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Gloucester Rugby vs Newcastle Falcons Odds and Picks

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Rugby

Jan 8, 2021 · 2:47 PM PST

Kingston Park, Newcastle
The 3-1 Newcastle Falcons are 1.5-point home favorites over Gloucester in Gallagher Premiership Rugby action on Saturday. Photo by: David Clark (Wikimedia Commons).
  • Newcastle Falcons are 1.5-point home favorites over Gloucester in Saturday’s Gallagher Premiership Rugby match
  • The Falcons (3-1-0) sit fifth overall in the table
  • Gloucester (1-4-0) is at the bottom of the table, but has won two straight matches from Newcastle

Newly-promoted Newcastle Falcons will look to continue their run of good form to start the England Premiership Rugby season when they play host to out-of-sorts Gloucester on Saturday.

Up from the Championship, the Falcons are off to a 3-1-0 start to the campaign. They come into this match off their first defeat of the season, a 29-17 setback to the Bristol Bears on New Year’s Day.

Gloucester (1-4-0) may be at the bottom of the table, but they haven’t been performing like bottom feeders. The Cherry and Whites have lost two in a row. However, the average margin of defeat was only 5.5 points.

Surprisingly, Newcastle is just a 1.5-point favorite at home over visiting Gloucester.

Gloucester vs Newcastle Falcons Rugby Premiership Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Gloucester +118 +1.5 (-106) OFF
Newcastle Falcons -150 -1.5 (-121) OFF

Odds taken Jan. 8th at DraftKings.

Kickoff for Saturday’s match at Kingston Park is 9am EST. Weather could prove a factor in the outcome. Snow and ice and below-zero temperatures are in the forecast.

Slater Suspended For Gloucester

Gloucester will take the pitch minus veteran lock Ed Slater. Slater was suspended for four matches after being charged with dangerous play at a ruck or maul in Gloucester’s last match, a 22-19 loss to the Sale Sharks.

In an incident that took place early in the second half of Gloucester’s home defeat, Slater, 32, was cited for making contact with the head of Sale hooker Akker van der Merwe with a trailing right arm.

Along with Saturday’s match, he will also be out of action for a Premiership meeting with Northampton, as well as Champions Cup matches at Ulster and against Lyon.

Gloucester Making Changes

Gloucester is shuffing the deck with its side for the Newcastle match. Joe Simpson, Matias Alemanno and Matt Garvey will all come into the starting 15.

Meanwhile, Argentine international wing/full-back Santiago Carreras is poised to make his Cherry and White debut off the bench. He signed a contract with Gloucester for the remainder of the season in December.

Garvey and Alemanno will give Gloucester an entirely new look in the second row, with Alex Craig sliding over to flanker. Scrum half Simpson is making his first start in four matches.

Three Newcomers For Newcastle

The Falcons are also making three changes to the side that lost to Bristol. Scottish international back row forward Gary Graham is drawing back into the starting 15.

Tom Penny is moving to to full-back, while Brett Connon is named at fly-half and Toby Flood is the choice at inside centre.

Expect A Close Encounter

Gloucester led Sale right up until the final two minutes of their match last week. Previously, Gloucester fell 28-20 to the top of the table Exeter Chiefs.

It’s likely that Gloucester aren’t as bad a side as their record would indicate. The question to be answered is whether the Falcons are as strong as their slate would seem to show.

Victories over Sale, Wasps and Bath, three of the top five sides in last season’s standings, would appear to indicate that Newcastle is indeed the real deal.

Anticipate a close match, with the Falcons finding a way to push across enough points to earn another victory and provide more heartbreak for Gloucester.

Pick: Newcastle Falcons -1.5 (-121).

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