Porto vs Sporting Odds & Prediction – Portugal Primeira Liga Round 21

• The Portuguese title is essentially on the line on Saturday, as first-place Sporting visits second-place Porto (3:30 pm ET) nursing a 10-point lead
• The Leoes could go 13 points clear of the competition with a win at the Estadio do Dragao, and take a massive step towards their first Primeira Liga title since 2002
• Get a breakdown of the two clubs, Saturday’s matchup odds and a few value picks below

Pundits and fans alike expected Sporting (17-3-0) and its young squad to fall back to earth at some point during the first half, but Ruben Amorim’s side has forged ahead — and now has a very real chance to all but secure the title on Saturday in this Porto vs Sporting match.

Three straight draws in league play have left Porto (13-5-2) clinging to very slim title hopes and locked into a real battle with Braga for the country’s coveted second Champions League slot.

Porto vs Sporting Primeira Liga Odds

Odds taken Feb 26 at DraftKings

There is plenty of recent head-to-head history between the two sides, with Sporting winning three Cup contests via penalties between 2018 and 2019; league play has been more favorable for Saturday’s hosts, with Porto undefeated in six Primeira Liga meetings (4-2-0) vs Sporting.

Porto: Last Kick at the Can

While Porto remains technically ‘alive’ in three competitions — the Primeira Liga, Taça de Portugal and UEFA Champions League — one could make the argument it is on life support in the latter, having conceded a critical away goal to Juventus and now facing a return leg trip to Italy.

Anything less than three points on Saturday would likely lead to a white-flag situation and turn the Dragoes‘ focus toward the Taça and UCL — coming up on March 3 (vs Braga) and Marh 9 (at Juve) respectively.

Five games without a clean sheet will be a concern for the hosts entering this matchup against a red-hot Sporting attack.

Porto vs Sporting Stats

Sporting: Chasing History

Sporting’s unceremonious Europa League exit to Austria’s LASK Linz back in October has been a blessing in disguise for Amorim’s squad, allowing it to focus on domestic competitions and thrive.

A Taça da Liga triumph over Braga last month has set the Leoes up for their first league-cup double since 2001-02, and with the squad strengthened in January — as opposed to stripped of talent, as was initially expected — it’s likely Lisbon will turn green come the end of the season.

After a rollicking, ‘Over’-happy start to the campaign, Sporting has settled into a pragmatic stretch marked by first-half goals and clean sheets — as well as an outlier, last-gasp win over Benfica in the Lisbon Derby.

Porto vs Sporting Best Bets

Make no mistake: Porto will come out with guns ablaze tactically — manager Sergio Conceicao’s team has to win in order to preserve any chance of engineering a second-half comeback for the Liga title.

Given the two squads are both averaging better than two goals/game in league play, Porto’s need to attack from the off and the fact both teams to score (BTTS) has hit in six of the last seven contests, the BTTS (-105) at near-even money is a strong play.

Additionally, with Sporting on two additional days’ rest and in better league form, a Sporting or Draw (-148) pick could be in play; Ruben Amorim’s team has confounded everybody by remaining undefeated and in first place to this point; why shouldn’t that theme continue?

Pick: Both Teams to Score (-105), Sporting or Draw (-148)