Upcoming Match-ups

Liverpool Take 8-Point Lead Over Man City, Now Odds-On Favorites for EPL Title

Liverpool's Anfield Stadium
Liverpool's flying start to the season could eventually lead to Anfield celebrating the club's first league title since 1990. Photo by Ruaraidh Gillies (Wiki Commons) [CC License]
  • Liverpool’s win over Leicester City takes them eight points clear in the race for the EPL title
  • Man City’s loss at home to Wolves dropped them further off the pace
  • The Reds are now odds-on favorites to win the 2020 EPL title for the first time this season

Wolves’ surprise win in Manchester at the weekend turned the EPL title race on its head. It was Man City’s second defeat in three weeks, and with Liverpool securing a late win over Leicester to make it eight wins from eight, the Merseysiders are, for the first time, odds-on to win the title.

Odds to Win English Premier League 2019/20

Team Current League Position Odds to Win the EPL at Bovada
Liverpool 1st (24 points) -140
Manchester City 2nd (16 points) +125
Chelsea 5th (14 points) +8000
Arsenal 3rd (15 points) +10000
Manchester United 12th (9 points) +20000
Tottenham 9th (11 points) +20000
Leicester City 4th (14 points) +25000
Everton 18th (7 points) +100000
West Ham 8th (12 points) +100000
Wolverhampton Wanderers 11th (10 points) +100000

*Odds taken on 10/07/19 (for other odds see the main Bovada site).

Most pundits were expecting City to start closing the gap, but instead, it’s getting bigger, and an eight-point chasm after just eight games is massive. As a result, City’s average Premier League odds have dropped to +130.

So, are Liverpool set to run away with the title and, if so, are they still worth betting on? Or is there finally good value on betting City and banking on a big turnaround?

Liverpool’s flying start shows no sign of abating, with the Reds’ early surge being nothing more than a continuation of their fine form of last season, which concluded with the UEFA Champions League title. Manager Jurgen Klopp has masterminded a season-on-season revival of the club’s fortunes, culminating in a perfect start to the latest campaign.

With Man City stuttering, as things stand, it is really difficult to find a compelling argument against Liverpool winning the title race. But this is soccer and odd things happen – regularly.

Two Six-Pointers Await

It is worth noting that, in finishing second behind City last season, Klopp’s men lost only a single game – against City in fact – and so a near-perfect season is within their grasp.

But equally, they do have to still play City twice this season – on November 10 at Anfield and April 4 at the Etihad – and two City wins would have a six-point impact on that gap.

Of course, a lot can happen before and between those two massive games, but there’s still no escaping how pivotal they will be to the destination of the Premier League trophy.

Will The Pressure Tell Like In 2013/14?

Liverpool look imperious right now but are playing with no pressure. As they found last season, it becomes a  very different scenario when games have to be won.

The last time the Reds were on the cusp of the league title (2013/14 under the management of Brendan Rodgers) they choked during the run-in and gifted it to, coincidentally, Man City.

For some of the current squad, that pain still lingers and for those players it will become a hurdle when the time comes. But until the season reaches crunch time, City have to concentrate on winning games and keeping in touch with the Reds, ready to pounce if/when Liverpool hit the rough patch that most teams suffer during the course of a season.

So with 90 points still to play for, now is definitely the time to give serious consideration to City’s +125 odds to win a third consecutive title. Pep Guardiola will still want to take this to the wire.

My Pick: Man City to win 2020 EPL title (+125)

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.