino 400 February 26, 2023 Kyle Busch
Pennzoil 400 March 5, 2023 William Byron
United Rentals Work United 500 March 12, 2023 William Byron
Ambetter Health 400 March 19, 2023 Joey Logano
EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix March 26, 2023 Tyler Reddick
Toyota Owners 400 April 2, 2023 Kyle Larson
Food City Dirt Race April 9, 2023 Christopher Bell
NOCO 400 April 16, 2023 Kyle Larson
GEICO 500 April 23, 2023 Kyle Busch
Würth 400 May 1, 2023 Martin Truex Jr.
AdventHealth 400 May 7, 2023 Denny Hamlin
Goodyear 400 May 14, 2023 William Byron
NASCAR All-Star Race May 21, 2023 Kyle Larson
Coca-Cola 600 May 29, 2023 Ryan Blaney
Enjoy Illinois 300 June 4, 2023 Kyle Busch
Toyota/Save Mart 350 June 11, 2023 Martin Truex Jr.
Ally 400 June 25, 2023 Ross Chastain
Grant Park 220 July 2, 2023 Shane van Gisbergen
Quaker State 400 July 9, 2023 William Byron
Crayon 301 July 17, 2023 Martin Truex Jr.
HighPoint.com 400 July 23, 2023 Denny Hamlin
Cook Out 400 July 30, 2023 Chris Buescher
FireKeepers Casino 400 August 6, 2023 Chris Buescher
Verizon 200 at The Brickyard August 13, 2023 Michael McDowell
Go Bowling at The Glen August 20, 2023 William Byron
Coke Zero Sugar 400 August 26, 2023 Chris Buescher
Cook Out Southern 500 September 3, 2023 Kyle Larson
Hollywood Casino 400 September 10, 2023 Tyler Reddick
Bass Pro Shops Night Race September 16, 2023 Denny Hamlin
AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 September 24, 2023 William Byron
YellaWood 500 October 1, 2023 Ryan Blaney
Bank of America Roval 400 October 8, 2023 A.J. Allmendinger
South Point 400 October 15, 2023 Kyle Larson
4EVER 400 October 22, 2023 Christopher Bell
Xfinity 500 October 29, 2023 Ryan Blaney
NASCAR Cup Series Championship November 5, 2023 Ross Chastain

Archived Odds: 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019

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With a background in content marketing, literature, and design, Ian has been bringing a little bit of everything to SBD since 2021. In addition to having penned articles for Eighty-Six Forever, Ian can and will talk your ear off over almost any sport you can think of.