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Formula 1 2022 Canadian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Jun 16, 2022 · 9:35 AM PDT

Red Bull driver Max Verstappen on the track at the 2022 Miami Grand Prix
May 6, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Red Bull driver Max Verstappen of the Netherlands races into turn 1 through the circuit during qualifying for the Miami Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
  • Formula 1 returns to Montreal for the first time since 2019 with this weekend’s Canadian Grand Prix
  • Red Bull teammates Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez lead the way as betting favorites
  • Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2022 Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve

Formula 1 action returns to Montreal for the first time in three years with the running of this weekend’s Canadian Grand Prix. Fresh off his fifth win of the season in Azerbaijan, Max Verstappen arrives in Canada perched as a -110 favorite. Verstappen’s Red Bull teammate and chief rival in the F1 Drivers Standings, Sergio Perez, sits second at +290, while Charles Leclerc searches for an end to his recent hard luck as a +300 bet.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2022 Azerbaijan Grand Prix at 2:00 pm ET at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.

Odds to Win 2022 Canadian Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Max Verstappen -110 -360 -550 -750
Sergio Perez +290 -280 -500 -700
Charles Leclerc +300 -250 -450 -550
Carlos Sainz +1600 +175 -280 -500
George Russell +3000 +275 -280 -500
Lewis Hamilton +3500 +350 -225 -450
Lando Norris +10000 +900 +130 -280
Pierre Gasly +13000 +1400 +155 -225
Valtteri Bottas +15000 +1800 +200 -175
Fernando Alonso +15000 +1400 +165 -200
Esteban Ocon +25000 +1800 +400 -150
Daniel Ricciardo +25000 +2000 +450 -125
Yuki Tsunoda +50000 +1800 +1200 +200
Sebastian Vettel +50000 +3500 +550 -140
Kevin Magnussen +50000 +6500 +1100 +175
Lance Stroll +60000 +15000 +2800 +450
Mick Schumacher +70000 +15000 +3000 +500
Guanyu Zhou +70000 +15000 +3000 +380
Alexander Albon +80000 +30000 +6500 +550
Nicholas Latifi +80000 +50000 +15000 +2200

Odds as of June 16, 2022, at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

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Red Bull Set Themselves Apart

With last week’s sensational performances in Baku, the Red Bull duo of Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez have placed a stranglehold on the top of both the F1 Drivers and Constructors Standings, and the F1 championship odds. While Verstappen led the way, it was another outstanding day for “Checo”, who finished a strong second to cement his grasp on second place in the Drivers Standings, just 21 points back of Verstappen. Overall, the duo have amassed a combined 11 podium finishes this season, and look poised to extend their lead in Montreal.

But while Checo powered to second place last week, concerns emerged over his ability to keep pace. Checo’s efforts were further undermined by a sloppy pit stop that dashed any hopes of posting consecutive wins for the first time in his career. But even if Checo’s struggles with pace continue, he is well positioned to once again serves as Verstappen’s “Mexican Minister of Defence” in Montreal, on a track well suited to his skill set.

Ferrari Dogged by Technical Issues

While Red Bull pull away from the pack, Ferrari find themselves desperate to overcome technical problems that bounced Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz from last week’s race. Leclerc has struggled badly since winning two of the first three races of the season.

The Monte Carlo native has reached the podium just once while failing to finish on two occasions over the past five races. He is likely still smarting from the lost opportunity in his home race in Monaco three weeks ago, which doomed him to a fourth-place finish. However, Leclerc has remained a beast in qualifying, seizing the pole position in each of the past four races, and in six of eight outings overall. Accordingly, he should not be overlooked as a -150 value bet to once again be the top qualifier.

Technical problems have also extended what has been a feast or famine campaign for Sainz. He has reached the podium in four of the five races he has completed, but has failed to finish on three occasions, with two of those DNFs directly related to technical problems. While it is obviously only a matter of time before Sainz claims his first career F1 win, sports bettors can be forgiven for fading the talented Spaniard, even as a lengthy +1600 bet. Indeed, there may be more value in the strong +550 odds of Ferrari being the first car to retire on Sunday.

Canadian Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2019 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 3.658 sec Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes
2018 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 7.376 sec Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing
2017 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 19.783 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 5.011 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.285 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Kimi Raikkonen – Ferrari

Homecoming for Stroll, Latifi

Sunday’s race marks a homecoming for Lance Stroll and Nicholas Latifi. However, the two Montreal natives return to Canada amid tempered expectations. It has been somewhat of a disappointing campaign for Latifi, who makes his Canadian Grand Prix debut still searching for his first point of the season. The Williams driver has failed to qualify since last year’s Belgian Grand prix, and has finished no higher than 14th so far this season. Accordingly, there is little value to be found in his +2200 odds to crack the top ten.

Things have not gone much better for Stroll. The Aston Martin driver has struggled in his past few drives, capped by a disappointing 16th-place finish in Azerbaijan. However, he has qualified in two of his three previous appearances in Montreal, and is worth getting into as a +450 bet to pick up at least a point on Sunday.

The Picks: Charles Leclerc pole position (-150); Ferrari first car retirement (+550); Lance Stroll top ten (+450)

 

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