NASCAR Federated Auto Parts 400 Race Odds & Picks

• The Federated Auto Parts 400 is set for Sunday, September 21th at 7:30 pm EST
• The race will take place at Richmond Raceway in Richmond, Virginia
• Kyle Busch is the defending champ at this race as Joe Gibbs Racing cars have won three of the last four races at Richmond

The Federated Auto Parts 400 will take place at Richmond Raceway on Sunday, September 21st at 7:30 pm EST. It’s the second playoff race, so the urgency is amped up drivers look to survive the cut.

Kyle Busch won the last race at Richmond but is coming off a disappointing 19th-place finish. Can he rebound on Sunday?

Odds to Win 2019 Federated Auto Parts 400

*Odds taken 09/18/19

Harvick Running Hot Right Now

Kevin Harvick didn’t win last week’s race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but he impressed in a runner up effort, carrying over the regular season trend of being one of the fastest cars in the series entering the postseason.

He started third on the grid and ended up leading for a total of 47 laps. Taking a look at this week’s track, Harvick has the second-best driver average finish at Richmond since the start of 2017, with nine top five finishes in that span.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m48-eR1Gj-g

Harvick has the potential to add to that and secure his spot in the second round of the playoffs with a win this weekend.

Kyle Busch Should Rebound

It wasn’t that long ago that Busch was considered among the best bets to win every single race that he started. Fast-forward to the second race of the playoffs and the pressure is on Busch to step up following a rough performance in Las Vegas in which he fell behind early and finished 19th.

As disappointing as that run was, it sets up Busch to chase redemption this weekend in Richmond, a place where he’s led 15.39% of the laps since 2017.  He finished eighth at Richmond in April but won the two previous races. He has seven Top 10’s in his last eight starts there.

Past 5 Winners at Brickyard 400

Logano Looking Good

Logano had been struggling of late with five straight finishes of 13th or worse, but he looks like he’s turned it around over the last couple of races. He placed second at The Brickyard and the finished ninth in Las Vegas last week, leading for 105 laps.

Now he comes to a track where he has the best average finish since 2017. Over his last four starts at Richmond, he’s placed second, 14th, fourth, second and first. Looking even further back, he has placed in the Top 6 in eight of his last 11 starts at Richmond, placing no worse than 14th.

Logano has a good chance to win this race but also a safe choice for a Top 10 finish bet.

Avoid Kurt Busch

I’m not expecting much from Kurt Bush in this race. He was the only driver that didn’t finish last week in Las Vegas and that was merely a continuation as he hasn’t performed all that well recently. He’s finished 18th or worse in five of his last eight starts.

The driver of the No. 1 Chevrolet actually won this race all the way back in 2005 but more recently, he’s placed 11th, 18th and 11th in his last three starts here. I’d pass on him this week.