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Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Quarterfinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Jul 10, 2023 · 3:05 PM PDT

Novak Djokovic has won the past four Wimbledon men's singles titles.
Jul 10, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Novak Djokovic (SRB) celebrates after defeating Hubert Hurkacz (POL) on day eight at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • Novak Djokovic is a prohibitive -1400 favorite to defeat Andrey Rublev in their Wimbledon men’s singles quarterfinal match on Tuesday, July 11
  • Second-seeded Djokovic is a seven-time Wimbledon champion
  • Rublev, the #7 seed, is in the Wimbledon quarterfinals for the first time. Read on for our Rublev vs Djokovic picks here

Novak Djokovic looks again to be on a mission at Wimbledon, while Andrey Rublev is treading into previously uncharted waters. Is it any wonder then that the Serbian superstar and winner of 23 Grand Slam titles is heavily favored over his young Russian opponent as they clash in the men’s singles quarterfinals?

Djokovic, a seven-time Wimbledon men’s singles champion, is set as the odds-on -1400 favorite to be dispatching Rublev from the tournament. Djokovic has won the title in each of the past four Wimbledon tournaments.

Andrey Rublev vs Novak Djokovic Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Andrey Rublev (RUS) +6.5 (-105) +700 O 32.5 (-120)
Novak Djokovic (SER) -6.5 (-125) -1400 U 32.5 (-110)

At +700, Rublev is given an underdog betting line in the Wimbledon odds. The spread is -6.5 in favor of Djokovic. The over/under on the match total is set at 32.5 games. This match is slated for Tuesday, July 10 at 5:00 am EST.

Odds as of July 10 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to claim this Caesars Sportsbook promo to make your Rublev vs Djokovic picks for Wimbledon.


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Djokovic is the -190 betting favorite in the Wimbledon odds.

Rublev Struggles Past Bublik

Up 2-0 on #23 seed Alexander Bublik following 7-4, 6-3 set wins, #7 seed Rublev looked to be home and cooled out in his fourth-round match. Then his game suddenly cooled off.

Bublik rallied to force a fifth set following consecutive tie break wins – 7-6(8-6) and 7-6(7-5). The fourth set was especially harsh to Rublev, who failed to convert a pair of match points.

Aces were Bublik’s key to battling back. Unleashing a 135 mph serve, he collected 39 of them, compared to 20 for his Russian opponent.

Rublev saved himself by saving all five break points that Bublik attempted to earn. As well, the 14 double faults he committed was the other side of Bublik’s powerful service game. The match took three hours and 17 minutes to complete.

Djokovic Finally Drops a Set

It took two days for Djokovic to dispatch #17 seed Hubert Hurkacz, but it wasn’t as difficult as it sounds. Winning the first two sets on Sunday, the match was ultimately halted by curfew.

Hurkacz won the third set when play resumed on Monday, the first set the Serb has dropped the entire tournament. But Djokovic regrouped to take the match 7-6(8-6), 7-6(8-6), 5-7, 6-4.

Djokovic also became the first player to break Hurkacz’s serve during the tourney, but it didn’t happen until 3-3 during fourth set. The world #2 is now 5-0 in tiebreakers during Wimbledon, saving three match points during the first tiebreaker against Hurkacz.

Djokovic vs Rublev Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2023 ATP Australian Open (QF) Outdoor Hard 6-1, 6-2, 6-4 Djokovic
2022 ATP Nitto Finals (RR) Indoor Hard 6-4, 6-1 Djokovic
2022 ATP Belgrade (F) Outdoor Clay 6-2, 6-7(4-7), 6-0 Rublev
2021 ATP Nitto Finals (RR) Indoor Hard 6-3, 6-2 Djokovic

Djokovic has won three of four previous meetings with Rublev. He destroyed his Russian opponent in straight sets earlier this year in the Australian Open quarterfinals, dropping just seven games along the way.

When it comes to playing tennis on grass, The Joker is king. Djokovic has won 32 men’s singles matches in a row at Wimbledon.

Djokovic vs Rublev Head-to-Head

Novak Djokovic
Andrey Rublev
36 (May 22, 1987) Age 25 (Oct. 20, 1997)
Belgrade, Serbia Birthplace Moscow, Russia
6-2 Height 6-2
94 Career ATP Singles Titles 13
1 (July, 4, 2007) Career-Best Ranking 5 (Sept. 13, 2021)
2 Current Ranking 7
$169,762,762 Career Earnings $17,805,025
31-4 2023 Won/Loss Record 35-13
3 ATP Main Draw Head-to-Head Wins 1

His dominance at Grand Slam events is equally impressive. Along with his four straight Wimbledon wins, Djokovic has taken four of the past five Australian Open titles and two of the past three French Open crowns.

Rublev vs Djokovic Prediction

Up against such a dominant presence as Djokovic, Rublev will require laser-sharpness from his game. He can’t surrender any break points, which he’s done effectively so far in this tournament. However, the mental lapse he committed in allowing Bublik back into their match will prove fatal against the machine that is Djokovic.

If Rublev can win a set, he’s done well.

Rublev vs Djokovic Picks:

  • Djokovic to win (-1400)
  • Djokovic 3-1 (+270)

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