Upcoming Match-ups

Odds Favor at Least 1 Premier League Team Making Champions League Final

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Mar 29, 2020 · 3:06 PM PDT

Harry Kane
Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur controls the ball. (Photo by Shaun Brooks/Actionplus/Icon Sportswire)
  • Four English clubs are in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals
  • Tottenham and Manchester City are scheduled to play each other
  • Man City are still favored to win it all

Not since 2009 have four teams from one country provided four quarter-finalists of the UEFA Champions League, but in this year’s competition 50% of those remaining are English.

This has led to an intriguing new prop available at sportsbooks.

How Many Premier League Teams Will Reach the 2019 Champions League Final?

How Many EPL Teams Will Reach the 2019 UEFA Champions League Final? Odds
0 +450
1 EVEN
2 +150

*Odds taken on 03/18/19

Four English Teams for Only the 3rd Time

The two Manchester clubs (United and City) line up with Tottenham and Liverpool in the last eight, and for only the third time since 2005 – when four teams from one country were allowed in the tournament – the stats heavily lean towards there being at least one English team in the final.

But will it work out this way? And what needs to happen for it to become an all-English final?

Well, for starters, the semi-finals cannot be an all-English affair because two of them have been drawn to play against each other in the quarter-finals. Tottenham and Manchester City go head-to-head first of all in Tottenham’s new north London stadium on April 10th, and in the return leg at the Etihad Stadium, Manchester, eight days later on April 18th.

Big Ask for United

So, while this draw means that there can be no English clean sweep in the semi-finals, the flip-side is that there will definitely be one in one of the semis, with the winners of this tie playing the winner of Ajax vs Juventus.

The other semi-final will be between the winners of Manchester Utd vs Barcelona and Liverpool vs Porto, and this is where it really starts to get interesting for the English clubs.

While United look to have a difficult task on their hands – Barcelona, with Lionel Messi in their star-studded attack, are second-favorites to win the competition – the Manchester side have performed brilliantly since appointing Ole Gunnar Solkjaer as their new manager back in January and, despite a couple of recent blips, will quietly fancy their chances again the Catalonians.

Massive Game at the Camp Nou

While it’s usually considered preferable to play the second-leg at home in front of your own fans, United responded brilliantly to being away from home in the second-leg of their last 16 tie against Paris Saint-Germain, and came back from a 2-0 defeat at Old Trafford, to win the tie 3-1 away and go through via the away goals rule.

They will believe if they can do that against an expensively assembled and hugely talented PSG team, they can do the same in Barcelona, even if it means them having to get a result in the Camp Nou. Better still, if they can keep Messi and co. quiet in the first leg and take a lead to Barcelona, they will trust themselves to get the job done.

Liverpool with the Best Draw

The other quarter-final – Liverpool vs FC Porto – looks on paper to be a more straightforward one to predict. Liverpool, last season’s finalists, have what looks the easiest task of all the quarter-finalists with FC Porto the outsiders of the eight at +10000. The Reds are at home in the first leg and so will hope to build a comfortable lead to take to Portugal, which we expect them to do.

Liverpool, last season’s finalists, have what looks the easiest task of all the quarter-finalists.

Interestingly, despite there appearing an easy route for Liverpool, there will still be work to be done before they make the final, and if United can’t get past Barcelona, it’s conceivable Liverpool could also fall to the same opponent. The other semi will pit the winner of the all-English against either the Champions of the Netherlands or Italy, and, again, will be a significant hurdle for the English side.

Value to Be Had

So, in short, the +450  for there being no English teams in the final, looks much better than the +150 on offer for there being two English finalists. Despite the odds being less generous for one team from England making it to the final, that would be our recommendation.

Pick: One English team in the final (EVEN)

Author Image