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United Arab Emirates vs Australia Odds & Prediction – Asia World Cup Qualifying Playoff

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer

Jun 6, 2022 · 9:00 AM PDT

United Arab Emirates vs Australia
Australia's Ajdin Hrustic chases the ball during the World Cup 2022 play-off soccer match between Japan and Australia at Stadium Australia in Sydney, Thursday, March 24, 2022. (AP Photo/Mark Baker)
  • It’s United Arab Emirates vs Australia in a World Cup qualifier on Tuesday, June 7.
  • The winner of this playoff game will go on to play Peru next Monday for a place in Qatar 2022.
  • We preview the game, look at United Arab Emirates vs Australia odds, and offer some picks below.

It is United Arab Emirates vs Australia in a World Cup qualifier in Doha on Tuesday, June 7 at 2:00 pm ET, with the winner playing Peru in the inter-confederation playoff for a place in Qatar 2022 on Monday, June 13.

To reach this winner-takes-all playoff, both teams have played no less than 18 games, progressing through two group stages before this final eliminator.

We preview United Arab Emirates vs Australia and offer below some analysis, team news, and picks from the World Cup odds for this massive playoff.

United Arab Emirates vs Australia Odds

Matchup Moneyline
United Arab Emirates +350
Australia -140
Draw +215

Odds as of June 6 at Caesars Sportsbook.

The bookmakers predict Australia will win this comfortably and have them pitched as odds-on favorites at -140, with an implied win probability of 58.33%. UAE is considered a big outsider at +350 with an implied win probability of just 22.22%.

The draw after 90 minutes also offers a decent return at +215, an implied probability of 31.75%, and in playoff games of this type should never be discounted.

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Over/Under and Spread

Caesars has pitched ‘over 2.5 goals’ in plus money at a very decent +130, and under 2.5 at -160 The plus money bet is a decent one given how fancied the Aussies are for a comfortable win.

If you’re new to this sport and want to know how to bet on soccer then our page offers help on how you can bet on this game and other summer internationals.

United Arab Emirates vs Australia Prediction

In the second phase of their qualifying campaign, UAE made a slow start and looked unlikely to progress from their five-team group but four consecutive wins in their last four games were enough to see them through to the next phase. In round three they were grouped with Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Iraq and South Korea but despite not getting a win on the board until game six, managed to sneak into third place in the group.

Back-to-back defeats in games 8 and 9 against Iran and Iraq looked to have ended their hopes of making into third but a fine 1-0 away in South Korea on the final matchday, while Iraq could manage only a 1-1 draw with Syria, was sufficient to see them claim the final playoff spot.

Massive Win Over South Korea

The important win in South Korea came after a change of manager, with Rodolfo Arruabarrena overseeing the UAE’s most important win in years in his very first game in charge. It was a win, against the odds, that set them up with this chance to take another step closer to only their second-ever World Cup Finals.

They warmed up for this massive game with a friendly against Gambia – ranked 123rd in the world by FIFA – but could only manage a 1-1 draw. Despite going ahead through an Ali Mabkhout penalty, the Gambians equalized and so UAE will need to show more resolve against a very decent Australia team.

United Arab Emirates vs Australia Head-to-Head Stats

United Arab Emirates
VS
Australia
9-3-6 World Cup qualifying record 12-3-3
30 / 14 Goals for / Goals against 43 / 11
5-0 vs Indonesia Biggest win 7-1 vs Chinese Taipei
68 Current FIFA world ranking 42
L-W-L-L-W-D Form guide (all competitions) D-W-D-L-L-W

Flying Start for Socceroos

Australia smashed their second qualifying group with a perfect record of eight wins from eight, scoring 28 goals and conceding just two, and carried that brilliant form into the third qualifying phase where they were grouped with China, Vietnam, Oman, Japan and Saudi Arabia.

Three straight wins in their opening three games set them up perfectly for a route to Qatar but consecutive draws against Saudi Arabia (h) and China (a) in games 4 and 5 slowed their progress. With only one more win forthcoming and then losing the last two games of the group against Japan (h) and Saudi Arabia (a), they had to settle for third place – the playoff spot.

Warm-Up Win Over Jordan

The Socceroos warmed up for this huge clash in Doha with a friendly against Jordan – ranked 91 in the world by FIFA – and came away with a confidence-boosting 2-1 victory with goals from Bailey Wright and Awer Mabil.

United Arab Emirates vs Australia Team Lineups and Injuries

UAE Projected Lineup: Eisa, Hussain, Al Hammadi, Al-Ahbabi, Abbas, Hassan, Ramadan, Abdulrahman, Canedo, Mabkhout, Al-Maazmi.

UAE Injuries: None.

Australia Projected Lineup: Ryan, Karacic, Rowles, Wright, Davidson, Dougall, Mooy, Mabil, McGree, Hrustic, MacLaren.

Australia Injuries: Rogic.

United Arab Emirates vs Australia Pick

While I expect this to be much closer than the odds suggest, it’s hard to make a strong case for a UAE win. Australia’s starting XI will be stronger and they have more squad depth and if they play well they should win the game.

I don’t however expect a goal-fest and it could be as narrow as a one-goal win for the Aussies.

Pick: Australia to win (-140) / Australia to win 2-1 (+800)

 

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