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Porto vs Sporting Odds & Prediction – Portugal Primeira Liga Round 22

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer

Feb 11, 2022 · 7:37 AM PST

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto
Sporting's captain Sebastian Coates, center, lifts the trophy at the end of the Portuguese League soccer match between Sporting CP and Boavista FC at the Alvalade stadium in Lisbon, Tuesday, May 11, 2021. Sporting defeated Boavista 1-0 to clinch the championship title, with two more rounds still left to play. (AP Photo/Pedro Rocha)
  • It’s Porto vs Sporting in the Primeira Liga on Friday, February 11 at 3:15 pm ET
  • Porto are unbeaten this season in the league and have a six-point gap at the top of the table
  • We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer some picks below

It is Porto vs Sporting as the top two of the Primeira Liga clash on Friday, February 11 at 3:15 pm ET at the Estadio do Dragao. Sporting, the current Primeira Liga champions, currently trail Porto by six points and so will be desperate to close that gap rather than let it drift to nine points.

We preview Porto vs Sporting and offer below the best picks for this huge clash in the Portuguese top flight.

Porto vs Sporting Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Porto vs Sporting POR -0.5 (-105) | SPO +0.5 (-127) POR +110 | DRAW +220 | SPO +250 Ov 2.5 (+112) | Un 1.5 (-139)

Odds as of February 11 at Barstool Sportsbook

The bookies expect Porto’s home advantage to count here and have made them favorites at +110 with an implied probability of 47.6%. With two sides who can score goals, it is interesting to seeΒ  Over 2.5 goals in plus money at +112.

If you’re new to this sport and need advice on soccer betting’s pros and cons, there are plenty of directions you can go to betting this match and others.

Record-Chasing Porto

Porto’s quest to unseat Sporting Lisbon as champions continues apace but with a 30th Portuguese league title in their sights, the six-point lead they currently enjoy over today’s visitors leaves them little breathing space. This was demonstrated perfectly last weekend when their comfortable 2-0 away win at Arouca was matched by Sporting, who beat Famalicao 2-0Β  at home to maintain the gap.

Against Arouca, it was a case of being patient as the teams went in level at halftime, but it was Porto’s extra quality that eventually saw them home. A goal from Vitinha nine minutes into the second half set them on their way and the points were effectively sealed just three minutes later when defender Chancel Mbemba made it 2-0. The win made it 11 on the spin for Porto.

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Crunch Time In Race for Primeira Liga Title

Sergio Conceicao’s team has been simply outstanding on the domestic front and as well as having yet to lose a single game in the Primeira Liga, they have made it to the semi-finals of the Taca de Portugal – the country’s main cup competition. In the league they have won 19 and drawn just two of their 21 games so far, amassing 59 points in the process.

It, therefore, says a lot for the quality of Sporting that they are only six points adrift of a team that is in such outstanding form, and so the importance of this top-of-the-table clash cannot be overstated. The title really is on the line.

Porto vs Sporting Head-to-Head Stats

Porto
VS
Sporting
19-2-0 Primeira Liga record 17-2-2
55 Goals for 41
14 Goals against 13
1st Position in Primeira Liga 2nd
W-W-W-W-W-W Form guide (all competitions) W-L-W-W-W-W

Vital Win Over Famalicao

Sporting Lisbon, the current Primeira Liga champions, have performed brilliantly to stay in touch with Porto and managed to keep the pressure on last weekend with the 2-0 home win over Famalicao. Their nerves were settled early on when striker Pablo Sarabia scored from the penalty spot after just six minutes, and the points were sealed on 63 minutes thanks to a Matheus Reis strike.

Prior to the win over Famalicao, Ruben Amorim’s team had rolled over bottom club Belenenses with a 4-1 win, which had itself followed on from them ending January with a trophy – the Taca de Liga (the Portuguese League Cup). Wins over Santa Clara in the semifinal and Benfica in the final were enough to ensure the first silverware of the season headed to Lisbon.

The Title Still In Sporting Sights

Sporting, like Porto, are on a great run of form and have won six out of their last seven games across all competitions. Their only defeat in this spell came at the hands of Braga who beat them 2-1 on January 22 but this was very much a blip in an otherwise outstanding run.

While this is not necessarily a must-win for Sporting, it does feel like a must-not-lose if they are to keep their title hopes alive. The good news for them is that they are unbeaten against Porto in each of their last four games and so they will head to the Estadio do Dragao with confidence and no fear.

Porto vs Sporting Pick

As noted above, this is a game that Sporting dare not lose if they are serious about retaining their title. Therefore I am expecting a tight, cagey game in which neither team dares to be too expansive. Therefore this brings the draw into play, which at +220 looks to be the value bet.

Pick: Porto and Sporting to draw (+220)

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