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Copa Libertadores Semifinals Leg 2 Odds & Picks: Boca Juniors vs River Plate & Flamengo vs Gremio

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Soccer News

Updated Apr 9, 2020 · 1:46 PM PDT

Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estadio Alberto José Armando in Buenos Aires will be the scene on Tuesday night, when River Plate look to clinch a berth in the Copa Libertadores final in their second-leg clash with Boca Juniors as +215 underdogs. Photo by [Oscar] ([Wikipedia]) [CC License].
  • The Copa Libertadores Semifinals Leg 2 wrap up this week
  • Club Atlético River Plate meets the Boca Juniors October 22, while Gremio visit Flamengo October 23
  • Which teams will secure their place in the finals?

Club Atlético River Plate will be aiming to clinch a berth in the Copa Libertadores final for the third time in five years when they visit the Boca Juniors on Tuesday as +215 underdogs, as listed in the odds at sportsbooks.

Odds to Win 2019 Copa Libertadores

Team Odds to Win Copa Libertadores
River Plate +140
Flamengo +175
Gremio +400
Boca Juniors +700

*All odds taken 10/20/19

River Plate in Driver’s Seat

Los Millonarios enter Tuesday night’s Boca Juniors vs River Plate matchup at Estadio Alberto José Armando in Buenos Aires in command of this semifinal clash after posting a decisive 2-0 win in first leg action, back on October 1. River Plate’s victory as +110 home chalk maintained an undefeated streak that now sits at five matches, across all competition, and which has featured four clean sheet wins.

Boca Juniors vs River Plate Semifinal Second Leg Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
0.0 (-155) +130 OV 2.0 (-120)
River Plate 0.0 (+130) +215 UN 2.0 (+100)
Draw N/A +210 N/A

The club struggled to defend in their last outing and needed a pair of late goals to take home a 3-3 draw with Arsenal de Sarandi in Superliga action. That marks the most goals the club has surrendered in a match since dropping a 3-0 decision to Atlético Tucumán in a Dopa de la Superliga clash back in May, and just the third time they have surrendered more than two goals in 48 matches across all competitions in 2019.

Steady Success Vaults River Plate to Tournament Favorites

But despite their struggles in last Friday’s contest, River Plate have been steady producers on the road, compiling an 8-3-0 win-draw-loss record over their past 11 matches away from their home turf at River Plate Stadium, while outscoring opponents by a wide 26-8 margin.

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River Plate have also dominated in recent meeting s with Boca Juniors, with their victory in the first leg of this semifinal marking their sixth win in seven meetings, and the fifth time they have kept a clean sheet during that stretch. That steady stretch of success has helped fuel their rise to the top of the Copa Libertadores championship odds, where River Plate now sit perched as +140 chalk.

Boca Juniors in Freefall

Pegged as +130 favorites in Tuesday’s second leg, Boca Juniors will need to reverse a shaky 1-2-1 run over their past four matches if they are to make a second straight appearance in the Copa Libertadores final. The Blue and Gold are coming off a stunning 1-0 loss to Racing Club on home turf in Superliga action, and have now potted just five total goals over their past eight matches across all competitions.

That defeat extends a dismal run for the club in recent home contests that has seen the Juniors record just three victories in their past eight outings, while scoring more than one goal just twice during that stretch. In addition to facing a 2-0 deficit entering Tuesday’s match, the club’s recent woes have contributed to a freefall on the Copa Libertadores futures, where they now sit as +700 longshots after entering the semifinals perched as +200 favorites.

Picks: River Plate to win (+215), Over 2.0 (-120)

Flamengo vs Gremio Semifinal Second Leg Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Flamengo -1.0 (+110) -165 OV 3.0 (+255)
Gremio +1.0 (-130) +500 UN 3.0 (-345)
Draw N/A +270 N/A

Gremio Massive Underdogs in Second Leg

This season’s other Copa Libertadores semifinal matchup wraps up on Wednesday as Gremio visit Flamengo as massive +500 road underdogs. The 2017 Copa Libertadores champions have struggled over the past month, earning just two wins in their past seven matches. The club needed a goal in the 88th minute to eke out a 1-1 draw in the first leg of their semifinal matchup, and have now recorded just one win in three Copa Libertadores outings, ending a dominating five-match win streak in tournament play.

Gremio have also struggled to produce steady results on the road, dropping two of their past three, all in Serie A play, while racking up a middling 8-7-7 record in 22 dates since late March. Those woes extend to recent road dates with Flamengo, with Gremio posting just one win in seven visits while getting outscored by a wide 11-2 margin entering Wednesday night’s matchup at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Rio de Janeiro.

Flamengo Enjoying Lengthy Unbeaten Streak

While Gremio struggles, Flamengo has enjoyed a dominant run that has seen them avoid defeat in 16 straight contests going into Sunday evening’s Serie A clash with Fluminense, which they again won 2-0. The Scarlet-Black are now 14-0-3 over that stretch, and have also recorded outright wins in 12/13 home dates.

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Flamengo have also enjoyed success in past meetings with both River Plate and Boca Juniors, posting just one loss in four combined all-time meetings with their Argentine rivals, and lag just behind Los Millonarios as +170 second favorites to claim their first Copa Libertadores title since 1981.

Picks: Flamengo -1.5 alternate spread (+195), Over 3.0 (+255)

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