Upcoming Match-ups

Tennessee vs Stanford Odds, Picks & Predictions for CWS (June 19)

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in News

Updated Jun 18, 2023 · 9:38 PM PDT

Carter Graham celebrates at second base with arms wide out after hit vs Wake Forest
Jun 17, 2023; Omaha, NE, USA; Stanford Cardinal first baseman Carter Graham (31) reacts after hitting a double against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the fifth inning at Charles Schwab Field Omaha. Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports
  • Tennessee is a -140 favorite to advance vs Stanford in the College World Series
  • Both teams lost their opening game, making Monday a must-win for both sides
  • Don’t miss the Tennessee vs Stanford predictions and odds below

Another team will bite the dust at the College World Series when then the Tennessee Volunteers (43-21) battle the Stanford Cardinal (44-19).

The Volunteers were beaten by the LSU Tigers in their opener 6-3, while Stanford lost a tight one to the top-seeded Wake Forest Demon Deacons 3-2.

This portion of the CWS is a double elimination format, with the survivor of each 4-team pool playing for the title.

Oddsmakers are pegging the Volunteers as the betting favorites for this one.

Action gets underway Monday (June 19) at 2pm ET from Charles Schwab Field in Omaha, NE. You can watch the game live on ESPN and ESPN+.

Tennessee vs Stanford Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Tennessee Volunteers -140 -1.5 (+105) O 9.5 (-110)
[8] Stanford Cardinal +110 +1.5 (-135) U 9.5 (-120)

Tennessee is slotted as a -140 favorite on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 58.33%. The game features a total of 9.5 runs.

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Tennessee vs Stanford Probable Pitchers

The Volunteers have yet to name a starter for Monday, but it’s expected that they’ll turn to junior Chase Dollander.

Dollander is 7-6 on the year, and got the win against Southern Mississippi in the Super Regional last time out. He pitched a season-best eight innings, giving up seven hits and four earned runs in Tennessee’s 5-0 win.

He walked just one batter and fanned seven.

Pitching has been a strength of the Volunteers all season, with the staff posting a 3.78 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, both second only to Wake in the NCAA.

Dollander vs Mathews Stats

Chase Dollander
VS
Quinn Mathews
7-6 Record 10-4
4.50 ERA 3.60
1.24 WHIP 1.208
4.21 SO/W Ratio 3.9

The Cardinal are expected to counter with Quinn Mathews, who many thought would get the call against Wake Forest, but was held back in favor of Joey Dixon.

He’s coming off his best game of the season against Texas in the Super Regionals, giving up three hits and three earned runs on a career-high 156 pitches, while striking out a season-best 16 en route to a 8-3 win.

Talk about a tough opening tandem for the Volunteers: they faced college baseball’s strikeout king Paul Skenes in the opener, and now have to contend with Mathews, who was second with 152 k’s on the season.

As a team, the Cardinals are 13th in the NCAA’s averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. However, they’re a distant 128th in team ERA at 5.75. Mathews is the only one on the staff with an ERA under 4.00.

How Tennessee and Stanford Got Here

As mentioned, the Volunteers ran into a buzzsaw in Skenes, who went 7.2 innings, giving up five hits and two earned runs while striking out 12.

Tennessee found themselves down 5-0 before finally breaking through in the eighth inning. Hunter Ensley went 3-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in the loss.

Other key bats in the Vols’ lineup include Christian Moore, who’s hitting .421 with four home runs and eight RBI and Griffin Merritt, batting .500 in the postseason, with a homer and four RBI.

Stanford, meanwhile, had a 2-1 lead over the Deacons heading into the eighth inning, but Ryan Bruno couldn’t hold the fort, giving up a 2-run single to Danny Corona, which ended up being the difference.

Their offense is powered by Drew Bowser, who’s hitting .308 with four HR and eight RBI, and Eddie Park who has driven in six, hit one home run and his batting .400.

Tommy Troy is batting .379 in the postseason with a double, two home runs and eight RBI.

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Volunteers vs Cardinal Predictions

Stanford’s loss to Wake was their first one-run loss in nine games this season. After giving up over six runs a game in the regular season, that number has fallen to 4.6 in the postseason.

With Mathews on the mound, that figure could shrink.

Can the Vols finally break through? They’ve lost six straight CWS games and haven’t been in the winner’s circle since beating USC in 2001.

Tennessee’s pitching has also been strong, giving up just 3.6 runs per game in these playoffs.

This one has all the makings of a close, low-scoring affair.

Pick: UNDER 9.5 runs (-110)

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