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PSG vs Marseille Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Matchday 32

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Apr 16, 2022 · 5:00 PM PDT

Lionel Messi
PSG's Lionel Messi celebrates after scoring his side's fourth goal during the French League One soccer match between Paris Saint Germain and FC Lorient at Parc des Princes stadium in Paris, Sunday, April 3, 2022. (AP Photo/Michel Euler)
  • It’s PSG vs Marseille in Ligue 1 on Sunday, April 17 at 2:45 pm ET
  • PSG leads the table by 12 points, with second-place Marseille on an eight-game winning run
  • We preview the game, look at the PSG vs Marseille odds, and offer some picks below

It is PSG vs Marseille in the Parc des Princes on Sunday, April 17 at 2:45 pm ET in round 32 of Ligue 1. It’s a meeting of France’s two biggest clubs, who are currently first and second in the league – a match-up known as Le Classique.

With only seven games left in their season, PSG leads the table by 12 points from Marseille and so are just a couple of wins away from clinching what will be their tenth Ligue 1 title.

We preview PSG vs Marseille and offer below the best picks for this huge Ligue 1 clash.

PSG vs Marseille Odds

Matchup Moneyline
PSG -278
Marseille +600
Draw +430

Odds as of April 16 at Barstool Sportsbook

The bookies have PSG down as massive favorites in the Ligue 1 odds at -278, which comes with a 69% implied probability of a win, compared to Marseille’s +600 with an implied probability of just 14%. Unsurprisingly, the draw also offers a very good return at +430, with an implied probability of just 17%.

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Over/Under and Spread

  • They list over 3.5 goals at +117, which is well worth considering given that PSG are the league’s top scorers, are currently full of goals and there will be a celebratory feel to the game in the Parc des Princes. There is little value in betting under 2.5, which is pitched at -230.
  • If you’re new to this sport and want to know how to bet on soccer then our page offers help on how to bet on this game and others like it.

PSG vs Marseille Prediction

PSG is bursting full of goals right now and after hitting Lorient for five on Matchday 30, they followed it up last week with a thumping 6-1 away win over 17th-placed Clermont. Even more concerning for Marseille is that their famed front three – Kylian Mbappe, Neymar and Lionel Messi – have clicked and are starting, almost for the first time, to rip teams apart.

While it has been a generally underwhelming campaign for Messi, certainly in front of goal, his creative side is starting to shine through and against Clermont, he registered three assists in a game for the second time in his Ligue 1 career.

Pochettino Still Under Pressure

The holy grail of the Champions League has again eluded PSG, something that won’t have been lost on the club’s Qatari owners, but manager Mauricio Pochettino can at least go some way to justifying their enormous investment in the club by getting the title sewn up with the minimum of fuss.

Defeat at home to their great rivals would be unthinkable and, despite being champions-elect, would heap more pressure on Pochettino.

PSG vs Marseille Head-to-Head Stats

Napoli
VS
Roma
22-5-4 Ligue1 record in 2021-22 17-8-6
70 / 29 Goals for / Goals against 51 / 29
63.8% Possession 61.3%
90.6% Passing accuracy 88.1%
14.5 Average shots per game 13.5
L-L-W-L-W-W Ligue 1 form guide W-W-W-W-W-W

Marseille on the March

It has been a good week for Marseille who secured their place in the last four of the new Europa Conference League with a 1-0 win over PAOK in Greece. With a 2-1 lead already in the bag from the first leg, Dimitri Payet’s 14th goal of the season ensured a safe, trouble-free passage through to the semifinal where they will play the Feyenoord from the Eredivisie.

The win over PAOK on Thursday night was Marseille’s eighth win on the spin – a wonderful run of form that has seen them make steady progress to second place in Ligue 1 while also beating all before them in Europe. This is a fine achievement by any metric but even more so for a club that does not have anything like the squad depth of PSG.

Fine Away Record for Les Olympiens

While the 12-point gap between Marseille and PSG looks insurmountable in terms of Les Olympiens winning Ligue 1, they have at least given themselves a great chance of playing Champions League soccer next season. That brilliant run has put their fate in their own hands.

Also well worth noting here is that Marseille’s form on the road has been nothing short of sensational. Since the autumn, they have taken no less than 33 points out of a possible 45 away from home – a record even better than PSG’s in that same period.

PSG vs Marseille Team Lineups and Injuries

PSG Projected Lineup: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Mendes; Pereira, Gueye, Verratti; Messi, Mbappe, Neymar.

PSG Injuries: Paredes, Draxler, Herrera, Gharbi, Kurzawa, and Diallo.

Marseille Projected Lineup: Mandanda; Rongier, Saliba, Caleta-Car, Peres; Guendouzi, Kamara, Gerson; Under, Dieng, Payet.

Marseille Injuries: Balerdi, De la Fuente, and Milik.

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PSG vs Marseille Pick

While Le Classique derbies tend to go the way of PSG, there is no way Marseille’s momentum can be ignored.  With a noisy, fervent following expected to make the trip from the South of France to the capital, Les Olympiens have a genuine chance here to do something special. At +600 for the away win, this is definitely where the value lies.

Pick: Marseille to win (+600)

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