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NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 Odds and Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Updated May 27, 2021 · 8:48 AM PDT

NASCAR Coca-Cole 600 odds - Kyle Larson & Martin Truex Jr
Martin Truex Jr., left, takes the green flag to start with Denny Hamlin, center, and Kyle Larson, right, behind him during a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Dover International Speedway, Sunday, May 16, 2021, in Dover, Del. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
  • After finishing second in each of his past three races, Kyle Larson has emerged as the favorite to win this weekend’s Coca-Cola 600
  • Martin Truex Jr. closely trails Larson in the odds as he bids for a third career win in this race, while 2018 race winner Kyle Busch rounds put the favorites
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday evening’s race at Charlotte Motor Speedway

Fresh off his third straight podium finish, a run that has lifted him into third place in the NASCAR Cup standings, Kyle Larson looks to this weekend’s running of the Coca-Cola 600 as a narrow +500 favorite. Despite his current steady run, Larson has tallied just one victory so far this season and can expect to face stiff competition from rival drivers who have enjoyed past success at this event. The winner at this event in two of the past five years, martin Truex Jr. sits a close second to Larson as a +550 bet, while Kyle Busch vies for his second career Coca-Cola 600 title as a steady +650 wager.

Here’s a look at all the odds ahead of the 62nd running of the Coca-Cola 600 on Sunday evening at 6:00 PM EST at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

Odds to Win 2021 Coca-Cola 600

Driver Odds to Win at DraftKings Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top 10
Kyle Larson +500 +145 -400
Martin Truex Jr. +550 +155 -375
Kyle Busch +650 +190 -315
Chase Elliott +700 +200 -295
Denny Hamlin +750 +210 -275
Ryan Blaney +1000 +275 -240
Brad Keselowski +1000 +275 -240
Kevin Harvick +1100 +300 -225
Joey Logano +1400 +375 -195
Alex Bowman +1600 +400 -167
William Byron +1600 +400 -167
Christopher Bell +3000 +750 -106
Tyler Reddick +4000 +1000 +135
Kurt Busch +5000 +1200 +165
Austin Dillon +6000 +1500 +190
Matt DiBenedetto +8000 +2000 +225
Aric Almirola +12500 +2500 +300

Odds as of May 27

Kyle Larson on a Roll

It has been a somewhat streaky campaign for Kyle Larson as the scene shifts to Charlotte Motor Speedway. The 28-year-old has finished among the top five on six occasions but also endured a shaky run earlier this spring, during which he finished better than 18th just once over a five-race stretch.

Following back-to-back second-place performances at Darlington and Dover, Larson appears poised to take the next step. But the question remains whether he can break through at Charlotte, where he has enjoyed little success, finishing among the top ten just once in seven appearances, capped by last year’s dismal 33rd-place performance.

Martin Truex Jr Battling Inconsistency

Conversely, Martin Truex Jr. has been a force in Charlotte in recent years. The 40-year-old has turned around a losing track record at this event, with top ten finishes in each of past seven appearances, including four trips to the podium and a pair of wins.

But it has been a season of highs and lows for Truex, who has taken home the checkered flag on three occasions over his past 10 race appearances, while also finishing 19th or worse on four occasions during that stretch. Things got no better for Truex last time out in Austin, where he was involved in a scary crash with Cole Custer, on his way to a 35th-place finish. However, he is still the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Series odds.

Coca-Cola 600 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Kurt Busch – Chip Ganassi Racing Alex Bowman – Hendrick Motorsports
2019 Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing William Byron – Hendricks Motorsports Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing
2017 Austin Dillon – Richard Childress Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing
2016 Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing

Can Busch Rekindle Charlotte Magic

Kyle Busch has also struggled to maintain a consistent pace this season despite enjoying strong starting positions. The 36-year-old was forced to settle for 10th place last weekend in Austin after starting at No. 4 and has finished better than his starting position just once in his past five outings.

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However, it is tough to overstate Busch’s credentials at Charlotte. The Las Vegas native has finished among the top four in each of his past four rides in the Coca-Cola 600, including his wire-to-wire victory at this event back in 2018.

Elliott Plagued by Off-Track Distractions

Chase Elliott sits just shy of the favorites in the Coca-Cola 600 odds as a +750 bet, and with good reason. The 25-year-old picked up his first win of the season in Austin after finishing third at Dover and has taken home the checkered flag in three of his past four races in Charlotte including last year’s edition of the Coca-Cola 600.

However, turmoil has struck the Elliott camp, with the recent arrest of his spotter Eddie D’Hondt stemming from accusations that he physically assaulted his pregnant girlfriend. After being permitted to work the last two races, D’Hondt is suspended this time around, which represents a blow for Elliott, whose association with D’Hondt dates back to early in his career.

The Pick: Martin Truex Jr. (+550)


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