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Formula 1 2021 Mexican Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Nov 4, 2021 · 7:49 AM PDT

Mexican Grand Prix odds
Mexican Formula One Red Bull driver Sergio "Checo" Pérez waves as he holds his nation's flag after an exhibition race along Paseo de la Reforma ahead of this weekend's Mexico Grand Prix in Mexico City, Wednesday, Nov. 3, 2021. (AP Photo/Fernando Llano)
  • Sergio Perez vies for a third straight podium finish when he returns home for Sunday’s running of the Mexican Grand Prix on November 7th, 2021
  • Fresh off a win in the US, Max Verstappen is favored to tally his ninth win of the season, while Lewis Hamilton trails as second favorite
  • Read on for the Mexican Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez

Sergio Perez will be aiming to reach the podium in three straight races for the first time in his Formula 1 career when he returns to his homeland for Sunday’s running of the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix sporting +1400 odds in the F1 betting lines. “Checo” is coming off consecutive third-place finishes at the Turkish and United States Grands Prix, and trails only his Red Bull teammate Max Verstappen and defending champion Lewis Hamilton as a strong -165 bet to once again finish among the top three. Fresh off his victory two weeks ago in Austin, Verstappen leads the way as a -175 favorite in the Mexican Grand Prix odds, while Hamilton searches for his first victory in three outings pegged as a +200 second favorite.

Here’s a look at all the F1 Mexican Grand Prix odds and trends at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City on Sunday afternoon at 2:00 PM EST.

Odds to Win 2021 Mexican Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six
Max Verstappen -175 -400 -600
Lewis Hamilton +200 -250 -550
Sergio Perez +1400 -165 -450
Charles Leclerc +1800 +185 -300
Valtteri Bottas +2200 +215 -280
Lando Norris +5000 +450 -140
Carlos Sainz Jr. +6500 +450 -175
Daniel Ricciardo +8000 +1000 -110
George Russell +10000 +4000 +2000
Pierre Gasly +13000 +1000 +105
Sebastian Vettel +25000 +2500 +650
Fernando Alonso +25000 +2200 +330
Esteban Ocon +25000 +3500 +750
Lance Stroll +30000 +4000 +1200
Yuki Tsunoda +30000 +4000 +1200
Antonio Giovinazzi +50000 +15000 +4000
Kimi Raikkonen +50000 +20000 +6500
Mick Schumacher +50000 +20000 +6500
Nicholas Latifi +50000 +20000 +6500
Nikita Mazepin +50000 +30000 +10000

Odds as of November 4th at DraftKings

Homecoming for Checo at Mexican Grand Prix

After enduring a difficult stretch of seven races in which he cracked the top five on just one occasion, Sergio Perez has reverted to steady form in his past two outings. In addition to providing Verstappen with a huge assist in his bid to claim his first career F1 world championship, Checo has maintained a steady presence on the track. The 31-year-old native of Guadalajara is coming off a solid qualifying run in Austin, claiming a spot on the second row for the first time in six outings.

Perez would love nothing more than to take home the checkered flag in front of his fellow countrymen. However, he faces a huge challenge to overcome a shaky track record in Mexico City, where he has finished no better than seventh in five previous appearances. However, this time around Perez enjoys the benefit of being behind the wheel of the fastest car on the track. While team orders are likely to favor Verstappen and his pursuit for the crown, expect Checo to once again remain in the mix at the front of the pack.

Verstappen Favored in Mexican Grand Prix Odds

As for Verstappen, he remains in firm control of his championship destiny with just five races remaining on the 2021 F1 calendar. The 24-year-old has enjoyed a dominant campaign and received a boost from red Bull’s recent engine upgrades. The results speak for themselves. Verstappen has finished first or second in 13 of the 15 races he has completed so far this season. And with a widening 12-point lead over Hamilton in the F1 Drivers Standings, Verstappen has dramatically improved to a -250 favorite in the F1 Drivers Championship odds.

Verstappen has also enjoyed previous success in Mexico, taking home the checkered flag in two of his past three appearances. However, two notable threats to Red Bull’s increasing dominance remain.

Mexican Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2019 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 1.766 sec
2018 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 17.316 sec
2017 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 19.678 sec
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.354 sec
2015 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 1.954 sec

Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix Picks & Predictions

While Hamilton has struggled to keep pace with his Red Bull rivals, he can’t be counted out in Mexico, where he has won twice and reached the podium on three overall occasions. However, the legendary English driver’s chances are likely to be highly dependent on his qualifying results. Hamilton has started from the front row in six of his past eight outings, a trend he must continue to avoid falling behind Verstappen and Perez early.

In addition, it would be unwise to overlook Charles Leclerc, who looks to the weekend as a +1800 bet. The Ferrari driver has finished among the top five in four of his past five outings, capped by a fourth-place run in Austin. Leclerc also impressed in his last appearance in Mexico, claiming the pole and recording the fastest lap on his way to a fourth-place finish, and is worthy of a value wager as a +185 bet to reach the podium for the second time this season.

The Picks: Sergio Perez top three (-165); Charles Leclerc top three (+185)


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