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Chelsea vs Leicester City Odds & Prediction – FA Cup Final

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated May 16, 2021 · 8:45 PM PDT

Chelsea vs Leicester City
Chelsea's head coach Thomas Tuchel gives instructions during the English Premier League soccer match between Chelsea and Arsenal at Stamford Bridge stadium in London, England, Wednesday, May 12, 2021. (Catherine Ivil, Pool via AP)
  • It is Chelsea vs Leicester City in the 2021 English FA Cup Final on Saturday, May 15, kick-off at 12:15 pm EST
  • 20,000 fans will be inside Wembley for English soccer’s 2020-21 showpiece
  • We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer a best bet below

Chelsea vs Leicester City meet at Wembley in the FA Cup Final – the showpiece of English soccer – on Saturday, May 15, kick-off at 12:15 pm EST.

For Leicester, this is their first chance of winning a trophy since their EPL triumph of 2015-16 but for Chelsea this could be part of an amazing cup double this season. The Blues also have the small matter of a Champions League Final against Manchester City in Porto on May 29.

We list the odds, preview Chelsea vs Leicester City, and offer below the best bet for this FA Cup Final.

Chelsea vs Leicester City Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total at DraftKings
Chelsea vs Leicester City CHE -1 (+188) | LEI +1 (-230) CHE -109| DRAW +255 | LEI +300 Ov 2.5 (+123) | Un 2.5 (-150)

Odds as of May 14

The Tuchel Effect

Chelsea’s midweek defeat at Stamford Bridge by Arsenal was not the ideal preparation for this final but, since his arrival in west London, Thomas Tuchel has demonstrated a healthy knack for getting his team ready for the really big games. Anyone who can oversee a two-legged Champions League semifinal success over Real Madrid and an FA Cup semifinal win over Manchester City has to be respected, and Leicester starts as underdogs for a reason.

But the Foxes will see this as a massive opportunity and will be unperturbed by their underdog status – they were after all 5000/1 to win the Premier League before the 2015-16 season kicked off – and will draw on their most recent Wembley triumph over Southampton in the semifinal as a classic example of how to handle the big occasion. They also have a Tuesday night’s victory to draw inspiration from, even if it was achieved against a weakened United team.

Two Up Top for Leicester

Tuchel took some flak in the English media after the surprise defeat by Arsenal after making no less than seven changes to the team that beat Manchester City away in the EPL last Saturday, but against Leicester will definitely go with what he considers his strongest XI. That means the Édouard Mendy replacing Kepa Arrizabalaga in goal, and the return of, among others, Timo Werner, Ngolo Kante, and Antonio Rüdiger.

For Leicester, Rodgers is expected to stick with the old-school 4-4-2 formation that has stood him in good stead for most of the season. This means a two-pronged attack of Jamie Vardy and Kelechi Iheanacho, with a central midfield of Wilfred Ndidi and Youri Tielemans, but there is a question mark over the inclusion of attacking midfielder James Maddison in the starting XI, who was reported to have fallen out with Rodgers after last weekend’s home defeat by Newcastle.

Chelsea vs Leicester City Head-to-Head Stats

Chelsea
VS
Leicester City
5 FA Cup 2020-21 games played 5
11 Goals scored 12
1 Goals conceded 2
4-0 (vs Morecambe) Biggest FA Cup win 4-0 (vs Stoke City)
Tammy Abraham (4) Leading FA Cup scorer Iheanacho (4)
3 FA Cup finals 14
0 FA Cup wins 8

Rodgers Goes for Two Up Top

The Blues of the West End do have history in their favor, however, with eight FA Cup wins to date, and with a regular succession of major trophies since Roman Abramovich took ownership of the club in 2003. No less than 18 have been lifted since the Russian took the reins – at an average of more than one per season – and so they definitely hold the upper hand in terms of experiencing the big occasions.

Leicester, meanwhile, has a very modest history in this competition, with no wins from three finals, and is far removed from the kings of the King’s Road in terms of glamor, wealth, and reputation, but, they come into this final with belief and hunger, and in Rodgers, have a manager known for his eye for detail and his ability to set up his team to compete with more illustrious opponents.

Chelsea vs Leicester City Best Bets

Tuchel’s men unsurprisingly start as favorites but will be a little deflated after their underwhelming performance against Arsenal, especially given how toothless they looked up front. Leicester, by contrast, will be buoyed by their fine win at Old Trafford and, as a result, I’m going big here and predicting a Leicester win. If they can get a decent supply to Vardy and Iheanacho, then this could just be a record-breaking afternoon for the Foxes.

Pick: Leicester City to win (+300) / Vardy to score first goal (+700)

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