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2019 French Open Props: Odds Favor at Least One #1 or #2 Seed Reaching the Finals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 9:17 AM PDT

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic is favored to win the 2019 French Open Men's Singles title. Photo by Tatiana (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal are the two top seeds among the men
  • Naomi Osaka and Karolina Pliskova are the two top seeds among the women
  • The French Open is widely considered the most physically demanding tennis tournament in the world

The 2019 French Open is nearly here and there are some intriguing props involving the no. 1 and 2 seeds on both the men’s and women’s sides.

Odds At Least One #1 Seed Reaches the Finals

Will At Least One #1 Seed Reach the Finals? Odds
Yes -150
No +120

*All odds taken 05/24/19

The two no. 1 seeds are Novak Djokovic and Naomi Osaka. Although Osaka has  yet to win a clay event, she is going for her third straight major, something no one other than Serena Williams has done in the last 25 years.

Novak Djokovic will be seeking his fourth straight Grand Slam title for the second time in his career. The 2016 champion is not in the same half of the draw as Nadal and Federer, which means we could very well see Nadal and Djokovic face off for the 55th time.

I think taking “yes” on this prop is still the way to go.

Pick: Yes (-150)

Odds At Least One #2 Seed Reaches the Finals

Will At Least One #2 Reach the Finals? Odds
Yes -350
No +260

Out of the three props, this one is the one that is most likely to happen. With Rafael Nadal and Karolina Pliskova coming in at the no. 2 seed for the men and women respectively, it’s likely we’ll be seeing one if not both of them in their finals.

Rafa is the reigning champion of the tournament and dubbed the King of Clay. The no. 2 seed beat Djokovic in three sets to win the Italian Open this past weekend, setting himself up well for Roland Garros.

Karolina Pliskova, meanwhile, is coming off the biggest clay title of her career at the Italian Open.

This prop is the easiest “yes” to be made. Both players are coming off massive wins individually on clay, and have proven themselves to go far in the past.

Pick: Yes (-350)

Odds Both #1 Seeds Reach the Finals

Will Both #1 Seeds Reach the Finals? Odds
Yes +800
No -1500

With the no. 1 seeds for the men and women being Naomi Osaka and Novak Djokovic, neither of which are absolutely dominate on clay, this prop is far less likely than the other two.

Djokovic’s road to the final is not going to be an easy task, with the possibility of facing Borna Coric, a projected fourth-round opponent, Alexander Zverev in the quarter-finals, and then Dominic Thiem in the semi-finals.

Djokovic’s road to the final is not going to be an easy task, with the possibility of facing Borna Coric, Alexander Zverev, and Dominic Thiem.

Osaka, on the other hand, hasn’t won anything on clay this season, let alone reach a final. Her section for Roland Garros is tough. In the second round she could possibly play former major champions in Jelena Ostapenko or Victoria Azarenka. Further down the line, she could be facing Madison Keys, the player who beat her at this very tournament in the semi-finals last year. If she gets past all of that, it still isn’t smooth sailing as she could face Serena Williams in the quarters.

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The “yes” in this prop is definitely the higher risk bet, but anything is possible. Betting “no” is far safer given who the no. 1 seeds will have to face.

Pick: No (-1500)

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