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FIFA Club World Cup Semifinals – Flamengo vs Al-Hilal & Al Ahly vs Real Madrid

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Feb 7, 2023 · 6:08 AM PST

Real Madrid forward Karim Benzema . FIFA World Club Cup
Jul 26, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Real Madrid forward Karim Benzema (9) celebrates after scoring a goal against Club America during the first half at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s FIFA Club World Cup Semifinal week, with games on Tuesday and Wednesday
  • First up is Flamengo vs Al-Hilal, and on Wednesday it’s Al Ahly vs Real Madrid
  • Find our semifinal predictions below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

The FIFA Club World Cup is down to the final four with Flamengo vs Al-Hilal on Tuesday, February 7 (KO 2:00 pm ET) and Al Ahly vs Real Madrid on Wednesday, February 8 (KO 2:00 pm ET) in the semifinal first legs. Flamengo and Real Madrid start as favorites to contest the final on Saturday, February 11. Read on for our FIFA Club World Cup semifinal previews.

We preview our Flamengo vs Al-Hilal and Al Ahly vs Real Madrid picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis and predictions below.

Flamengo vs Al-Hilal Odds

Matchup           Moneyline To Qualify for Final
Flamengo -260 -550
Al-Hilal +600 +390
Draw +330 N/A

Odds as of Feb 7 at FansDuel Sportsbook. Use this FansDuel Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

Flamengo start as odds-on favorites at -260, with a win probability of 72%, with the Al-Hilal big outsiders at +600 with an implied probability of just 14%. The draw after 90 minutes is well priced at +330.

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Flamengo vs Al-Hilal Preview

Flamengo are in good form and are top of the Campeonato Carioca Serie A after going unbeaten in their first six games. Their only defeat during that spell came last month in the Supercopa do Brasil final, when they lost to arch-rivals Palmeiras.

Despite Brazil being a world soccer powerhouse on the international stage, a Brazilian club team has not won the World Club Cup for over a decade.

In order to qualify for this final, Al-Hilal did it the hard way by winning a penalty shoot-out in their quarterfinal with Casablanca. They almost bowed out of the tournament but an injury-time equalizer from Yahia Attiyat Allah took the game to extra time and then pens.

The last time Flamengo and AlHilal met in this competition, in 2019, the Brazilians ended up winning 3-1 but not before going a goal behind early on and suffering several scares throughout the 90+ minutes.

Flamengo vs Al-Hilal FIFA Club World Cup Prediction

It’s hard to see a way past a Flamengo win, but it will be closer than the odds suggest. It may need extra time for the Brazilians and so there is value here in the draw after 90 minutes.

Pick: Flamengo and Al-Hilal to draw after 90 mins (+330) 

Al Ahly vs Real Madrid Odds

Matchup           Moneyline To Qualify for Final
Al Ahly +850 +590
Real Madrid -400 -950
Draw +430 N/A

Odds as of Feb 7 at FanDuel Sportsbook. 

Los Blancos unsurprisingly start as massive odds-on favorites at -400, with an implied win probability of 80%. Al Ahly are listed at a huge +850 for the win in 90 minutes with an implied probability of just 11%. The draw is listed at +430, implied at 19%.

Al Ahly vs Real Madrid Preview

Al Ahly are past masters of reaching this stage of the competition, having now done so for three consecutive seasons. They reached this semifinal after seeing off the challenge of a good Seattle Sounders team on Saturday with an 88th-minute winner from Mohamed Magdy.

The Egyptians are in great shape as, in addition to reaching this semifinal, are currently leading the Egyptian Premier League table by six points and have now gone 23 games undefeated in all competitions. They have also won all of their last five games.

Los Blancos qualified for this competition by winning the 2022 UEFA Champions League winners and are big favorites to go all the way and win it for what would be the fifth time.

But they come into this game in a not particularly good place after suffering a shock La Liga defeat at the weekend at the hands of the islanders of Mallorca. It left them eight points adrift of leaders Barcelona.

Al Ahly vs Real Madrid FIFA Club World Cup Prediction

The Egyptians are the form team of the two – in fact their recent form has been incredible – but Real’s defeat at the weekend will have stung and they will be looking to respond. It will likely be close but I see Los Blancos’ extra quality eventually seeing them through to a one-goal win.

Picks: Real Madrid to win (-400) / Real Madrid to win 1-0 (+550)

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