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Updated 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Odds – Truex Jr’s Odds Shorten, Elliott Slides

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Updated Apr 29, 2021 · 7:18 AM PDT

Updated NASCAR Cup Series odds - Martin Truex Jr and Chase Elliott
Denny Hamlin, left, Martin Truex, Jr., center, and Chase Elliott, right, put their hands to their heart during the national anthem prior to the NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Richmond International Raceway in Richmond, Va., Sunday, April 18, 2021. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)
  • Martin Truex Jr. is one of three co-favorites to win the NASCAR Cup Series
  • What to make of Chase Elliott and his chances rest of the season?
  • Read below for updated NASCAR Cup Series odds, along with our analysis

NASCAR rides again with the Buschy McBusch 400 on Sunday afternoon from Kansas Superspeedway at 3:00 PM EST. This expects to be an intriguing race albeit with a little less chaos than last week’s Geico 500. The real question is this. What about the rest of the season?

The updated NASCAR Cup Series odds now feature three co-favorites. Denny Hamlin and yes, Chase Elliott, both have +600 odds. Finally, Martin Truex Jr. also comes in at +600. Is he in the best spot of the three racers? Could there be value elsewhere? Let’s take a look.

NASCAR Cup Series Odds

Driver Odds to Win at FOX Bet
Denny Hamlin +600
Martin Truex Jr. +600
Chase Elliott +600
Joey Logano +700
Kyle Larson +750
Brad Keselowski +850
Kyle Busch +900
Kevin Harvick +900
Ryan Blaney +1100
Alex Bowman +1800
William Byron +1800
Christopher Bell +2000
Kurt Busch +6000
Aric Almirola +6000
Austin Dillon +7500
Matt DiBenedetto +10000
Bubba Wallace +12500
Tyler Reddick +20000

Odds as of April 28th

Martin Truex Jr. Co-Favored to Win NASCAR Cup

NASCAR drivers are a different breed. First, one has to get to the 16 driver playoff, which starts in September. Then, there are nine grueling playoff races to determine a winner. Currently, Truex Jr. is second at 87 points behind Denny Hamlin. Truex has two more wins on the season, but the question will be can he string together more consistent results going forward.

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That one crash a lap before Stage 2 ended up changing the entire race. Fortunately, it did not change the Cup Series standings very much at all.

Also, May features five races, and June has the “Pocono Double”. A more consistent car similar to Hamlin’s may be more suited as the season winds into the playoffs.

Denny Hamlin drove too aggressively last week, and it was a lesson learned. With all of Hamlin’s top five and top-three finishes, he is more of a threat going forward. That is especially if he breaks into the win column soon enough. Truex figures to be a more risky pick, with Hamlin being the safer one.

Chase Elliott and the Nightmare 2021 Season

Sports bettors should start to get a bit worried about Chase Elliott this season. The Hendrick Motorsports driver won this Kansas race two and a half years ago. Elliott is once more among the top-five in the updated NASCAR Cup Series odds. He finished outside the top-ten for a second week in a row after a 24th place result at Talladega.

Have other teams figured out Chase Elliott? It’s a great question. Elliott excels when he is in the pocket. He wins races when he can stay close late in races. However, this season he just cannot get there often enough.  The good news is he is eighth in the Cup Standings and has four months before the playoffs start. However, the No. 9 is not sneaking up on anyone anymore.

Last year’s champion and this year’s co-favorite has considerable work to do on what will be a much more difficult road. Those odds could continue to lengthen.

Kyle Larson Has Value Moving Forward

The fellow Hendrick Motorsports driver never really got started on Sunday at Talladega. His car bowed out after three laps due to an engine failure. The lack of practice and qualifying arguably cost Larson a good result. This is because a piece of metal (a shield) was left in the car. This caused the engine to blow up, which wrecked his race and cost him a few spots in the standings.

Do not expect that lapse in judgment to happen again the rest of the season. With +750 odds in updated NASCAR Cup Series odds, Larson carries value. He is currently ninth in points and has shown a fast race car all year. Can he put it all together in the playoffs?

Larson has one win in 24 playoff races but seven top-five, and 13 top-ten finishes. He has been close and the feeling is that this may be Hendrick Motorsports’ best chance at the Cup Series title this year.

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