Sporting vs Juventus Prediction, Odds, Lineups Europa League Picks
- It’s Sporting vs Juventus in a Europa League quarterfinal second-leg on Thursday, April 20
- Juve leads 1-0 from the first leg thanks to a goal from Gatti
- Find our prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Sporting vs Juventus in a quarterfinal second leg of the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, April 20. It all kicks off in the Estádio José Alvalade at 3:00 pm ET.
The hosts start as plus-money favorites but with the tie so finely balanced after Juve won the first leg 1-0, are they the best bet for your Sporting vs Juventus prediction?
We preview our Sporting vs Juventus picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.
Sporting vs Juventus Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Sporting | +125 |
| Juventus | +220 |
| Draw | +245 |
The bookmakers have Sporting listed as plus-money favorites at +125 with an implied home win probability of 44.4%, while Juve are on offer at +220 with a win probability of 31.3%. The draw is priced at +245 in the Sporting vs Juventus odds and is implied at 29.0%.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 20.
Sporting vs Juventus Over/Under and Spread
With the benchmark set at 2.5 goals in the game, the bookies have listed the under at -160 and the over at a more tempting +125, reflective of how close and low-scoring the first leg was.
Sporting vs Juventus Preview
Sporting’s 1-0 defeat in Turin ended an impressive run of 11 games without defeat in all competitions but also continued a less-impressive run of 16 games in Italy without a win. Ruben Amorim’s men now need to rediscover the form that saw them record Europa League wins over Arsenal and Midtjylland if they are to progress.
While they are still in with a chance of Champions League qualification for next season – they currently sit fourth in the Primeira Liga – their chances of winning the Portuguese title are long gone, and so the Europa League offers them their only realistic chance of top-level silverware this season.
Poor Recent Euro Home Form
At the weekend, their underwhelming domestic form continued with a disappointing home draw with fifth-placed Arouca – Pedro Goncalves eventually rescuing a point for them with a late equalizer – but, in mitigation, Sporting clearly had one eye already on this huge European night.
Home 💚 🦁#SCPFCA #SportingCP pic.twitter.com/pNA2TGBL4d
— Sporting CP English (@SportingCP_en) April 16, 2023
Recent history is against them though as they have been knocked out of the last five European ties where they have lost the first leg, and not since their win over Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League back in September have they won a European tie on home soil.
Stormy Clouds for the Old Lady
Juve’s narrow 1-0 win in the first leg – Federico Gatti getting the all-important goal in the 73rd minute – has given them the edge but this tie remains on a knife edge. The Old Lady was unable to use that momentum at the weekend when they disappointingly lost away to Sassuolo but, like Sporting, one eye will have likely been on this game.
Off the field, it has been a stormy season for Juve, with on-field matters being overshadowed by off-field troubles that cost them a 15-point deduction, and they currently lie down in seventh in Serie A. Their recent league form is a concern, with the Sassuolo defeat following another league loss at the hands of Lazio.
Prep underway for a big night in Portugal 💪#SCPJUV #UEL pic.twitter.com/rexEucIXtR
— JuventusFC 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@juventusfcen) April 19, 2023
Good Euro Form for Juve
But in Europe, Juve has thrived recently. Since disastrously exiting the Champions League, they have now won four on the spin without conceding a goal – their best European run since back in 2013. In that mini-run they have beaten both Nantes and Freiburg and a draw or win here would set up a semi-final against Manchester United or Sevilla.
With a place in next season’s Champions League on offer to the winners of this competition, a club the size of Juve’s stature simply has no option but to go all out to lift the Europa League trophy. Only then could it be considered an acceptable campaign.
Sporting vs Juventus Team Lineups and Injuries
Sporting Projected Lineup: Adan, Inacio, Coates, Diomande, Esgaio, Goncalves, Morita, Reis, Edwards, Chermiti, Trincao.
Injuries & absences: Paulinho, Braganca, Cabral.
Juventus Projected Lineup: Szczesny, Gatti, Bremer, Danilo, Cuadrado, Fagioli, Locatelli, Rabiot, Kostic, Di Maria, Vlahovic.
Injuries & absences: Jorge, Kean.
Sporting vs Juventus Head-to-Head Stats
| 1-3-1 | UEL record 2022-23 | 4-1-0 |
| 8 / 5 | Goals for / against | 8 / 1 |
| 72 | Total Attempts on Goal* | 78 |
| 83.6 | Passing accuracy (%)* | 84.6 |
| 54.8 | Possession (%)* | 51.6 |
| DWDWLD | Form guide (all comps) | WWDWWL |
* Stats from UEFA Official site.
Sporting vs Juventus Prediction
Home advantage will have to be maximized if Sporting are to overturn the one-goal deficit, but Juve are past masters at seeing their way through tricky European ties.
An early goal for the Portuguese would make it interesting but I can see Juve keeping it super-tight and earning the draw they need to go through.
Sporting vs Juventus Picks: The draw (+235) / Under 2.5 goals (-160)
See more of today’s Europa League picks here:
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
- Roma vs Feyenoord Prediction
- Sevilla vs Manchester United Prediction
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
