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Champions League Top Scorer Odds Favor Erling Haaland at -400 Ahead of Quarterfinals

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer

Apr 4, 2021 · 2:38 PM PDT

Dortmund's Erling Haaland looking disappointed with his hands on his knees during a soccer match.
Dortmund's Erling Haaland reacts disappointed during the German Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt in Dortmund, Germany, Saturday, April 3, 2021. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner, Pool)
  • The Champions League quarterfinals start on Tuesday afternoon and Erling Haaland has a commanding lead to become the top scorer in the competition with ten goals
  • Kylian Mbappe and Neymar are the closest behind the Norwegian with six goals a piece, but face Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals, threatening their advancement in the competition
  • Read below for updated odds and our best bet analysis

The Champions League is down to eight teams, and with five games remaining for the two finalists, there’s a lot of speculation for who could finish as top scorer. Erling Haaland dominated the group stages and Round of 16, already bagging ten goals in Europe’s top competition, as a 20 year-old nonetheless. However, Dortmund have a tough draw coming against Manchester City, which could knock them out of the Champions League.

Elsewhere, Robert Lewandowski is the second favorite to finish the Champions League as top scorer. Bayern Munich clearly have some of the best odds to win the competition, but as Lewandowski sits out for four weeks with a knee injury, their work is cut out for them against PSG. Speaking of the Parisians, Kylian Mbappe and Neymar both have six goals and could be valuable picks if they move on in the competition.

Furthermore, there are a few dark horses to finish the Champions League as top scorer. Liverpool are facing a weakened Real Madrid side without captain Sergio Ramos, which Mo Salah and Diogo Jota will look to exploit. Finally, Olivier Giroud also could sneak in the conversion as he sits on six goals ahead of Chelsea’s tie with Porto, the weakest team left in the Champions League.

Champions League Top Scorer Odds

Player Goals Odds at DraftKings
Erling Haaland 10 -400
Robert Lewandowski 5 +900
Kylian Mbappe 6 +900
Neymar Jr. 6 +1100
Mo Salah 5 +1300
Karim Benzema 5 +2000
Olivier Giroud 6 +2500
Diogo Jota 4 +6000
Timo Werner 3 +12500
Gabriel Jesus 2 +30000
Sadio Mane 3 +30000
Sergio Aguero 2 +30000
Moise Kean 3 +30000
Ferran Torres 4 +30000
Kingsley Coman 3 +35000
Raheem Sterling 1 +40000

Odds as of April 4th.

The Case for Erling Haaland to be Top Scorer

Erling Haaland has four more goals than any other player left in the Champions League right now. He’s literally a goal machine, which is why he’s being courted by essentially every big club in Europe at the moment. However, Dortmund are faced with an extremely tough challenge in Manchester City. The Citizens have lost one game in all competitions since November 21st, and have one of the best defenses in the world thanks to newcomer Ruben Dias.

Haaland could easily add to his goal tally in this two-legged fixture. But, this conversation is more about if Dortmund have a chance to advance in the Champions League. Manchester City are playing so well at the moment, and Dortmund are the definition of inconsistency. If they do not advance, it provides a huge advantage for another player further down the table to overcome Haaland’s ten goals and become top scorer.

Is Mo Salah the Best Value Pick?

There are definitely some attractive names aside from Erling Haaland to become the Champions League top scorer. Bayern Munich versus PSG is a very significant match for this race, because it will automatically knock one or two of the top five picks in the table out of the competition. The last player in the top five is of course, the Egyptian King, Mo Salah. Liverpool and Salah ultimately have one of the easier matchups, going against Real Madrid.

Liverpool have relied heavily on the right-winger both in Europe and domestically. While Liverpool’s scoring is quite evenly distributed, Mo Salah loves a goal in the Champions League, and despite Liverpool’s domestic struggles, they could sneak in a fabulous Champions League run. As the Reds seek revenge for the Champions League Final in Kiev, Mo Salah will have an even larger chip on his shoulder as he was removed in the first half due to injury.

Best Bet

Overall, the best pick for this Champions League bet is Mo Salah with odds of +1300. The bet has ridiculous value, and while Salah sits five goals back from Erling Haaland, he could easily see himself in the competition until the final. Football is a crazy sport, and a hat-trick could turn this table upside down. Against Real Madrid, Salah has something to prove, which leads me to believe he will see himself quickly up the goal tally table.

Pick: Mo Salah (+1300)

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