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PSG vs Monaco Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Matchday 26

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer

Feb 19, 2021 · 9:22 AM PST

PSG vs Monaco
PSG's Kylian Mbappe celebrates after scoring during the Champions League round of 16, first leg soccer match between FC Barcelona and Paris Saint-Germain at the Camp Nou stadium in Barcelona, Spain, Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021. (AP Photo/Joan Monfort)
  • On Matchday 26 of Ligue 1, the game of the round is PSG vs Monaco on Sunday, February 21, KO 3:00 pm
  • Lille currently head the table, just a point ahead of PSG and three ahead of Lyon
  • We list the odds for all ten games and preview three, offering our best picks

The Ligue 1 table has a slightly unfamiliar look to it at the moment in that PSG are not top of it. They are, however, in second place – just a point behind leaders Lille – with Lyon in third, who are three points behind the leaders, and Monaco in fourth, just six points adrift of the top spot. On Sunday it is second vs fourth in the Parc des Princes, on February 21, kick-off at 3:00 pm.

Read on to see the odds and our best bets for the weekend’s action.

PSG vs Monaco Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco PSG -1 (+100) | MON +1 (-125) PSG -162| DRAW +325 | MON +375 Ov 3.5 (+105) | Un 3.5 (-130)

All odds taken Feb 19 at DraftKings

PSG the Kings of the Camp Nou

PSG will be buoyant coming into this game after an outstanding 4-1 away win at Barcelona in midweek in the UEFA Champions League. It was a result that not only embarrassed an already troubled Barca but one that also sent out an emphatic message to all the other top clubs in Europe. PSG’s owners – Qatar Sports Investments – will be hoping this is the year their massive investment starts to pay dividends, after going close last season when they were beaten by Bayern Munich in the final.

Against Barcelona, the Parisiens had 48-percent possession – a rarity for a team that prides itself on retaining possession of the ball – but made excellent use of the possession they had by having 16 attempts on goal, nine of which were on target. By contrast, Barca managed just 12 shots with their 52-percent of possession, of which only four were on target. In the end, a Kylian Mbappé hat-trick and another goal from Moise Kean were more than enough to give the French champions a surprisingly comfortable victory. Even the great Lionel Messi – who scored Barca’s goal – was unable to have an impact on the game.

Goals Aplenty for PSG

For PSG this result was nothing more than a continuation of an excellent run of form, especially in front of goal where they have scored in each of their last 11 games, during which they have scored 34 times and conceded just eight. They also have a fine home record where they have lost just three times all season in all competitions and not once in their last six.

PSG vs Monaco Head-to-Head Stats

PSG
VS
Monaco

25 Ligue 1 Games played 25
17 Wins 15
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
57 Goals scored 52
15 Goals conceded 37
54 Points 49
9 Ligue 1 titles 8

Monaco on a Roll

Monaco, while not playing at the level of PSG, has had a good season and is well placed to improve upon their ninth-placed finish last season, and look on course to earn some European soccer next season. Last time out they drew 2-2 with FC Lorient in a game in which they had 70-percent possession; something that will not be happening on Sunday where PSG is expected to have the majority of possession.

The Red and Whites arrive at the Parc des Princes in tremendous form having been unbeaten in 11 games, nine of which have been wins. During this run, they have scored 28 goals and conceded just 14, and so are on a run of form that puts them on a par with PSG. They are also undefeated in their last six away games.

Poor Record in the Parc des Princes

Of more concern for Monaco is their recent record away against the Parisiens, who they have not beaten in five games in Paris, four of those being defeats. But the last meeting between these two was on Matchday 11 in late November and ended with a 3-2 Monaco win, where the Red and Whites enjoyed 52-percent possession and had 15 attempts on goal. On that day, their goals were scored by Kevin Volland (2) and Cesc Fàbregas, with Mbappé replying twice for PSG.

PSG manager Mauricio Pochettino has a few injury concerns to contend with and will be without Ángel Di María, Neymar and Juan Bernat but it is an expensively assembled squad that has depth most clubs can only dream of, so it will still be a formidable line-up that starts Sunday’s game. Monaco coach Niko Kovač, while not blessed with the quality of PSG, has most of his squad available with Gelson Martins his only long-term absentee.

PSG vs Monaco Best Bet

So, we can expect PSG to try and wrestle possession away from the visitors and dominate the ball but their midweek heroics may mean it is a slow burner, and Monaco should be the fresher of the two teams. Whether they have the quality to win in the Parc des Princes is another matter but do not rule out them getting a draw and there is value in the +325, especially given Monaco’s form and PSG’s midweek exertions. But, for me, there will be goals here, and so with the over 3.5 goals in plus-money, that too is well worth a look.

Pick: Over 3.5 goals (+105)

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