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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds & Prediction – DFB-Pokal Final

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer

May 20, 2022 · 12:00 PM PDT

DFB-Pokal
Leipzig's Christopher Nkunku, right, celebrates after scoring his side's second goal during a German Bundesliga soccer match between Bayern Munich and Leipzig at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany, Saturday, Feb. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Andreas Schaad)
  • Fourth-placed finisher RB Leipzig is favored at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday
  • Freiburg took sixth spot and seeks its first major honor in 118 years
  • See all odds, preview & best bets for Freiburg vs RB Leipzig in the DFB-Pokal final

The Olympic Stadium in Berlin will be the grand setting for Freiburg vs RB Leipzig in Germany’s DFB-Pokal cup final on Saturday.

Freiburg is competing in the final for the first time in its 118-year history. 

Meanwhile, RB Leipzig is in its third final in the past four seasons – although it lost on both occasions.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Odds

Result Moneyline
Freiburg +285
RB Leipzig -104
Draw +255

Odds as of May 20 at Barstool Sportsbook

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At Barstool Sportsbook, RB Leipzig is a big favorite at -104.

Freiburg, meanwhile, is priced at +265. The draw after 90 minutes is at +255. The game kicks off at 2:00 pm ET. If you’d like to bet on either side to simply win the trophy by any means (regulation, extra-time, penalties), then look to the “to win the trophy” market. To win by any means, Leipzig has odds of -182, while Freiburg is listed at +150. 

Over/Under & Spread

There is a belief that there will be several goals in this game. But the total goals offer of +240 for four goals or more is still promising (Ov 3.5).

Meanwhile, the spread offer for RB Leipzig to win by two goals or more is also attractive at +285 on the -1.5 Asian Handicap.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Ahead of the meeting of Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, both teams have concluded successful campaigns in the Bundesliga.

RB Leipzig has secured a Champions League place after finishing fourth. 

Furthermore, Freiburg finished sixth to claim a place in next season’s Europa League.

It is the team’s highest finish in nine years.

However, the side had harbored hopes of finishing in the top four UCL places until a poor finish to the campaign.

It lost its final two games by 4-1 at home against Union Berlin and, subsequently, by 2-1 away at Bayer Leverkusen.

RB Leipzig was also a semifinalist in this season’s Europa League. But it was eliminated by eventual beaten finalist Glasgow Rangers.

There was also a stuttering finish to the league season for RB Leipzig.

Leading into the DFB-Pokal final meeting of Freiburg vs RB Leipzig, it won just one of its final four games, with two defeats and a draw.

The recent form book reads in favor of Leipzig, however.

Freiburg has failed to win in any of its last five meetings with its opponent in Freiburg vs RB Leipzig.

Even so, both Bundesliga meetings between these teams finished 1-1.

Moreover, Leipzig is also desperate to get its hands on its first piece of German domestic silverware – having been formed only 13 years ago.

It suffered a 3-0 defeat against Bayern Munich in the 2019 final. Following that, it was beaten again in the final of 2020 – going down by 4-1 against Borussia Dortmund.

Leipzig has become one of the most powerful forces in German football. But this match offers it the chance to stamp that prominence into the record books for the first time.

En route to the final, Leipzig was forced to meet only one rival Bundesliga team.

It overcame Union Berlin 2-1 in the semifinal at home last month.

Previously, it had progressed past smaller outfits Sandhausen, Babelsberg, Hansa Rostock, and Hannover 96.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Statistics

Freiburg
VS
RB Leipzig
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
12 Goals 13
5 Goals Against 1
7 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Clean Sheets 4

*Statistics from DFB-Pokal 2021-22.

By contrast, Freiburg defeated two rival Bundesliga sides.

Early on, it progressed past Wurzburger Kickers and Osnabruck.

Then, in the third round, it beat fellow Bundesliga team Hoffenheim 4-1 away from home.

A quarterfinal win followed by 2-1 away from home against another Bundesliga side, Vfl Bochum.

In the semifinal, Reibrg got past Hamburger SV – a big club but currently in Bundesliga.2 – with a 3-1 away win.

Indeed, Freiburg has won on the road in every round of this season’s competition.

Vincenzo Grifo Goalscorer Odds

Freiburg will surely look to its’ Italian midfielder Vincenzo Grifo to find the net.

He is the team’s leading scorer this season with 13 strikes – four of them in the Pokal.

He is priced at an attractive +310 to get on the scoresheet.

Meanwhile, he is also rated at +800 to be the game’s first goal-getter.

Unsurprisingly, the overall favorite to score is Leipzig’s French attacking midfielder Christopher Nkunku at +160 odds.

This is based on the fact that he has hit 34 goals this season, with three of them coming in the Pokal.

He is priced at +460 to be the first goalscorer.

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Potential Line-Ups & Injuries

Freiburg potential line-up: Flekken, Kubler, Lienhart, N. Schlotterbeck, Gunter; Eggestein, Hofler, Sallai, Jeong, Grifo, Holer

Injuries:  Keitel, Schade

 RB Leipzig potential line-up: Gulacsi, Simakan, Orban, Gvardiol, Mukiele, Laimer, Kampl, Angelino, Olmo, Nkunku, Silva

Injuries: Haidara

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Pick

Despite Nkunku’s progress, this looks like being a closely fought affair with a big moment of history at stake for both teams. 

 So it is likely to be level at the end of normal time.

 Pick: Draw +255

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