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Coventry vs Luton Odds & Prediction – Championship Playoff Final

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated May 26, 2023 · 7:25 AM PDT

Coventry's Ricoh Stadium.
Coventry's home stadium. By Julieanne Savage (Julieanne Savage) [CC License]
  • A  lucrative place in England’s Premier League is at stake at Wembley Stadium at 11:45 am ET on Saturday
  • Luton Town finished third in the EFL Championship regular season while Coventry City placed fifth
  • See our Coventry City vs Luton Town prediction, odds and best bets for EFL Championship Playoff Final

A precious place in England’s Premier League is at stake in Coventry City vs Luton Town at Wembley Stadium on Saturday. The teams meet in the final of the EFL Championship end-of-season promotion playoffs. Both teams are in plus-money, but it’s Luton who are favored in the Coventry vs Luton odds.

Each of them has mounted remarkable recoveries in form to reach this stage.

Last September, Luton Town was in 18th place in the 24-team Championship. Meanwhile, Coventry City was rock bottom.

As recently as 2013-14, Luton Town had suffered a traumatic drop in status and was competing in the non-league Conference Premier division (now the National League).

Back in 2016-17, Coventry had fallen into EFL League Two.

Coventry City vs Luton Town Odds

Result Moneyline
Coventry City +220
Luton Town +145
Draw +210

At DraftKings, Luton Town is the +145 favorite for a win at Wembley. This reflects the fact that it finished third in the regular season table – one place below the first two automatic promotion slots. Meanwhile, Coventry finished fifth and is priced at +220 for the win.

The draw after 90 minutes is rated at +210. The game kicks off at 11:45 am ET.

Odds at Draftkings Sportsbook as of May 26. Be sure to check out the top sports betting promo codes this week to get the best bonus for your Coventry vs Luton Town picks.


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Coventry City vs Luton Town Over/Under & Spread

Both teams were among the lower-scoring sides in the regular season’s top six – with third to sixth place qualifying for the playoffs.

Coventry City scored 58 goals with 46 conceded. 

By comparison, fourth-placed Middlesbrough scored 84 times and sixth-placed Sunderland hit 68 goals.

Meanwhile, Luton Town scored 59 goals while conceding 37 times.

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Furthermore, Championship Playoff finals are often tight and highly intense affairs with such a huge prize at stake.

Nine of the last 16 finals have produced fewer than two goals.

However, there are decent odds for a low-scoring game with +155 available for fewer than two goals in regular time. (Under 1.5).

For there to be three goals or more, the price is +145 (Over 2.5).

Among the spread offers, Coventry City is priced at a generous +650 to win by two goals or more (Spread -1.5).

More conservatively – and it could be a tense, close game – Luton Town is offered at +130 to win by one goal or more (Spread -0.5).

Coventry City vs Luton Town Preview

Luton Town lost 2-1 in the first leg of the Playoff semi-final at Sunderland.

However, it recovered to stage a 2-0 win in the return leg and progressed 3-2 on aggregate.

Meanwhile, Coventry City drew 0-0 at home against Middlesbrough in its first-leg tie.

It then advanced to Wembley thanks to a narrow 1-0 win in the second leg.

Luton Town’s recovery this season came following the appointment of the highly-rated Rob Edwards as coach last November.

His team subsequently won 16 times and lost just five times under his command.

It also staged a 14-game unbeaten streak before its loss in the Playoff semifinal first leg.

Coventry City was the underdog in its semifinal against Middlesbrough but admirably prevented the division’s second-highest scorers from finding the net across 190 minutes.

It heads to Wembley under coach Mark Robins enjoying a nine-game unbeaten run, thanks to its defensive solidity.

This is Luton Town’s first appearance in a Playoff final.

However, Coventry City was a 3-1 winner against Exeter City in the 2-17-18 League Two final.

Coventry City vs Luton Town Statistics

Coventry City
Luton Town
19 Wins 22
17 Draws 17
12 Losses 9
60 Goals 61
46 Goals Against 39
109 Yellow Cards 96
3 Red Cards 4
22 Clean Sheets 21

*Statistics from EFL Championship Regular Season and Playoffs 2022-23.

Carlton Morris to Score Odds

In 44 Championship regular season appearances, Carlton Morris hit 20 goals for Luton Town.

However, he has yet to score in the Playoffs.

But he is rated as the favorite to be on target at Wembley on Saturday at +180 – or +400 to score first or last.

Meanwhile, Coventry City’s Swedish international Victor Gyokeres is priced at +220 to be on target. Furthermore, he is rated at +500 to score first or last.

He scored the winner in the 1-0 playoff semifinal first-leg defeat of Middlesbrough.

That was following his 21 goals in the regular season Championship campaign.

Coventry City vs Luton Town History

There was a 2-2 draw between these teams in the regular season at Luton Town last September.

Following that, there was a 1-1 draw at Coventry City in February.

Historically, these sides first met 115 years ago.

Coventry City vs Luton Town Line-Ups & Injuries

Here are the projected lineups and injuries for each team ahead of Saturday’s Championship Playoff Final.

Coventry City projected line-up: Wilson; McNally, McFadzean, Doyle; Norton-Cuffy, Hamer, Kelly, Sheaf, Bidwell; Godden, Gyokeres

Coventry City Injuries: O’Hare, Palmer, Tavares

Luton Town projected line-up: Horvath; Osho, Lockyer, Bell; Drameh, Clark, Nakamba, Mpanzu, Doughty; Adebayo, Morris

Luton Town Injuries: Woodrow

Coventry City vs Luton Town Prediction

These are not prolific goalscoring teams. And playoff finals are notoriously nervous affairs. A narrow win for Luton Town is highly likely for our Coventry vs Luton prediction.

Coventry City vs Luton Town Picks: Luton Town +155   (Under -1.5).

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