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Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Odds & Prediction – Bundesliga Round 30

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer

Apr 16, 2022 · 2:00 PM PDT

Edmond Tapsoba plays ball, Leverkusen
Leverkusen's Edmond Tapsoba, left, plays the ball during the German Bundesliga soccer match between RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen in Leipzig, Germany, Saturday, Jan. 30, 2021. At right is Leipzig's Christopher Nkunku. (AP Photo/Michael Sohn)
  • Bayer Leverkusen hosts RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga’s 30th matchday on Sunday, April 17th at 1:30 pm ET. RB Leipzig are +130 moneyline favorites
  • Currently, Bayer Leverkusen sit in third place on 52 points while the visitors lurk just a point behind in fourth
  • Get the Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

The Bundesliga is down to its final five matches in the 2021/22 campaign, ahead of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig on Sunday.

While the top two spots are held firmly by Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, the two remaining spots in the top four are undecided. Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig are only separated by a single point, while Freiburg currently peer over their shoulders on 48 points. In turn, their match this weekend at the BayArena has massive Champions League implications for next season.

After a four game winless run in March, Bayer Leverkusen finally have their feet back under them. Gerardo Seoane’s side is unbeaten in three matches, with two victories. Conversely, RB Leipzig are finally within striking distance of third place. Domenico Tedesco has led this club to an amazing run of 13 games unbeaten in all competitions, a simply remarkable feat given their form earlier in the year.

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Odds

Matchup Moneyline Odds
Bayer Leverkusen +195
RB Leipzig +130
Draw +260

Odds as of Apr 16th at Barstool Sportsbook

If you’re new to betting on this sport, then take a look at our How to Bet on Soccer page.

For this match, the moneyline favors RB Leipzig with Bundesliga odds of +130.

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Over/Under and Spread

Furthermore, a lot of goals are expected in this contest as the over on 2.5 total goals sits at -162. However, in their last ten combined matches across all competitions, this bet has only hit 30% of the time. On a head-to-head basis, this has only hit once in their last five meetings, showing value in the under on 2.5 goals with odds of +130.

Also, there is value in getting RB Leipzig to cover the +0.5 spread with odds of +130.

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Now, it is important to note that there will be a difference in fatigue on Sunday. In fact, RB Leipzig had an away day against Atalanta in the Europa League just this Thursday. This was a second leg tie that really did not get put to bed until the 87th minute.

As a result, RB Leipzig might not quite be at the races for Sunday. Instead, it is also fair to expect Tedesco to rotate his squad, given their clean bill of health.

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Bundesliga Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen
VS
RB Leipzig
2.34 Goals per game 2.29
1.84 Expected goals per game 1.89
1.45 Goals allowed per game 1.07
1.33 Expected goals allowed per game 1.25
54.2% Possession % 56.6%
81.7% Passing Accuracy % 82.5%
13.8 Shots per game 13.2

For Bayer Leverkusen, their absentee list is glaring. Despite not having a midweek game, this could still set them back. Obviously, the loss of Florian Wirtz is still massive, but new injuries to Jonathan Tah and Karim Bellarabi will be impactful as well. This puts even more pressure on front-man Patrick Schick, who has not bagged a goal in his last two outings.

 

The Importance of Christopher Nkunku

Regardless, no matter what the teams sheets look like, we can essentially guarantee one thing; Christopher Nkunku playing a part.

The 24 year-old is RB Leipzig’s creative spark and was even involved in their lone goal in the reverse fixture of this match. He floated in a beautiful cross that was eventually headed in by running-mate, Andre Silva.

Nonetheless, Nkunku has been a display of brilliance all season long, compiling 45 overall goal contributions. Obviously, numbers like these have caught the eyes of Europe’s most elite clubs who are now in pursuit of his services.

Without Tah in the center of defense, Edmond Tapsoba is left alone to deal with Nkunku’s omnipresent threat.

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Projected Lineups and Injuries

Bayer Leverkusen Projected Lineup: Hradecky, Hincapie, Bakker, Tapsoba, Kossounou, Aranguiz, Andrich, Paulinho, Demiraby, Diaby, Schick

Bayer Leverkusen Injuries & Suspensions: Lunev, Frimpong, Wirtz, Fosu-Mensah, Aldi, Tah, Bellarabi

RB Leipzig Projected Lineup: Gulacsi, Angelino, Gvardiol, Orban, Klostermann, Mukiele, Kampl, Laimer, Nkunku, Olmo, Silva

RB Leipzig Injuries & Suspensions: Haidara

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Best Bet

Overall, the best bet in this match is for RB Leipzig to cover the +0.5 spread with odds of +130. This value on this bet is great considering RB Leipzig are in much better form and are fully fit.

Pick: RB Leipzig +0.5 (+130)

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