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Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Odds & Prediction – ATP Finals Round Robin

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Nov 13, 2021 · 12:25 PM PST

Alexander Zverev hitting a return forehand shot during a tennis match.
Alexander Zverev of Germany plays a return to Daniil Medvedev of Russia, during their semifinal match at the Paris Masters tennis tournament at the Accor Arena, in Paris, France, Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)
  • Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini are set to face each other in the ATP Finals on Sunday, November 14th
  • This will be the fifth meeting between the two, and the second this year
  • Continue below for the odds, preview and our best bet analysis and prediction

The Nitto ATP Final is here and the top eight male players will be competing in the year-end tournament in Italy. Third seed Alexander Zverev will open his tournament up against sixth seed Matteo Berrettini on Sunday, November 14th. The two are scheduled to take to the court at 3 pm ET.

As expected Zverev enters the match as the favorite to win the match, listed at -265, while Berrettini enters at +195.

Take a look below for the match odds, and how the players have done throughout their season to earn their spot at the ATP Finals.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini ATP Finals Round Robin Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[3] Alexander Zverev -3.5 (+105) -265 Ov 23.5 (-110)
[6] Matteo Berrettini +3.5 (-145) +195 Un 23.5 (-130)

Odds as of November 13th at DraftKings.

A Former Champion

24-year old Zverev won this tournament back in 2018, but hasn’t always had success. The German ended up not even qualifying for the knockout round last year, and lost in the semifinals to Dominic Thiem back in 2019.

But, once again, Zverev has had a success year that earned him a spot at the final tournament. He recently won the Vienna Open, and is coming off a semifinal appearance at the Paris Masters just last week.

This year as a whole, the 24-year old has collected five titles, contributing to his overall number of 18. He did not win a Grand Slam, but had semifinal appearances in both the US and French Open.

He’ll open his tournament against Berrettini, who is the home favorite here in Italy. The German has found quite a bit success over Berrettini over the years, but you never know with a home crowd

Home Favorite Berrettini

The 25-year old Italian will look to the crowd for support on Sunday as he opens up his year-end final tournament against a tough opponent in Zverev.

This will be Berrettini’s second appearance at the ATP Finals, with his first being back in 2019.

Despite having a pretty good year, the Italian hasn’t found much success recently, resulting in entering this tournament in a less than ideal state. He lost to American Taylor Fritz in Indian Wells in October, and managed to put a few wins together, but went on to lose in the quarterfinals of the Vienna Open, after being unable to defeat Carlos Alcaraz Garfia.

But on the year, the Italian has still been able to capture two titles, and put up a 41-11 record.

Head-to-Head

This will be the fifth meeting between Zverev and Berrettini, and the second meeting of the year. Their first match came back in 2018, with their most recent match at the finals of the Madrid Open in May, where Zverev won in three sets.

Their current head-to-head record sits at 3-1, with Zverev having the edge.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Head-to-Head Stats

Alexander Zverev
VS
Matteo Berrettini
3 ATP Standing 7
24 Age 25
18 Career Titles 5
306/139 Career W/L 112/62
5 YTD Titles 2
55/14 YTD W/L 41/11
3 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Best Bet

Given the moneyline odds, there seems to be a clear favorite to win the match, but where’s the best bet?

The indoor hard court surface is worth noting, as it’s an extremely fast surface. This should actually benefit Berrettini. He’s hard, aggressive serve and forehand should thrive in these conditions, and he’ll rely fairly heavily on them to win points against Zverev.

Berrettini will also look to the crowd for support, and will no doubt feed off whatever they’re giving him. But will these two things be enough to defeat the German? Again, Zverev has had a great season, but specifically he’s played better as of late, compared to his round robin opponent.

Their most recent match that happened earlier this year went the distance. So regardless of the winner here, the best bet looks to be how long this match goes.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 sets (+145)

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