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Atalanta vs Man City UCL Matchday 4 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview

Raheem Sterling
After scoring three times in Manchester City's 5-1 rout of Atalanta earlier this week, Raheem Sterling has vaulted to a +600 second favorite to lead the UEFA Champions League in goalscoring this season. Photo by [joshjdss] ([flickr]) [CC License].
  • Manchester City can qualify for the round of 16 with a win next Wednesday
  • City’s Raheem Sterling scored an 11-minute hat trick – the third-fastest in Champions League history – in a 5-1 home win over Atalanta in Matchday 3
  • See the odds for Atlanta vs Man City in UCL Group Stage play next week below

Two-time defending English champions Manchester City can punch their ticket to the knockout stages with a win on Matchday 4 away at Atalanta.

City will be full of confidence of doing just that, having beaten the Italian side 5-1 at the Etihad on Matchday 3, leaving Atalanta bottom of Group C with three losses from three games.

Atalanta vs Manchester City UCL Matchday 4 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total at Bovada
Atalanta +1.0 (+110) +450 O 4.0 (+110)
Manchester City -1.0 (-130) -205 U 4.0 (-140)
Draw N/A +400 N/A

Odds taken Nov. 1

Scoring for Fun

Manchester City have had few problems finding the back of the opposition net so far in the Champions League. Their 10 goals through three games trails only Bayern Munich and Salzburg amongst Champions League clubs, and they have scored 24 goals in their last seven games in the competition.

In fact, since being upset at home by Lyon in their first group game of the 2018-19 tournament, City have scored 39 goals and conceded just 11, winning 10 of their games since, with just one draw and one defeat.

Continental Kings

While Manchester City have won 11 of their last 18 European games, six of those games have ended in defeat. However, of the eight UCL games they’ve played away from home over that time, they’ve won five, lost two and drawn one, with the defeats both coming in England in losses to Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Against Italian clubs, City have won four, drawn four and lost three of their last 11 meetings.

City also come into the game on a good run of form, having won nine of their last 10 games in all competitions, with the lone exception being a 2-0 loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers on October 6.

Atalanta vs Manchester City UCL Statistics

Atalanta
VS
Man City

0 Wins 3
3 Losses 0
0 Draws 0
2 Goals For 10
11 Goals Against 1
38 Goal Attempts 52
86% Passing Accuracy 88%
50% Possession 60%

Rude Awakening

Competing in the Champions League for the first time, Atalanta have not had much fun so far, losing all three games and losing two by record margins. Both the 5-1 defeat at City last time out and the 4-0 loss to Dinamo Zagreb on Matchday 1 were the heaviest margins of defeat ever suffered by the Italian team in UEFA competitions.

Before that loss to Dinamo, Atalanta had been unbeaten in seven matches in European competition and as of now have still only lost four of their last 17 games against continental opposition.

Right at Home

Though Atalanta has to play its home games at Milan’s San Siro stadium due to Champions League regulations, its record of hosting matches in European competition has been good.

Though not regular combatants on the European stage – this season represents just their seventh continental campaign – prior to losing to Shakhtar Donetsk on Matchday 2, Atalanta were unbeaten in 12 European home matches, stretching all the way back to the semifinal of the 1987-88 Cup Winners’ Cup, where they lost to Mechelen. Those are the only two home defeats that Atalanta have ever suffered.

And domestically, Atalanta have made a good start to their Serie A campaign, currently sitting in third having only lost one game. And like City, they are also in good form in front of the net, with last Sunday’s 7-1 win over Udinese equalling their biggest-ever Serie A victory.

In addition, with 30 goals through 10 games thus far, Atalanta also boast the most potent offense in Serie A.

Pick: Manchester City -205

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