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Formula 1 2022 Belgian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Aug 25, 2022 · 6:42 PM PDT

Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen waving to the crowd
Jun 19, 2022; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen of The Netherlands waves to the crowd after winning the Montreal Grand Prix at circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports
  • Max Verstappen favored as the F1 season resumes with the Belgian Grand Prix on Aug. 28
  • Charles Leclerc neck-and-neck in race to be second favorite
  • Read on for all the Belgian Grand Prix odds and betting trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running at Spa-Francorchamps

The 2022 Formula 1 season resumes in earnest this weekend, with Sunday’s running of the Belgian Grand Prix. Reigning champion and current frontrunner in the F1 Drivers Standings, Max Verstappen returns to Belgium for his home race leading the way as a clear -115 favorite on the Belgian Grand Prix odds. Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc entered the summer break struggling to maintain his fast early-season pace, but remains pegged as a +350 second favorite, just ahead of Lewis Hamilton, who rounds out the top of the odds as a +400 wager.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix at 9:00am ET at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps.

Odds to Win 2022 Belgian Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -115 -360 -650 -700
Charles Leclerc +350 -190 -360 -500
Lewis Hamilton +400 -125 -550 -600
George Russell +900 +145 -500 -600
Carlos Sainz Jr. +1100 +110 -330 -450
Sergio Perez +2200 +135 -360 -500
Lando Norris +20000 +1600 +120 -330
Fernando Alonso +20000 +1800 +125 -330
Esteban Ocon +30000 +4500 +225 -225
Daniel Ricciardo +30000 +5000 +400 +100
Valtteri Bottas +50000 +6500 +650 -120
Sebastian Vettel +50000 +6500 +900 +120
Pierre Gasly +50000 +10000 +1000 +165
Lance Stroll +50000 +10000 +1000 +200
Kevin Magnussen +50000 +6500 +750 +125
Yuki Tsunoda +90000 +20000 +2500 +300
Alex Albon +90000 +20000 +4000 +410
Nicholas Latifi +90000 +30000 +15000 +330
Mick Schumacher +900000 +20000 +1800 +225
Guanyu Zhou +90000 +15000 +2500 +275

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of August 25, 2022.

 

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Will Rains Wash Out Race for Second Straight Year?

With plenty of rain in the forecast for Friday and Saturday, concerns linger about a possible of last year’s debacle at this event. Max Verstappen emerged as the race winner after just one lap completed due to extended race delays caused by heavy rain. However, the weather is expected to improve as Sunday approaches, with sunny skies and cool temperatures forecast for race time.

Now sporting a massive 80-point lead over Leclerc atop the Formula 1 Drivers Standings, Verstappen remains clearly in command of his own destiny as the unofficial second half of the season gets underway. The Red Bull Racing has racked eight wins so far this season, and has demonstrated a new level of maturity that has enabled him to avoid costly mistakes, and complete 11 of 13 races to date. That is reflected in the F1 championship odds, where the 24-year-old is now perched as massive -1200 chalk to successfully defend his crown.

However, tallying a second straight win in Belgium comes with its own challenges. While Verstappen has most certainly benefited from the technical and communication issues that have plagued Ferrari all season long, he returns to action facing a renewed threat from the Mercedes duo of Lewis Hamilton and George Russell.

Mercedes on the Rebound

Technical issues and some occasional sloppy driving have wreaked havoc on Lewis Hamilton. As a result, the seven-time F1 champion has never gone this deep into a season without a win. However, the Hamilton was showing clear signs of a turnaround just prior to the summer break with five straight podium finishes, capped by second-place performances in both France and Hungary.

More important is Hamilton’s impressive record of success at Spa-Francorchamps, where he has racked up four career wins, and reached the podium in each of his past seven appearances. Accordingly, value shoppers should not overlook Hamilton’s lucrative +400 odds to claim his first victory of the season.

Belgian Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2021 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 1.995 sec Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing None
2020 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.448 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Daniel Ricciardo – Renault
2019 Charles Leclerc – Ferrari 0.981 sec Charles Leclerc – Ferrari Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari
2018 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 11.061 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes
2017 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.358 sec Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2016 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 14.113 sec Nico Rosberg – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.058 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes
2014 Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull-Renault 3.383 sec Nico Rosberg – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes

New Twist to Alpine Rivalry

Several personnel moves for 2023 were announced during the summer break. The most notable being former champion Fernando Alonso’s signing with Aston Martin, where he will replace soon-to-be-retired Sebastian Vettel.

With the illusion of team solidarity now smashed, the table is set for the rivalry between Alonso and his Alpine teammate Esteban Ocon to heat up. Ocon currently holds a 58-41 lead over Alonso in the standings, but it has been the wily veteran has been the steadier driver of late, cracking the points in eight straight races. However, F1 betting fans should not overlook the value in Ocon’s +225 odds to finish top six, and the -120 odds favoring a double points finish by the French team.

The Picks: Lewis Hamilton to win (+400); Alpine double points finish (-120)

 

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